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題名:金融風暴衝擊下的經濟轉型--俄羅斯的例子
書刊名:政治科學論叢
作者:吳玉山 引用關係
作者(外文):Wu, Yu-shan
出版日期:1999
卷期:10
頁次:頁279-317
主題關鍵詞:金融風暴經濟轉型俄羅斯
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 共同引用共同引用:388
  • 點閱點閱:45
     過去在拉丁美洲、東歐和前蘇聯都發生過區域性的經濟危機,從 1997 年開始東 亞又產生了金融危機,波及了大多數區域內的國家。面對此種經濟困局,各國的新興民主政 府都被迫掙扎於國際金融組織依據新古典主義所開出的紓困條件,和本國社會反抗此種強制 性經濟改革的政治壓力之間,產生了左右搖擺的現象。本文先討論了最近一波國際金融危機 的成因,而後以俄羅斯為例, 分析葉爾欽政府如何在西方國家與國際貨幣基金會的外在壓力 ,和由共黨與民族主義政黨所掌握的杜馬國會之間,進行艱難經濟改革的過程。內外的雙重 壓力使得葉爾欽政府在市場化和私有化政策上都產生了搖擺妥協的現象,造成了無效率的企 業,從而使得稅收不足,政府的財政面臨危機,而借貸大增,對於國際投資人的依賴也就不 斷攀高。此時國際金融危機出現,俄羅斯作為新興市場經濟之一,不免受到波及,從而引發 了債市崩盤,盧布暴跌,政府乃被迫管制匯市,形成了俄羅斯的金融危機。
     Regional economic crisis struck Latin America and the former Soviet bloc in the past. Now it engulfed East Asia. Faced with this kind of crisis, most nascent democracies had to navigate between neo-classical rescue packages imposed by the international financial organizations and the domestic political reaction to involuntary economic reform. This article first delineates the various theoretical approaches to the surge of the current financial crisis originating in East Asia, and then explores the causes of the Russian economic meltdown. It analyzes the painful process in which the Yeltsin government navigated between the IMF and the State Duma. Cross pressure caused policy fluctuations and compromises that resulted in inefficient enterprises and serious tax shortage. The government thus faced a financial crisis and had to rely heavily on international investors. The untimely strike of the Asian financial crisis on Russia touched off a chain reaction and caused collapse of the bond market. The government was forced to impose strict controls on the currency market and the Russian economy was plunged into a crisis.
期刊論文
1.Krugman, Paul(19980907)。Saving Asia: It's Time to Get Radical。Fortune,32-38。  new window
2.Kornai, Janos(1986)。The Hungarian Reform Process: Visions, Hopes, and Reality。Journal of Economic Literature,24(4),1687-1734。  new window
3.Slay, Ben(1994)。Rapid versus Gradual Economic Transition。RFE/RL Research Report,3(31),31-42。  new window
4.Robison, Richard(1996)。The Politics of Asian Values。The Pacific Review,9(3),309-327。  new window
5.吳玉山(19971200)。歐洲後共產社會的政治制度變遷:以俄羅斯聯邦為例。美歐季刊,12(4)=132,89-145+Ⅳ-Ⅴ。  延伸查詢new window
6.吳玲君(19980600)。從東亞金融危機看亞太經合會建制的本質。問題與研究,37(6),1-15+78。new window  延伸查詢new window
7.馬凱(1998)。為什麼人民幣不應對全球貨幣升值?。經濟前瞻,60,20-25。  延伸查詢new window
8.Krugman, Paul(19980928)。A Letter to Malaysia's Prime Minister。Fortune,25-27。  new window
9.Macfaul, Michael(1995)。State Power, Institution Change, and the Politics of Privatization in Russia。World Politics,47(2),210-243。  new window
10.許新(1996)。俄羅斯私有化評析。世界經濟,4,46-50。  延伸查詢new window
11.Aslund, Anders(1994)。Russia's Success Story。Foreign Affairs,73(5),58-71。  new window
12.Campbell, Robert W.(1996)。Evaluating Russian Economic Reform: A Review Essay。Post-Soviet Affairs (Soviet Economy),12(2),181-193。  new window
13.智效和(1995)。俄羅斯國有企業私有化新階段的政策調整。經濟科學,1,66-73。  延伸查詢new window
14.Brada, Josef C.(1996)。Privatization Is Transition - Or Is It?。The Journal of Economic Perspectives,10(2),67-86。  new window
15.Orttung, Robert(1996)。Lebed, Kulikov Battle Highlights Russia's Political Instability。OMRI Analytical Brief,1(393)。  new window
16.Gaddy, Clifford G.、Ickes, Barry W.(1998)。Russia's Virtual Economy。Foreign Affairs,77(5)。  new window
17.(1998)。Russian Dept-Default Setting。The Economist。  new window
18.Fischer, Stanley、Sahay, Ratna、Vegh, Carlos A.(1996)。Stabilization and Growth in Transition Economies: The Early Experience。The Journal of Economic Perspectives,10(2),45-66。  new window
19.Khaduri, N.、Papava, V.(1997)。On the Shadow Political Economy of the Post Communist Transformation: An Institutional Analysis。Problems of Economic Transition,40(6)。  new window
20.Kuznetsova, T.(1998)。Several Aspects of Research on the Informal Economy in Russia。Problems of Economic Transition,40(11)。  new window
21.張樹華(1998)。轉型過程中俄羅斯社會的兩大難題:灰色經濟與集團分利。東歐中亞研究,5。  延伸查詢new window
22.Lyle, Robert(1998)。Russia: Camdessus To Brief Board On Talks With Chernomyrdin。RFE/ RL,8。  new window
23.Zhigalkin, Yuri、Frost, Matthew(19980828)。Russia: Currency Crisis Endangers Reform Process。RFE/RL,8。  new window
會議論文
1.Ronas, Malaya C.(1998)。The Financial Crisis in East Asia: Implications for the Regional and International Agenda。Taipei。  new window
2.胡春田(1998)。Economic Cooperation Challenges in the Asia-Pacific Region。Second ASEAN-ISIS/IIR Dialogue Conference。Taipei。  new window
3.劉大年(1998)。A Year after the East Asian Financial Crisis - an Economic Assessment and Implications。Second ASEAN-ISIS/IIR Dialogue Conference。Taipei。  new window
4.吳玉山(1995)。Away from Socialism: The Asian Way。Contest fo Asia Conference。Hong Kong:Hong Kong University。  new window
研究報告
1.吳玉山(1997)。俄羅斯經濟改革之研究:1992-1994。行政院國家科學委員會。  延伸查詢new window
2.吳玉山(1996)。中國大陸派系鬥爭與經濟循環互動之研究。行政院國家科學委員會。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.梁絮萍(1998)。一九九二年至一九九四年俄羅斯國有企業改革政策取向之變化,0。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Cheng, Tun-jen、Haggard, Stephan(1987)。Newly Industrializing Asia in Transition。Berkeley:Institute of International Studies, University of California。  new window
2.長谷川慶太郎、汪仲(1998)。亞洲金融風暴:世紀末經濟危機。臺北:時報文化出版公司。  延伸查詢new window
3.Soros, George、聯合報編譯組(1998)。全球資本主義危機。臺北:聯經出版社。  延伸查詢new window
4.Weber, Max、康樂、簡惠美(1996)。中國的宗教:儒教與道教。臺北:遠流。  延伸查詢new window
5.Hewett, Edward A.(1988)。Reforming the Soviet Economy: Equality versus Efficiency。Washington, DC:Brookings Institution。  new window
6.杜維明(199602)。現化精神與儒家傳統。臺北:聯經出版社。  延伸查詢new window
7.Wu, Yu-Shan(1994)。Comparative Economic Transformations--Mainland China, Hungary, the Soviet Union, and Taiwan。Stanford, California:Stanford University Press。  new window
8.Winckler, Edwin A.、Greenhalgh, Susan(1988)。Contending Approaches to the Political Economy of Taiwan。M. E. Sharpe。  new window
9.余英時(1987)。中國近世宗教倫理與商人精神。聯經。new window  延伸查詢new window
10.Bendix, Reinhard(1977)。Max Weber: An Intellectual Portrait。University of California Press。  new window
11.杜念中、楊君實(1989)。儒家倫理與經濟發展。允晨出版社。  延伸查詢new window
12.吳玉山(19950000)。共產世界的變遷:四個共黨政權的比較。臺北:東大。new window  延伸查詢new window
13.吳玉山(19960000)。遠離社會主義:中國大陸、蘇聯和波蘭的經濟轉型。臺北:正中。new window  延伸查詢new window
14.Johnson, Chalmers(1982)。MITI and the Japanese Miracle: The Growth of Industrial Policy, 1925-1975。Stanford University Press。  new window
15.Wade, Robert(1990)。Governing the Market: Economic Theory and the Role of Government in East Asian Industrialiation。Princeton University Press。  new window
16.Gelb, Alan、Fischer, Stanley(1991)。Issues in the Reform of Socialist Economies。Reforming Central and Eastern European Economies: Initial Results and Challenges。Washington, DC。  new window
17.麥金(1998)。Is Deflation the Real Threat?。Conference Summary。沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
18.Perkins, Dwight(1986)。China: Asia's Next Economic Giant?。China: Asia's Next Economic Giant?。Seattle, WA。  new window
19.沈利生(1995)。中國經濟波動和宏觀調控研究。北京:社會科學文獻出版社。  延伸查詢new window
20.蔡述理、薛敬孝、陳寶森、鄭偉民(1993)。美國經濟週期研究。北京:商務印書館。  延伸查詢new window
21.Hsiao, Hsin-Huang Michael、Berger, Peter L.(1988)。In Search of an East Asian Development Modal。In Search of an East Asian Development Modal。New Brunswick, NJ。  new window
22.Aslund, Anders(1990)。Gorbachev's Struggle for Economic Reform: The Soviet Reform Process, 1985-88。Gorbachev's Struggle for Economic Reform: The Soviet Reform Process, 1985-88。Ithaca, NY。  new window
23.Nelson, Lynn D.、Kuzes, Irina Y.(1994)。Property to the People: The Struggle for Radical Economic Reform in Russia。Armonk, NY:M. E. Sharp。  new window
24.Boycko, Maksim、Shleifer, Andrei、Vishny, Robert(1995)。Privatizing Russia。Cambridge, Mass.:MIT Press。  new window
25.Hanson, P.、Teague, E.(1993)。The Political Economy of Unemployment Benefits and Indexation in the Russian Federation。The Former Soviet Union in Transition。Armonk, NY。  new window
其他
1.自由歐洲電臺(Radio Free Europe,Radio Liberty)。俄羅斯金融帝國,0。  延伸查詢new window
2.(1998)。Yeltsin Threatens to Kick Berezovsky Out of Russia,0。  new window
3.(1998)。Tycoon Berezovsky Endorses Kiriyenko,0。  new window
4.Camdessus, Michel。Russia and IMF-Meeting the Challenges of an Emerging Market and Transition Economy,www.imf.org/external/np/speeches/1998/040198.htm。  new window
5.唐欣偉(1999)。東亞金融危機的過程與成因之研究。  延伸查詢new window
6.The Central Bank of Russian Federation。Monetary Policy: Exchange Rate Policy,0。  new window
7.(1998)。Communists Say They Will Block Confirmation of Russian Premier,0。  new window
8.(1998)。In Compromise, Yeltsin Nominates Primakov,0。  new window
9.(1998)。Primakov Confirmed as Russian Prime Minister: Economy Awaits Action,0。  new window
10.謝文娟(1999)。俄國經濟與IMF,0。  延伸查詢new window
圖書論文
1.Rozman, Gilbert(1991)。The East Asian Region in Comparative Perspective。The East Asian Region: Confucian Heritage and Its Modern Adaptation。Princeton, New Jersey:Princeton University Press。  new window
2.顧忠華(1993)。韋伯的中國研究。西方思想家論中國。台北:正中書局。  延伸查詢new window
3.Johnson. Chalmers(1985)。Political Institutions and Economic Performance: The Government-Business Relation-ship in Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan。Asian Economic Development-Present and Future。CA:Institute of Asian Studies, University of California.。  new window
4.Malle, Silvana(1994)。Privatization in Russia: Options and Transaction Costs。The Post-communist Economic Transformation。Boulder, Colorado:Westview。  new window
5.顧忠華(1998)。儒家文化與經濟倫理。中國近現代經濟倫理的變遷。香港:香港中文大學中國文化研究所。  延伸查詢new window
6.陳來(1998)。世俗儒家倫理與後發現代化。中國近現代經濟倫理的變遷。香港:香港中文大學中國文化研究所。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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