:::

詳目顯示

回上一頁
題名:臺灣股市不存在中期動能效應?
書刊名:東吳經濟商學學報
作者:王明昌 引用關係朱榕屏 引用關係王弘志
作者(外文):Wang, Ming-changZu, Long-pingWang, Hung-chih
出版日期:2010
卷期:68
頁次:頁91-120
主題關鍵詞:動能效應反向策略零投資動能投資組合形成期持有期Momentum strategiesContrarian strategiesZero-investment momentum portfolioFormatting periodHolding period
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:19
  • 點閱點閱:93
本文旨在檢驗“台灣股市不存在中期動能效應”相關文獻研究正確性?以長期資料探討中期動能效應及為成因釋義。參照Jegadeesh 及Titman (1993) ,建立買贏家及賣輸家的零投資動能投資組合,以買進持有方法計算報酬,發現動能投資組合可獲正顯著利潤。另在形成期結束和建立動能投資組合間,分別插入1 或2 個月延遲,則持有動能投資組合正報酬更高。除證實台股確存在中期動能外,發現在中期動能結束後12 個月股價開始顯著反向。顯示投資人可用中期動能亦可選中期反向策略操作獲利,且中期反向報酬較中期動能高。再對動能釋義,Fama及French (1993) 三因子模型無法通過測試據以成為分析台股風險模型;行為財務理論Daniel、Hirsheifer 及Subrahmanyam (1998) 模式較Barberis、Shleifer及Vishny (1998) 與Hong 及Stein (1999) 模型對台股中期動能效應更具合理解釋。
The purpose of this study analyze whether the middle-term price momentum strategy will generate abnormal rate of return in Taiwanese stock market, as proposed by most of current literatures regarding the European and U.S. stock markets, nevertheless, the Asian (included Taiwanese) stock markets have not found. Following Jegadeesh and Titman (1993), we sort the whole stocks in Taiwan Stock Exchange (TSE), create the zero-investment momentum portfolio, and count their the buy-and-holds’returns. The portfolio can be proved positive average profits, significantly. The abnormal positive average return will be increased, marvelously, if their delay one-or two-months to form the momentum portfolio. We also find the other middle-term price reversed pattern within the twelve months just after the price momentum period. According to the above results, the investors can generate abnormal return using the middle-term price momentum strategies and the other using the middle-term contrarian strategies in Taiwanese stock market. To interpret these anomalies, this study demonstrates model of the Fama and French (1993) three factors model, could not be an adequate one in describing price behaviors of Taiwanese stock market. We also explain that the Behavioral Finance model of Daniel, et al. (1998) is more successful than the Barberis, et al. (1998) and the Hong and Stein (1999) models for decrypting the middle-term momentum and contrarian strategies in Taiwanese stock market.
期刊論文
1.Chordia, T.、Shivakumar, L.(2002)。Momentum, Business Cycle, and Time-Varing Expected Returns。Journal of Finance,57(2),985-1019。  new window
2.Richards, A. J.(1997)。Winner-Loser Reversals in National Stock Market Indices: Can They Be Explained?。Journal of Finance,52(5),2129-2144。  new window
3.Jegadeesh, N.、Titman, S.(2002)。Cross-Sectional and Time-Series Determinants of Momentum Returns。Review of Financial Studies,15(1),143-157。  new window
4.Hameed, A.、Kusnadi, Y.(2002)。Momentum Strategies: Evidence from the Pacific Basin Stock Markets。Journal of Financial Research,25(3),383-397。  new window
5.Rouwenhorst, G. K.(1999)。Local Return Factors and Turnover in Emerging Markets。Journal of Finance,54(4),1439-1464。  new window
6.Fama, Eugene F.、French, K. R.(1998)。Market Efficiency, Long-Term Returns, and Behavioral Finance。Journal of Financial Economics,49(3),283-306。  new window
7.Conrad, Jennifer、Kaul, Gautam(1998)。An Anatomy of Trading Strategies。The Review of Financial Studies,11(3),489-519。  new window
8.Schiereck, Dirk、De Bondt, Werner、Weber, Martin(1999)。Contrarian and momentum strategies in Germany。Financial Analysts Journal,55(6),104-116。  new window
9.Chordia, Tarun、Shivakumar, Lakshmanan(2002)。Momentum, Business Cycle, and Time-varying Expected Returns。Journal of Finance,57(2),985-1019。  new window
10.Barberis, Nicholas、Shleifer, Andrei、Vishny, Robert W.(1998)。A model of investor sentiment。Journal of Financial Economics,49(3),307-343。  new window
11.Fama, Eugene F.、French, Kenneth R.(1996)。Multifactor Explanations of Asset Pricing Anomalies。Journal of Finance,51(1),55-84。  new window
12.Chan, Louis K. C.、Jegadeesh, Narasimhan、Lakonishok, Josef(1996)。Momentum Strategies。Journal of Finance,51(5),1681-1713。  new window
13.Rouwenhorst, K. Geert(1998)。International Momentum Strategies。The Journal of Finance,53(1),267-284。  new window
14.Fama, Eugene F.、French, Kenneth R.(1993)。Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds。Journal of Financial Economics,33(1),3-56。  new window
15.Jegadeesh, Narasimhan、Titman, Sheridan(1993)。Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency。The Journal of Finance,48(1),65-91。  new window
16.Daniel, Kent D.、Hirshleifer, David A.、Subrahmanyam, Avanidhar(1998)。Investor Psychology and Security Market under- and Overreactions。The Journal of Finance,53(6),1839-1885。  new window
17.林哲鵬、黃昭祥、李春安(20060600)。機構投資人行為與臺灣股市報酬的關聯性。財務金融學刊,14(2),111-150。new window  延伸查詢new window
18.Fama, Eugene F.、French, Kenneth R.(1998)。Value Versus Growth: The International Evidence。The Journal of Finance,53(6),1975-1999。  new window
19.Hong, Harrison、Stein, Jeremy C.(1999)。A Unified Theory of Underreaction, Momentum Trading, and Overreacton in Asset Markets。Journal of Finance,54(6),2143-2184。  new window
20.周賓凰、鍾惠民(1999)。「形成與持有期限、時間序列可預測性與反向操作策略績效」。中國財務學刊,第7卷第2期,頁1-27。  延伸查詢new window
21.Chordia, T., and L. Shivakumar(2006)。“Earning and Price Momentum.”。Journal of Financial Economics,80,no.3,pp.627 -56。  new window
22.Conrad, J., and G. Kaul(1998)。“An Anatomy of Trading Strategies.”。Review of Financial Studies,11,no.3,pp. 489-519。  new window
23.Chou, P. H., H. Chung, and K. C. Wei(2007)。“Sources of contrarian profits in Japanese markets.”。Journal of Empirical Finance,14,no.3,pp.261-86。  new window
24.Daniel, K., D. Hirshleifer, and A. Subrahmanyam(1998)。“Investor Psychology and Security Market Under- and Overreaction.”。Journal of Finance,53,no.6,pp.1839-86。  new window
25.Hameed, A., and K. Yuanto(2002)。“Momentum Strategies: Evidence from the Pacific Basin StockMarkets.”。Journal of Financial Research,25,no. 3,pp.383-97。  new window
26.Jegadeesh, N., and S. Titman(2002)。“Cross-Sectional and Time-Series Determinants of Momentum Returns.”。Review of Financial Studies,15,no. 1,pp.143-57。  new window
27.Rouwenhorst, K. G.(1999)。“Local Return Factors and Turnover in Emerging Markets.”。Journal of Finance,54,no. 4,pp.1439-64。  new window
28.周賓凰、鐘惠民(1999)。形成與持有期限、時間序列可預測性與反向操作策略績效。中國財務學刊,7(2),1-27。  延伸查詢new window
29.Chou, P. H.、Chung, H.、Wei, K. C.(2007)。Sources of contrarian profits in Japanese markets。Journal of Empirical Finance,14(3),261-86。  new window
30.Chordia, T.、Shivakumar, L.(2006)。Earning and Price Momentum。Journal of Financial Economics,80(3),627-56。  new window
會議論文
1.朱榕屏、王明昌、謝企榮、郭照榮、莊建富(2003)。「台灣股市動能與反向策略」。台北。  延伸查詢new window
2.Chui, C.W., S. Titman, and K. C.Wei(2002)。“Momentum, Legal Systems and Ownership Structure:An Analysis of Asian Stock markets.”。2002 NTU International Conference on Finance, Taipei, Taiwan。  new window
3.朱榕屏、王明昌、謝企榮、郭照榮、莊建富(2003)。臺灣股市動能與反向策略。台北。  延伸查詢new window
4.Pan, M. S.(2004)。Sources of Winner-Loser Effects in National Stock Markets。Taipei, Taiwan。  new window
5.Chui, C. W.、Titman, S.、Wei, K. C.(2002)。Momentum, Legal Systems and Ownership Structure: An Analysis of Asian Stock markets。Taipei, Taiwan。  new window
研究報告
1.Hong, Dong、Lee, Charles M. C.、Swaminathan, Bhaskaran(2003)。Earnings Momentum in International Markets。Singapore Management University。  new window
2.Chen, A.(2000)。“Momentum does not Matter Consistently: The Evidence from Taiwan Stock Returns.”。  new window
3.Chen, A.(2000)。Momentum does not Matter Consistently: The Evidence from Taiwan Stock Returns。  new window
學位論文
1.陳正佑(2002)。台股動量策略與反向策略投資績效之研究(博士論文)。國立中山大學。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.黃昭祥(2005)。法人投資行為、成交量、與報酬可預測性--台灣股市動能效應或反轉現象之再探(博士論文)。雲林科技大學。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.廖永熙(2007)。亞洲新興市場之三因子及動能現象之探討。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.黃昭祥(2005)。法人投資行為、成交量、與報酬可預測性─臺灣股市動能效應或反轉現象之再探。雲林科技大學。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.廖永熙(2007)。亞洲新興市場之三因子及動能現象之探討。雲林科技大學。new window  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
第一頁 上一頁 下一頁 最後一頁 top
:::
無相關書籍
 
無相關著作
 
QR Code
QRCODE