:::

詳目顯示

回上一頁
題名:貝氏統計於選擇式聯合分析法之個人與市場區隔參數之推論
書刊名:管理與系統
作者:劉秀雯 引用關係任立中 引用關係林育理
作者(外文):Liu, Hsiu-wenJen, Li-chungLin, Yu-li
出版日期:2012
卷期:19:4
頁次:頁673-699
主題關鍵詞:市場區隔層級貝氏統計選擇式聯合分析法Market segmentationHierarchical Bays inferenceChoice-based conjoint analysis
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:19
  • 點閱點閱:31
傳統的選擇式聯合分析法主要針對整體市場的偏好參數做推論,無法準確的針對個人層次的參數做推論。層級貝氏的方法可有效推論個人層次參數,因其模式結合整體與個人偏好的資訊,並以整體資訊作為先驗分配以輔助個人層次參數的推論。然而,我們認為若進一步以區隔的資訊作為先驗分配,應可再提升參數的準確率。基於此觀點,本研究提出設定消費者異質性偏好服從具有潛藏區隔特性的混合常態分配模型,改進過去層級貝氏方法對消費者異質性服從常態分配假設的限制。同時,並提出此模型的市場區隔方法。因此,本研究模型主要優點為可從一次的分析中,產生個人層次偏好係數、市場區隔層次偏好係數,以及市場區隔大小的資訊。最後本研究以旅遊產品為例,說明此模型在選擇式聯合分析法的應用。
Doing choice-based conjoint analysis, it is a typical approach to estimate part-worths at the aggregate level. However, hierarchical Bayes approach could overcome the limit. The Bayesian approach integrates the aggregate level parth-worths as prior information to adjust the individual level part-worths and thus individual level part-worths could be inferenced more precisely. Theoretically, the precision of individual level part-worths could be improved if the segment level part-worths are used as prior information. In view of the above reason, a hierarchical Bayes choice model with mixture of normals prior is proposed to improve the prior for the inferenc of individual part-worths. The proposed model overcomes the limits of traiditional Bayesian approaches because the traiditional approach could not provide both segment and individual levels part-worths in a conjoint analysis. In this paper, the authors illustrate how multivariate mixture of normals model could improve the understanding of those latent segments hidden in the data. Specifically, the model provides a solution for the understanding of individual preference and identifies consumer segments in an analysis. With an application to a travel service conjoint study, we show how this modeling approach could help us to uncover individual and segment levels parameters in a choice-based conjoint analysis.
期刊論文
1.任立中、陳靜怡(20070600)。顧客價值遷移路徑分析 : 馬可夫鏈模型。臺大管理論叢,17(2),133-158。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.任立中、林婷鈴、陳靜怡、李吉仁(20060300)。高科技產業產品價值創造與行銷價值專屬化之最適資源配置。中山管理評論,14(1),11-42。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.林婷鈴、陳靜怡、任立中(20071200)。解析自有品牌策略與績效關係的迷思:層級貝氏迴歸模式之運用。臺大管理論叢,18(1),117-149。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Allenby, Greg M.、Ginter, James L.(1995)。Using Extremes to Design Products and Segment Markets。Journal of Marketing Research,32(4),392-403。  new window
5.Rossi, Peter E.、Allenby, Greg M.(2003)。Bayesian Statistics and Marketing。Marketing Science,22(3),304-328。  new window
6.Chib, Siddhartha、Greenberg, Edward(1995)。Understanding the Metropolis-Hastings Algorithm。American Statistician,49(4),327-335。  new window
7.Green, P. E.、Rao, V. R.(1971)。Conjoint Measurement for Quantifying Judgmental Data。Journal of Marketing Research,8(3),355-364。  new window
8.Arabie, P.、Carroll, J. D.、DeSarbo, W.、Wind, J.(1981)。Overlapping Clustering: A New Method for Product Positioning。Journal of Marketing Research,18(3),310-317。  new window
9.Desarbo, W.、Oliver, R.、Rangaswamy, A.(1989)。A simulated annealing methodology for clusterwise linear-regression。Psychometrika,54(4),707-736。  new window
10.Currim, Imran S.(1981)。Using Segmentation Approaches for Better Prediction and Understanding from Consumer Mode Choice Models。Journal of Marketing Research,18(3),301-309。  new window
11.Kamakura, W. A.(1988)。A Least Squares Procedure for Benefit Segmentation with Conjoint Experiments。Journal of Marketing Research,25(2),157-167。  new window
12.Allenby, G. M.、Bakken, D. M.、Rossi, P. E.(2004)。The HB revolution: how Bayesian methods have changed the face of marketing research。Marketing Research,16(2),20-25。  new window
13.Roberts, Gareth O.、Rosenthal, Jeffrey S.(2001)。Optimal Scaling for Various Metropolis-Hastings Algorithms。Statistical Science,16(4),351-367。  new window
14.Green, P. E.(1977)。A New Approach to Market Segmentation。Business Horizons,20(1),61-73。  new window
15.Jen, Lichung、Chou, Chien-Hend、Allenby, Greg M.(2009)。The Importance of Modeling Temporal Dependence of Timing and Quantity in Direct Marketing。Journal of Marketing Research,46(4),482-493。  new window
16.Allenby, G. M.、Arora, N.、Ginter, J. L.(1995)。Incorporating Prior Knowledge into the Analysis of Conjoint Studies。Journal of Marketing Research,32(2),152-162。  new window
17.Hauser, J. R.、Urban, G. L.。A Normative Methodology for Modeling Consumer Response to Innovation。Operations Research,25(4),579-619。  new window
18.Allenby, Greg M.、Axora, Neeraj、Giater, James L.(1998)。On the Heterogeneity of Demand。Journal of Marketing Research,35(3),384-389。  new window
19.DeSarbo, W. S.、Ramaswamy V.、Cohen S. H.(1995)。Market Segmentation with Choice-based Conjoint Analysis。Marketing Letters,6(2),137-147。  new window
20.Green, P. E.、DeSarbo, W. S.(1979)。Componential Segmentation in the Analysis of Consumer Trade-offs。Journal of Marketing,43(4),83-91。  new window
21.Kamakura, W. A.、Wedel, M.、Agrawal, J.,(1994)。Concomitant Variable Latent Class Models for Conjoint Analysis。International Journal of Research in Marketing,11(5),451-464。  new window
22.Kamakura, W. A.、Russell, G. J.(1989)。A Probabilistic Choice Model for Market Segmentation and Elasticity Structuring。Journal of Marketing,26(4),379-390。  new window
23.Moore, W. L.(1980)。Levels of Aggregation in Conjoint Analysis: An Empirical Comparison。Journal of Marketing Research,17(4),516-523。  new window
24.Moriarty, M.、Venkatesan M.(1978)。Concept Evaluation and Marketing Segmentation。Journal of Marketing,42(3),82-86。  new window
25.Ogawa, K.(1987)。An Approach to Simultaneous Estimation and Segmentation in Conjoint Analysis。Marketing Science,6(1),66-81。  new window
26.Wedel, M.、Steenkamp, J. E. M.(1989)。A Fuzzy Cluster-wise Regression Approach to Benefit Segmentation。International Journal of Research in Marketing,6(4),241-258。  new window
圖書
1.Rossi, P. E.、Allenby, G. M.、McCulloch, R. E.(2005)。Bayesian Statistics and Marketing。Hoboken, NJ。  new window
2.Wedel, M.、Kamakura W. A.(2000)。Market Segmentation: Conceptual and Methodological Foundations。Amsterdam:Kluwer。  new window
 
 
 
 
第一頁 上一頁 下一頁 最後一頁 top
:::
無相關書籍
 
無相關著作
 
無相關點閱
 
QR Code
QRCODE