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題名:雙貝他資本資產定價模型運用於臺灣股票多頭與空頭市場之適用性研究
書刊名:東吳經濟商學學報
作者:曾昭玲 引用關係楊舜蓁
作者(外文):Tseng, JaulingYang, Shan-jen
出版日期:2004
卷期:44
頁次:頁25-54
主題關鍵詞:雙貝他資本資產定價模型多頭市場空頭市場系統風險Dual-beta capital asset pricing modelBull marketBear marketSystematic risk
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(1) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:60
  • 點閱點閱:109
資本資產定價模型 (CAPM) 發展至今已逾三十年,然大多數定態 (static) CAPM的研究均假設貝他係數固定,不隨外在金融環境變動,致使CAPM常無法有效解釋橫斷面之股票報酬率實證資料。有鑑於此,本文假設貝他係數隨股市多頭與空頭市場而有所變動,亦即多空頭雙貝他CAPM應較單貝他CAPM更適於解釋股市報酬率之變化。研究結果發現,各投資組合多頭與空頭貝他係數雖均為正,但明顯不同,故區分多空頭貝他係數應具正確性。再者,投資組合於多頭 (空頭) 市場的報酬率與系統風險呈正 (負) 相闕,但平減風險後的相對報酬率於多頭 (空頭) 市場反隨風險之增高而遞減 (遞增) ,故高風險高 (低) 報酬多存在於多 (空) 頭市場,惟風險與報酬並不完全對稱。此外,多頭與空頭系統風險對投資組合之報酬率具高度解釋力,且迴歸估計之多空頭實際市場風險溢酬亦典預期之多空頭理論市場風險溢酬具顯著相等性,故區分多空頭之雙貝他CAPM不僅適用於描述台灣多空頭股市的報酬率,亦改善了單貝他CAPM的不適用性,更確立變動系統風險的存在及其解釋資產報酬率的重要性。
Capital asset pricing model (CAPM) has been well developed for over thirty years. However, its static assumption comes into question that CAPM explains the cross-sectional stock returns poorly in practice. This study further assumes that the dual (bull and bear) betas, or varying risk, CAPM is empirically sound. Evidence is provided that although both betas are positive, bull betas are significantly different from bear betas, which supports the validity of dual betas assumption. Bull (bear) betas are positively (negatively) related to the portfolios returns, but their relationships with the relative returns, after deflating risk, are inverse, implying that risk and returns are asymmetric. Furthermore, dual-beta market model captures a significant power in explaining the cross-sectional returns of Taiwan bull and bear stock market, and the actual or realized bull and bear market risk premiums are statistically consistent with those the theory expected. Therefore, dual-beta CAPM is more valid in describing Taiwan stock market than single-beta CAPM, which confirms the importance of varying risk in asset pricing model.
期刊論文
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2.Fama, Eugene F.(1968)。Risk, return and equilibrium: Some clarifying comments。Journal of Finance,23(1),29-40。  new window
3.Kim, M. K.、Zumwalt, J. K.(1979)。An analysis of risk in bull and bear Markets。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,14(5),1015-1025。  new window
4.Fabozzi, F. J.、Francis, J. C.(1977)。Stability Tests for Alpha and Betas over Bull and Bear Market Conditions。Journal of Finance,32(4),1093-1099。  new window
5.Ferson, W.、Harvey, C.(1991)。The variation of economic risk premiums。Journal of Political Economy,99,385-415。  new window
6.劉亞秋、黃理哲、劉維琪(19960100)。An Analysis of Systematic Risk in Taiwan Stock Market。證券市場發展,8(1)=29,45-66。new window  延伸查詢new window
7.Fama, Eugene F.、French, Kenneth R.(1993)。Common risk factors in the returns of stocks and bonds。Journal of Financial Economics,33(1),3-56。  new window
8.Barber, Brad M.、Lyon, John D.(1997)。Firm size, book-to-market ratio, and security returns: a holdout sample of financial firms。Journal of Finance,52(2),875-883。  new window
9.Fama, Eugene F.、French, Kenneth R.(1995)。Size and Book-to-Market Factors in Earnings and Returns。The Journal of Finance,50(1),131-155。  new window
10.Fama, Eugene F.、French, Kenneth R.(1996)。Multifactor Explanations of Asset Pricing Anomalies。Journal of Finance,51(1),55-84。  new window
11.陳安琳(20020600)。臺灣股票報酬之穩定因素--交叉確認、因素分析與模擬分析。管理學報,19(3),519-542。new window  延伸查詢new window
12.Black, Fischer(1972)。Capital Market Equilibrium with Restricted Borrowing。Journal of Business,45(3),444-455。  new window
13.Chui, Andy C. W.、Wei, K. C. John(1998)。Book-to-market, Firm Size, and the Turn-of-the-year Effect: Evidence from Pacific-Basin Emerging Markets。Pacific-Basin Finance Journal,6(3/4),275-293。  new window
14.Fama, Eugene F.、French, Kenneth R.(1992)。The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns。The Journal of Finance,47(2),427-465。  new window
15.周賓凰、劉怡芬(20000400)。臺灣股市橫斷面報酬解釋因子:特徵、單因子、或多因子?。證券市場發展季刊,12(1)=45,1-32。new window  延伸查詢new window
16.Howton, S. W.、Peterson, D. R.(1998)。An Examination of Cross-Sectional Realized Stock Returns Using a Varying-Risk Beta Model。The Financial Review,33,199-212。  new window
學位論文
1.邱素姬(1990)。資本資產訂價模型在台灣股市適用性之實證研究(碩士論文)。淡江大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Haugen, R. A.(1999)。The New Finance: The Case Against Efficient Markets。Prentice Hall。  new window
其他
1.杜金龍(1981)。資本資產定價模式於證券投資之應用。  延伸查詢new window
2.陳鄔福(1979)。資本資產定價模式應用於台灣股票市場之研究。  延伸查詢new window
3.張尊悌(1996)。貝他、公司規模及淨值市價比三因子評價模型之研究:以台灣股市為例。  延伸查詢new window
4.楊明栽(1997)。資本資產定價理論在台灣股票市場之實證研究。  延伸查詢new window
5.潘振華(1991)。資本資產定價模型之投資期間:台灣股市之實證研究。  延伸查詢new window
6.薛彬彬(1990)。灣股票市場風險之測定:多頭和空頭市場比較之結果。  延伸查詢new window
7.顧廣平(2002)。台灣上市(櫃)公司股票期望報酬率橫斷面差異解釋因子之探討。  延伸查詢new window
8.謝育達(1998)。資本資產定價模式的理論、實證技巧以及應用之研究--以上市運輸產業公司為例。  延伸查詢new window
9.Arditti, F.(1967)。Risk and the Required Return on Equity。  new window
10.Arshanapalli, B., T. D. Coggin, and J. Doukas(1998)。Multifactor Asset Pricing Analysis of International Investment Strategies。  new window
11.Bhardwaj, R. K. and L. D. Brooks(1993)。Dual Betas from Bull and Bear Markets: Reversal of the Size Effect。  new window
12.Blume, M. E.(1971)。On the Assessment of Risk。  new window
13.Chan, A. C. W. and A. P. L. Chui(1996)。An Empirical Re-examination of the Cross-section of Expected Returns: UK Evidence。  new window
14.Fama, E. F. and K. R. French(1989)。Business Condition and Expected Returns on Stocks and Bonds。  new window
15.Francis, J. and F, Fabozzi(1979)。The Effects of Changing Macroeconomic Conditions on the Parameters of the Single Index Market Model。  new window
16.Graham, J. E. and A. Saporoschenko(1999)。The Varying Risk Market Model: A Reexamination Based on Heteroskedastic Conditions and Other Statistical Robustness Tests。  new window
17.Heston, S. L., K. G. Rouwenhorst, and R. E. Wessels(1999)。The Role of Beta and Size in the Cross-section of European Stock Return。  new window
18.Jagannathan, R. and Z. Wang(1996)。The Conditional CAPM and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns。  new window
19.Jegadeesh, N(1992)。Does Market Risk Really Explain the Size Effect。  new window
20.Kothari, S., J. Shanken, and R. Sloan(1995)。Another Look at the Cross-section of Expected Stock Returns。  new window
21.Levy, R. A(1974)。Beta Coefficient as Predictors of Return。  new window
22.Pettengill, G., S. Sundaram, and I. Mathur(2002)。Payment for Risk: Constant Beta vs Dual-beta Models。  new window
 
 
 
 
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