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題名:Analysis and Prospects on the Development of PRC-ROC Cross-Strait Policies
書刊名:政治科學論叢
作者:蔡政文
作者(外文):Tsai, Cheng-wen
出版日期:1996
卷期:7
頁次:頁257-286
主題關鍵詞:中共臺灣兩岸政策
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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     本文旨在分析北京與臺北對兩岸關係政策的發展及展望。共分四部分,首先說明北京對臺政策及臺北對大陸政策的基本內涵,其次分析江八點及李六條的內容,說明雙方的異同點,再者評估海峽兩岸的政策,最後展望兩岸關係的可能發展。由於本文完成於一九九五年八月初,故對後來的發展現象未多加著墨。不過,基本上,中共的立場及手段並未脫離全文的分析範圍,「以戰逼降」非常清楚。而兩岸關係的可能發展,亦未與本文結論有所脫節。 中共「一個中國」、「一國兩制」、「孤立臺灣」及「武力威脅」的基本對臺政策,與中華民國的「一個未來中國」、「分裂國家」、「務實外交」、「鞏固國防」的大陸政策差距很大。因此,兩岸關係將會繼續進行外交競賽,擴建軍備力量,兩岸關係將會起伏不停,主要是中共不願承認兩岸分裂分治的現實,而要把臺灣兼併為地方政府。中共未來仍會以軍事演習來逼迫臺灣。不過,兩岸人民在交流方面仍會繼續,同時,臺灣為緩和兩岸緊張情勢,將會逐步開放三通。這是兩岸政府求同存異最有共識及交集點。 總之,在中共未調整其對臺政策之前,很難使兩岸政治關係穩定下來,但在功能交流方面,兩岸將會逐步擴大。
      Since 1987, the relations between Taipei and Beijing have developed very fast on the subject of people-to-people exchanges but stalemate at political level. Despite the general trend of detente in world politics and the adoption of a pragmatic Cross-Strait policy by the ROC, the PRC has pursued a dogmatic political position vis-a-vis Taipei, Beijing insists on the position that Taiwan is a province of the PRC and refuses to recognize the fact that China is a divided-nation. The principles of "one China policy" and "one country two systems" are the basic policy of Chinese communists toward Taiwan. To exclude Taiwan from the international community and to use armed forces against Taiwan are the major means to carry out these principles. Even in the last year just before the rise of Cross-Strait tension, all statements made by the Chinese communists stayed firmly on this position. It is evident that Beijing would use military means to threat Taiwan in order to realize's objections, when Taipei would not surrender. Although the political relations between Taipei and Beijing remain tense, both sides of the Taiwan Strait have consensus on the promotion of intensive economic and cultural exchanges. This paper will concentrate to analyze the development of cross-strait policy of Beijing and Taipei before the legislative election of last year in Taiwan. It is divided into four parts: (1)the basic framework of Cross-Strait relations, (2) the recent development of policy orientations of the PRC and the ROC. (3) the evaluation on Taipei and Beijing Cross-Strait Policies and (4) prospects for the future development of Cross-Strait relations.
期刊論文
1.Tsai Cheng-Wen(1994)。The Strategy of the PRC to Isolate the ROC from the International Arena。Political Science Review,5,58-42。  new window
會議論文
1.Weng, Byron(1995)。Beijing's Policy Toward Taiwan; Continuity and Change。The Conference on Cross-Straits Relations and Policy Implications for the Asia-Pacific Region,Institute for National Policy Research and the Mainland Affairs Council (會議日期: March 27-29, 1995)。Taipei。  new window
研究報告
1.(1994)。Liang-an Chingchi Tung-chi Yueh-pao。Taipei:Mainland Affairs Council。  new window
圖書
1.(19950628)。Mainland Situation Weekly。  new window
2.(19950630)。The Free China Journal。  new window
3.(19950714)。The Free China Journal。  new window
4.(19950728)。The Free China Journal。  new window
5.(19950816)。Mainland Situation Weekly。  new window
6.(19950804)。The Free China Journal。  new window
7.(19950818)。The Free China Journal。  new window
8.(19950811)。The Free China Journal。  new window
9.(19950519)。The Free China Journal。  new window
其他
1.(19950131)。United Daily News。  new window
2.(19950409)。China Times。  new window
3.(19950528)。China Times。  new window
4.(19950527)。China News。  new window
5.(19950210)。United Daily News。  new window
6.(19950409)。China News。  new window
7.(19950529)。China News。  new window
8.(19950817)。China News。  new window
9.(19950604)。China Times。  new window
 
 
 
 
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