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題名:不同風險衡量下效率投資組合之比較分析
書刊名:東吳經濟商學學報
作者:許晉雄 引用關係鄒慶士葉柏緯
作者(外文):Hsu, Chin-hsiungTsou, Ching-shihYeh, Po-wei
出版日期:2010
卷期:70
頁次:頁29-56
主題關鍵詞:左偏動差半變異數絕對離差條件風險值投資組合績效Lower partial momentSemivarianceMean absolute deviationConditional value-at-riskPortfolio performance measurement
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傳統投資組合理論主要的是以變異數來衡量風險,而其中又以Markowitz (1952)提出的平均數-變異數投資組合模型最為著名,在此模型中,由於共變異數矩陣的計算上較為困難且複雜,因此,Konno及Yamazaki (1991)另外提出了平均數-平均絕對離差模型,此模型不但節省了計算時間,並且在求解最適投資組合時,也不需要共變異數矩陣,所以降低了計算上的困難度。除此之外,亦有許多學者分別提出不同的風險測量方式,如Markowitz (1959)提出了半變異數(semivariance)的觀念,而Estrada (2008)即以此半變異數為損失風險的觀念發展出一種較簡易的平均數-半變異數模型;其次,Bawa及Lindenberg (1977)以左偏動差(lower partial moment)做為損失風險的觀念而發展出平均數-左偏動差模型;另外,Rockafellar及Uryasev (2000)則以條件風險值(conditional value-at-risk)為損失風險的觀念發展出平均數-條件風險值模型。綜觀上述不同風險測量之投資組合模型,本研究以半變異數、左偏動差、平均絕對離差、條件風險值來衡量投資組合的風險,與利用變異數來衡量風險作比較,分析其所求解出的最適投資組合之差異與進行相似度分析,文中發現在樣本內資料分析部分,MLPM與MSV之間的相似度指數位居第一,而MV與MMAD之間的相似度指數較高。
Traditionally, the measure of risk used in portfolio optimization models is the variance. Markowitz (1952) proposed the famous mean-variance (MV) model for the modern portfolio theory by defining variance as risk. However, a major obstacle in the application of the mean-variance model is the computational complexity of estimating the covariance matrix by the MV model. Thus, Konno and Yamazaki (1991) proposed the mean-mean absolute deviation (MMAD) as alternative to the mean variance (MV) model to avoid this shortcoming. On the other side, many researchers had proposed different points of view to measure risks in the portfolio theory. For example, Markowitz (1959) proposed another risk measurement, semivariance (SV). Recently, Estrada (2008) solved the optimization portfolio problems by evaluating the downside risk which is derived from the concept of the semivariance. Next, Bawa and Lindenberg (1977) developed a theory to evaluate the downside risk model named ”Mean Lower-Partial-Moment” (MLPM) model which is derived from the concept of the Lower Partial Moment. Finally, Rockafellar and Uryasev (2000) proposed ”Mean Conditional Value-at-Risk” (MCVaR) model which is derived from the concept of the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). The main subject of this paper is to find out the optimal portfolio by the comparison and analysis of the portfolio risk measured by variance, the portfolio risk measured by SV, the portfolio risk measured by LPM, the portfolio risk measured by CVaR, and the portfolio risk measured by MAD. Finally, we find that MLPM model has the higest similarity index with MSV model, and MV and MMAD model are more relative similar with each other.
期刊論文
1.Angelelli, R.、Mansini, R.、Speranza, M. G.(2008)。A Comparison of MAD and CVaR Models with Real Features。Journal of Banking & Finance,32(7),1188-1197。  new window
2.Angelelli, R.、Mansini, R.、Speranza, M. G.(2008)。A comparison of MAD and CVaR models with real features。Journal of Banking & Finance,32(7),1188-1197。  new window
3.Bawa, Vijay S.(1975)。Optimal Rules for Ordering Uncertain Prospects。Journal of Financial Economics,2,95-121。  new window
4.Byrne, P.、Lee L.(2004)。Different Risk Measures: Different Portfolio Compositions?。Journal of Property Investment and Finance,22(6),501-511。  new window
5.Estrada, J.(2002)。Systematic Risk in Emerging Markets: The D-CAPM。Emerging Markets Review,3(4),365-379。  new window
6.Estrada, J.(2007)。Mean-Semivariance Behavior: Downside Risk and Capital Asset Pricing。International Review of Economics and Finance,16(2),169-185。  new window
7.Alexander, G. J.、Baptista, A. M.(2002)。Economic Implications of Using a Mean-VaR Model for Portfolio Selection: A Comparison with Mean-variance Analysis。Journal of Economic, Dynamics and Control,26,1159-1193。  new window
8.Hogan, W.、Warren, J. M.(1974)。Toward the Development of an Equilibrium Capital-Market Model Based on Semivariance。Journal of Financial Quantitative Analysis,9(1),1-11。  new window
9.Konno, H.(1990)。Piecewise Linear Risk Functions and Portfolio Optimization。Journal of Operations Research Society of Japan,33(2),139-156。  new window
10.Lee, C. L.(2007)。The Strengths and Limitations of Risk Measures in Real Estate: A Review。Malaysian Journal of Real Estate,1(1),68-74。  new window
11.Phillips, H. E.(1993)。Portfolio Optimization Algorithms, Simplified Criteria, and Security Selection: A Contrast and Evaluation。Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting,3,91-97。  new window
12.Roy, Arthur D.(1952)。Safety First and the Holding of Assets。Econometrica,20(3),431-449。  new window
13.Fishburn, P. C.(1977)。Mean-Risk Analysis with Risk Associated with Below-Target Returns。American Economic Review,67(2),116-126。  new window
14.Nawrocki, D. N.(1999)。A Brief History of Downside Risk Measures。Journal of Investing,8(3),9-25。  new window
15.Estrada, J.(2008)。Mean-Semivariance Optimization: A Heuristic Approach。Journal of Applied Finance,14(1),57-72。  new window
16.Evans, J. L.(2004)。Wealthy Investor Attitudes, Expectations, and Behaviors toward Risk and Return。The Journal of Wealth Management,7(1),12-18。  new window
17.Lee, C. L.(2006)。Downside Risk Analysis in Australin commercial Property。Australian Property Journal,39(1),16-20。  new window
18.Konno, H.、Yamazaki, H.(1991)。Mean-absolute deviation portfolio optimization model and its applications to Tokyo stock market。Management Science,37(5),519-531。  new window
19.Artzner, P.、Delbaen, F.、Eber, J. M.、Heath, D.(1999)。Coherent Measure of Risk。Mathematical Finance,9(3),203-228。  new window
20.Lucas, A.、Klaassen, P.(1998)。Extreme Returns, Downside Risk, and Optimal Asset Allocation。Journal of Portfolio Management,25(1),71-79。  new window
21.Rockafellar, R. T.、Uryasev, S.(2000)。Optimization of Conditional Value-at-Risk。Journal of Risk,2(3),21-42。  new window
22.Bawa, Vijay S.、Lindenberg, Eric B.(1977)。Capital Market Equilibrium in a Mean-lower Partial Moment Framework。Journal of Financial Economics,5(2),189-200。  new window
23.Campbell, R.、Huisman, R.、Koedijk, K.(2001)。Optimal Portfolio Selection in a Value-at-Risk Framework。Journal of Banking and Finance,25(9),1789-1804。  new window
24.Markowitz, Harry M.(1952)。Portfolio Selection。The Journal of Finance,7(1),77-91。  new window
25.Patrick, R.,(1982)。“An Extension of Shapiro and Wilk's W Test for Normality to Large Samples,”。Applied Statistics,vol.31,115-124。  new window
26.Bawa, V. S.(1975)。Optimal Rules for Ordering Uncertain Prospects。Journal of Financial Economics,2(95),95-121。  new window
27.Estrada, J.(2008)。Men-Semivariance Optimization: A Heuristic Approach。Journal of Applied Finance,14(1),57-72。  new window
28.Patrick, R.(1982)。An Extension of Shapiro and Wilk's W Test for Normality to Large Samples。Applied Statistics,31,115-124。  new window
圖書
1.Markowitz, Harry M.(1959)。Portfolio Selection: Efficient Diversification of Investment。New York:Wiley。  new window
2.Cuthbertson, K.(1996)。Quantitative Financial Economics-Stocks, Bonds and Foreign Exchange。John Wiley & Sons。  new window
3.Markowitz, H. M.(1959)。Portfolio selection。New York:John Wiley & Sons。  new window
 
 
 
 
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