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題名：菸價要調漲多少：菸品健康福利捐課徵對香菸消費的影響效果
書刊名：人文及社會科學集刊
作者：李家銘 引用關係／葉春淵／黃琮琪 引用關係
作者(外文)：Lee, Jie-min／Ye, Chun-yuan／Hwang, Tsorng-chyi
出版日期：2006
卷期：18:1
頁次：頁1-35
主題關鍵詞：菸價；菸品健康福利捐；價格彈性；香菸消費；Cigarette price；Tobacco health welfare tax；Price elasticity；Cigarette consumption
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
相關次數：
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(6) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:6
  • 共同引用共同引用:15
  • 點閱點閱:51
本研究主要目的在藉由香菸價格彈性估計來評估「菸品健康福利捐」課徵對香菸消費的影響效果。研究結果發現，進口香菸需求彈性為－0.807，國產香菸的需求價格彈性為－0.49，在每包菸品健康福利捐從原本的5元提高到10元，即每包菸品健康福利捐再調漲5元，在菸商反映成本上漲之下，若調漲每包香菸價格5元，將使國人平均每人國產香菸及進口香菸消費減少3.23包及4.86包，合計平均每人的香菸消費量減少8.09包，國人全部香菸消費量減少約1.48億包，可使菸品健康福利捐多增收90.5億元。在香菸價格要調漲多少部分，若要將國人的香菸消費量低於1998年世界的平均消費水準約為每人消費61包，則進口香菸及國產香菸每包必須分別調漲29元，才能使平均每人消費量減少46.93包，此時國人全部香菸消費量減少約8億6千萬包，平均每人香菸消費量減少44％。
The main purpose of this study is to evaluate the effect of a “Tobacco Health Welfare Tax” on cigarette consumption through the estimation of cigarette price elasticities. It's found that the price elasticities for domestic and imported cigarettes, calculated at sample means, are－0.49 and －0.807. The raising of the health welfare tax from 5 NT$/ pack to 10 NT$/pack is an increase of 5 NT$ per pack. Provided the cost reflection in the tobacco business is 5 NT$/pack, there would be a per capita decrease of 2.23 and 4.86 packs in domestic and imported cigarette consumption, respectively. That is, there would be a reduction of 8.09 packs per capita or 148-million pack decrease in cigarette consumption, resulting in additional tobacco health welfare tax revenue of NT$ 9.5 billion. To reduce the cigarette consumption of Taiwan below the world average, 61 packs per capita, and taking the consumption and retail price in 2004 as the base, there should be a price hike of NT$ 29/pack in imported and domestic cigarettes, respectively, to reduce total cigarette consumption by 46.93 packs per capita. Total cigarette consumption should be reduced by about 860 million packs, or a per capita cigarette consumption decrease of 44%.
期刊論文
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21.Phillips, Peter C. B.、Perron, Pierre(1988)。Testing for a unit root in time series regression。Biometrika，75(2)，335-346。  new window
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研究報告
1.李家銘、葉春淵(2004)。貿易自由化及菸害防制政策實施對臺灣菸品需求及產業結構影響之研究。行政院衛生署國民健康局。  延伸查詢new window
2.謝啟瑞(1999)。香菸貿易自由化的福利效果分析。行政院國家科學委員會。  延伸查詢new window
3.Chaloupka, F. J.、Warner, K. E.(1999)。The Economics of Smoking。National Bureau of Economic Research。  new window
4.Gruber, J.、Sen, A.、Stabile, M.(2002)。Estimating price elasticities when there is smuggling: the sensitivity of smoking to price in Canada。National Bureau of Economic Research。  new window
圖書
1.Yurekli, A.(2000)。World Bank Economics of Tobacco Toolkit: Design and Administer Tobacco Taxes。Worldbank。  new window
2.Deaton, Angus S.、Muellbauer, John(1980)。Economics and Consumer Behavior。Cambridge University Press。  new window
3.Shafey, O.、Dolwick, S.、Guindon, G. E.(2003)。Tobacco Control Country Profiles 2003。Atlanta, GA：American Cancer Society。  new window
4.董氏基金會(1994)。財團法人董氏基金會。臺北：董氏基金會。  延伸查詢new window
5.董氏基金會(2000)。財團法人董氏基金會。臺北：董氏基金會。  延伸查詢new window
圖書論文
1.Wen, C. P.、Levy, D. T.(2002)。Smoking policy at the crossroads: opportunities and challenges。Collection of Research Papers on Tobacco or Health in Taiwan 2002。Division of Health Policy Research, National Health Research Institutes。  new window
2.Taylor, Allyn、Chaloupka, F. J.、Guindon, E.、Corbett, M.(2000)。The Impact of Trade Liberalization on Tobacco Consumption。Tobacco Control in Developing Countries。Oxford University Press。  new window
3.Neves, P.(1987)。Analysis of Consumer Demand in Portugal, 1958-1981。Memoire de maitrise en science economiques。Louvain, Louvain-la-Neune：Universite Catholique de Louvain。  new window
4.Pollak, R. A.、Wales, T. J.(1992)。Specification and Estimation of Dynamic Demand Systems。Aggregation, Consumption and Trade。Kluwer Academic Publishers。  new window
5.Chaloupka, F. J.、Hu, T. W.、Warner, K. E.、Jacobs, R.、Yurekli, A.(2000)。The Taxation of Tobacco Products。Tobacco Control in Developing Countries。London：Oxford University Press。  new window
6.Lin, H. S.、Wen, C. P.、Hou, C. C.、Chung, W. S.、Chu, S. T.(2002)。Research on Tobacco Litigation in Taiwan。Collection of Research Papers on Tobacco or Health in Taiwan 2002。Division of Health Policy Research, National Health Research Institutes。  new window
 
 
 
 
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