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題名:集中度風險於結構式商品的量化與分析:以房屋抵押貸款證券為例
書刊名:經濟論文叢刊
作者:傅信豪 引用關係楊啟均江彌修 引用關係
作者(外文):Fu, Hsin-haoYang, Chi-chunChiang, Mi-hsiu
出版日期:2015
卷期:43:4
頁次:頁443-493
主題關鍵詞:房屋抵押貸款證券集中度風險微粒化調整內部信用增強Mortgage backed securitiesConcentration riskGranularity adjustmentsInternal credit enhancements
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 點閱點閱:28
Martin and Wilde (2002)與Gordy (2003)針對巴塞爾協定(BaselAccords)中金融機構之投資組合所內之集中度風險提出了相對應的微粒化調整(Gran ularity Adjustment)風險量化準則,然而該模型僅止於單因子架構下探究單一信用標的集中度風險之量化。本文將其架構延用至結構式商品中,允許債權群組內之信用標的具不同區域別,我們採用Hull and White (2010)之跨池違約相關性描述,並結合Pykh tin (2004)中延拓單因子聯繫模型至多因子之方式,進而求取債權群組之單一資產集中度(Single-Name Concentration)與區域類別集中度(Sector Concentration)風險的量化。本文以房屋抵押貸款證券(Mo rtgage Backed Securit悶,MBS)為例,於集中度風險的考量下,藉由檢視不同風險情境下分券之損失起賠點,重新評估房屋抵押貸款證券AAA投資級分券信用評級之合理性。研究結果顯示,AAA評等之分券高度曝險於系統性風險,且於高風險情境下,標的房貸之區域集中現象擴大了違約相關性對債權群組損失分配的影響,致使AAA分券之損失起賠點得以超過其實際擔保額度(subordination)範圍。
Granularity adjustments, introduced by Martin and Wilde (2002) and Gordy (2003) allow one to quantify the concentration exposures of credit portfolios due to imperfect diversification. However, this line of research focused solely on single-name concentrations under an asymptotic single factor framework. In this study, by adapting the inter-mortgage-pool correlation structure of Hull and White (2010) under the multi-factor setting of Pykhtin (2004) we derive quantitative measures of single-name and sector concentration that facilitate subsequent analysis of the risk profiles embedded in Mortgage Backed Securities (MBSs). Under different stress scenarios, we examine the impact of concentration exposures on the internal credit enhancements, in particular, on the AAA tranche attachment points. We show that, under severe market conditions, the presence of regional concentrations in the underlying mortgage pools can further amplify the effects of default correlation on the portfolio loss distributions. As a direct consequence, the preset subordination level determined by the assignment of tranche attachment points can be exceeded.
期刊論文
1.Wilde, Tom(2001)。Probing granularity。Risk,14(8),102-106。  new window
2.Tabak, Benjamin M.、Fazio, Dimas M.、Cajueiro, Daniel O.(2011)。The effects of loan portfolio concentration on Brazilian banks' return and risk。Journal of Banking and Finance,35(11),3065-3076。  new window
3.Rossi, Stefania P. S.、Schwaiger, Markus S.、Winkler, Gerhard(2009)。How Loan Portfolio Diversification Affects Risk, Efficiency and Capitalization: A Managerial Behavior Model for Austrian Banks。Journal of Banking and Finance,33(12),2218-2226。  new window
4.Benmelech, Efraim、Dlugosz, Jennifer(2010)。The Credit Rating Crisis。National Bureau of Economic Research Macroeconomics Annual,3,161-207。  new window
5.Coval, Joshua D.、Jurek, Jakub W.、Stafford, Erik(2009)。Economic Catastrophe Bonds。American Economic Review,99(3),628-666。  new window
6.Coval, Joshua D.、Jurek, Jakub W.、Stafford, Erik(2009)。The Economics of Structured Finance。Journal of Economic Perspectives,23(1),3-26。  new window
7.Gouriéroux, Christian、Laurent, Jean Pierre、Scaillet, Olivier(2000)。Sensitivity Analysis of Value at Risk。Journal of Empirical Finance,7,225-245。  new window
8.Hull, John C.、White, Alan D.(2010)。The Risk of Tranches Created From Mortgages。Financial Analysts Journal,66(5),54-67。  new window
9.Kalemanova, Anna、Schmid, Bernd、Werner, Ralf(2007)。The Normal Inverse Gaussian Distribution for Synthetic CDO Pricing。Journal of Derivatives,14(3),80-94。  new window
10.Martin, Richard、Wilde, Tom(2002)。Unsystematic Credit Risk。Risk,15,123-128。  new window
11.Pykhtin, Michael(2004)。Multi-factor Adjustment。Risk,17(3),85-90。  new window
12.Wendin, Jonathan、McNeil, Alexander J.(2006)。Dependent Credit Migrations。Journal of Credit Risk,2(3),87-114。  new window
13.Acharya, Viral V.、Hasan, Iftekhar、Saunders, Anthony(2006)。Should Banks Be Diversified? Evidence from Individual Bank Loan Portfolios。Journal of Business,79(3),1355-1412。  new window
14.Gordy, Michael B.(2003)。A risk-factor model foundation for ratings-based capital rules。Journal of Financial Intermediation,12(3),199-232。  new window
15.Hull, John C.、White, Alan D.(2004)。Valuation of a CDO and an n-th to default CDS without Monte Carlo simulation。Journal of Derivatives,12(2),8-23。  new window
研究報告
1.Adelino, Manuel(2009)。Do Investors Rely on Ratings? The Case of Mortgage- Backed Securities。Massachusetts Institute of Technology。  new window
2.Carling, Kenneth、Ronnegard, Lars、Roszbach, Kasper(2006)。Is Firm Interdependence Within Industries Important for Portfolio Credit Risk?。  new window
3.Düllmann, Klaus、Masschelein, Nancy(2006)。Sector Concentration in Loan Portfolios and Economic Capital。Deutsche Bundesbank。  new window
4.Gordy, Michael B.、Eva-Maria Lütkebohmert,(2007)。Granularity Adjustment for Basel II。Deutsche Bundesbank。  new window
圖書
1.Vasicek, Oldrich(1991)。Limiting Loan Loss Probability Distribution。KMV corporation。  new window
2.Bin, Z.、Zhang, J.(2001)。An Empirical Assessment of Asset Correlation Models。KMV Corporation。  new window
3.Vasicek, Oldrich(1987)。Probability of Loss on Loan Portfolio。  new window
 
 
 
 
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