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題名:極大化平滑度與精確度之利率期限結構估計
書刊名:中山管理評論
作者:周建新 引用關係陳振宇 引用關係
作者(外文):Chou, Jian-HsinChen, Zhen-Yu
出版日期:2007
卷期:15:2
頁次:頁323-356
主題關鍵詞:利率期限結構GCV模型VRP模型Anderson-Sleath模型Term structure of interest ratesGCV modelVRP modelAnderson-Sleath model
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:23
  • 點閱點閱:37
本研究以台灣公債市場為研究對象,並利用Nelson-Siegel模型與Nelson-Siegel-Svensson模型作為研究基礎,比較利率期限結構配適能力之優劣。此外在增進模型平滑度的前題下,利用GCV模型、VRP模型與Anderson-Sleath模型對Nelson-Siegel模型與Nelson-Siegel-Svensson模型加以 結合。實證結果發現,Ne1son-Siegel模型在結合GCV模型、VRP模型與 Anderson-Sleath模型之創新後,在平滑度上皆較原Nelson-Siegel模型更為優 良。而Nelson-Siegel-Svensson模型則以結合GCV模型後,能提供較佳之平滑度。當同時考量精確度與平滑度之配適能力後,本文認為在Nelson-Siegel模型中,以結合Anderson-Sleath模型能提供較佳之估計結果;Nelson-Siegel-Svensson模型則以結合GCV之模型,可以提供較佳的估計結果。
The purpose of this paper is to compare the fitting performances of the estimation of the term structure of Taiwan Government Bonds market based on the Nelson-Siegel and the Nelson-Siegel-Svesson model. Three fitting-smoothness improving models (the GCV, VRP and Anderson-Sleath model) are used to increase their fitting performances in accuracy and smoothness. The empirical results indicate that the Nelson-Siegel corrected by the GCV, VRP and Anderson-Sleath model produces better smoothness. The Nelson-Siegel-Svesson corrected by the GCV model also has a better fitting-smoothness result. If we take both the fitting accuracy and smoothness into consideration, the Nelson-Siegel corrected by Anderson-Sleath model and the Nelson-Siegel-Svesson corrected by the GCV model are better choices.
期刊論文
1.Pham, T. M.(1998)。Estimation of Term Structure of Interest Rates : an International Perspective。Journal of Multinational Financial Management,8,265-283。  new window
2.Lin, B. H.(2002)。Fitting the term structure of interest rates using B-spline : the case of Taiwanese government bonds。Applied Financial Economics,12,55-75。  new window
3.Brennan, M. J.、Schwartz, E. S.(1979)。A Continuous Time Approach to the Pricing of Bonds。Journal of Banking and Finance,3(2),133-155。  new window
4.Dothan, L. U.(1978)。On the Term Structure of Interest Rates。Journal of Financial Economics,6(1),59-69。  new window
5.Cox, J. C.、Ingersoll, J. E.、Ross, S. A.(1985)。A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rate。Econometrica,53(2),385-408。  new window
6.李賢源、林慧貞(19980700)。最大平滑度遠期利率曲線配適模型之再探討。中國財務學刊,6(1),45-75。new window  延伸查詢new window
7.Nelson, C. R.、Siegel, A. F.(1987)。Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves。The Journal of Business,60(4),473-489。  new window
8.蔣松原(2000)。建構台灣公債市場殖利率曲線。貨幣觀測與信用評等,22,99-119。  延伸查詢new window
9.McCulloch, J. Huston(1975)。The Tax-Adjusted Yield Curve。Journal of Finance,30(3),811-830。  new window
10.周建新、于鴻福、張千雲(20030800)。利率期限結構估計模型之實證研究。管理學報,20(4),775-804。new window  延伸查詢new window
11.Adams, K. J.、Van Deventer, D. R.(1994)。Fitting Yield Curves and Forward Rate Curves with Maximum Smoothness。The Journal of Fixed Income,4(1),52-62。  new window
12.Bliss, R. R.(1997)。Testing Term Structure Estimation Methods。Advances in Futures and Options Research,9,197-231。  new window
13.Shea, G. S.(1985)。Interest Rate Term Structure Estimation with Exponential Splines: A Note。The Journal of Finance,40(1),319-325。  new window
14.謝承熹(20000800)。以分段三次方指數函數配適臺灣公債市場之利率期限結構:線性最適化與非線性最適化之比較。中國財務學刊,8(2),25-47。new window  延伸查詢new window
15.李桐豪(20010300)。債券市場發展對貨幣政策之影響。中央銀行季刊,23(1),23-45。new window  延伸查詢new window
16.Vasicek, Oldrich Alfonso(1977)。An Equilibrium Characterization of the Term Structure。Journal of Financial Economics,5(2),177-188。  new window
17.沈中華(1998)。影響臺灣貨市利率的三因子。貨幣市場,12,4-7。  延伸查詢new window
18.Anderson, N.、Sleath, J.(1999)。New Estimates of the UK Real and Nominal Yield Curves。Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin,384-392。  new window
研究報告
1.Fisher, M.、Nychka, D.、Zervos, D.(199501)。Fitting the Term Structure of Interest Rates with Smoothing Splines。  new window
2.Svensson, L. E. O.(1994)。Estimating and Interpreting Forward Interest Rates: Sweden 1992-1994。International Monetary Fund。  new window
3.Waggoner, D. F.(1997)。Spline Methods for Extracting Interest Rate Curves from Coupon Bond Prices。Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta。  new window
學位論文
1.陳美娥(2001)。臺灣公債利率期限結構之配適-以契比雪夫多項式為例(-)。  延伸查詢new window
2.吳秉儒(1996)。日本國債利率期間結構估計之實證研究(碩士論文)。國立台灣科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.賴曉璐(1997)。政府公債殖利率曲線形狀與免疫策略的選擇(碩士論文)。國立台灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.薛立言、劉亞秋(2004)。債券市場。東華書局。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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