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題名:私人投資支出對臺灣所得、利率、物價之實證研究
書刊名:華人前瞻研究
作者:馮惠珊 引用關係余惠芳 引用關係
作者(外文):Feng, Hui-shanYu, Hui-fun
出版日期:2010
卷期:6:2
頁次:頁97-107
主題關鍵詞:私人投資支出IS-LM模型AD-AS模型金融海嘯Private investmentIS-LM modelAD-AS modelFinancial tsunami
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:8
  • 點閱點閱:128
本研究主要係利用凱因斯理論及統計方法建立迴歸模型,試圖了解私人投資支出增加對台灣所得、利率、物價是否具顯著影響力。實主量分析上,以IS-LM、AD-AS理論為基礎,利用統計方法SPSS實證檢驗台灣近37年(1971年至2008年)之季資料,探討私人投資支出、市場利率、物價、所得之相互關聯性。實證結果顯示,若私人投資支出增加,所得GDP上升、利率會下跌、物價會上漲;反之可以發現,當私人投資支出下降時,所得也就會跟著減少。綜述得知私人投資支出與GDP、物價呈正向的變動關係,而私人投資支出與利率的影響呈反向的變動關係,且私人投資支出對GDP的解釋能力較高,在利率、物價的解釋能力較低。實證結果顯示與凱因斯IS-LM、AD-AS理論一致,私人投資支出增加,利率會下降,所得及物價會增加之結果一致。
This study applied Keynesian Theory and statistics methods to establish a regression model, in order understand whether an increase in private investment has any significant influence on GDP, interest rates and price in Taiwan. This empirical analysis was established on the basis of IS-LM and AD-AS theories. SPSS was utilized to perform tests on the quarterly data during the past 37 years (1971~2008) in Taiwan in order to explore relationships among private investment, interest rates, price and GDP. Findings, that an increase in Private investment would increase GDP, lower interest rates, and increase price. On the contrary, a drop in private investment and would reduce GDP. To sum up, there is a positive correlation between private investment and GDP, as well as between private investment and price. There is a negative correlation between private investment and interest rates. Meanwhile, private investment have high explanatory power over GDP and relatively low explanatory power over interest rates and price. The empirical results are consistent with Keynesian IS-LM and AD-AS Model. A rise in private investments and will reduce interest rates, and increase GDP and price.
期刊論文
1.Acemoglu, D.、Aghion, P.、Zilibotti, F.(2006)。Distance to Frontier, Selection, and Economic Growth。Journal of the European Economic Association,4(1),37-74。  new window
2.Alina, C.、Stone, M. R.(2006)。Inflation Targeting Regimes。European Economic Review,50,1297-1315。  new window
3.余惠芳、陳瑞惠、陳家蓁(20101200)。財務比率、投資決策與公司績效之實證研究--全球金融海嘯前後比較。全球管理與經濟,6(2),1-18。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.徐千婷(20060900)。利率對臺灣民間投資影響之實證分析。中央銀行季刊,28(3),49-76。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.馮惠珊、余惠芳(20090500)。民間消費支出對臺灣經濟影響之分析。華人前瞻研究,5(1),55-65。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.馮惠珊、余惠芳(20100300)。貨幣供給對臺灣所得利率物價匯率關聯性之研究。華人經濟研究,8(1),91-103。new window  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.周峻成(2006)。外人直接投資與經濟成長之關係探討-門檻迴歸模型之應用(碩士論文)。國立中正大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.陳力豪(2007)。政府投資、公營企業投資、民營企業投資與經濟成長的因果關係~台灣之實證研究(碩士論文)。國立臺北大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.劉偉豪(2007)。總體經濟環境變數對外人直接投資台灣與中國大陸之差異影響評估(碩士論文)。國立成功大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Gordon, R. J.(2009)。Macroeconomics。Addison Wesley。  new window
2.Todaro, Michael P.、Smith, Stephen C.(2009)。Economic Development。Pearson。  new window
3.Osborne, Davis、Gaebler, T.(1993)。Reinventing Government: How the Entrepreneurial Spirit is Transforming the Public Sector。MA:Addison-Wesley。  new window
4.Barro, R. J.(2008)。Macroeconomics: A Modern Approach。Mason, OH:Thomson South-Western。  new window
 
 
 
 
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