:::

詳目顯示

回上一頁
題名:調解者與北韓核武危機
書刊名:東亞研究
作者:林文謙
作者(外文):Lin, Wun-cian
出版日期:2011
卷期:42:1
頁次:頁86-126
主題關鍵詞:調解者北韓核武危機第三方干預主要調解者中立調解者MediatorNorth Korea nuclear crisisThird-party interventionPrincipal mediatorNeutral mediator
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:16
  • 點閱點閱:29
本文嘗試由「調解」(mediation)的角度來研究北韓核武危機,目的是針對其中的調解者進行分析,以加深吾人的認識。透過Thomas Princen在國際衝突的調解者一書當中所作出的分類,本文檢視爭端當中調解者的角色、特質和能力,並評估調解的結果與相關影響要素。研究發現如下:首先,在這場僵局當中,除美國、北韓與南韓等主要方之外,尚包括諸多國家或非國家形式的調解者。其次,在緩和衝突方面,中國與俄羅斯等主要調解者可以藉由實質利益或威脅要求爭端各方讓步。但因自身亦具有政治或地緣上之利益,所以難以使美國同意讓出調解程序的控制權。另外,國際原子能總署、聯合國秘書長(副秘書長)、以及美國前總統卡特等中立調解者,主要倚賴自身公正、公平或良好的名聲來博取爭端者的信任,其在緩和衝突上亦能有所貢獻。最後,除軍事武器布局與戰略規劃之外,筆者認為「調解」的思維是構建朝鮮核武僵局解決之道的另一個可行選項,值得未來深入探究。
This article attempts to study the North Korea nuclear crisis from the standpoint of “mediation”, particularly in efforts to enhance our understanding the concept of mediator. In the Intermediaries in International Conflict, Thomas Princen classified several types of actors in international conflicts. Applied this framework this article analyze the mediator’s role, characteristics, and capability, while also evaluates that mediation outcome and factors associated with successful mediation. This article has the following finds: first, besides such principal parties as U.S., North Korea and South Korea, this deadlock also includes many mediators who have characteristics of state or non-state actor. Second, China and Russia (principal mediators) can reconciliation this conflict by benefit and threat. But because they have interests of politics or geography, hence the U.S. Government cannot agree if they gain the control power in the conciliation process. Moreover, IAEA, UN Secretary General (Vice-Secretary General) and Jimmy Carter which neutral mediators also can settle this conflict rely on their just, fair or good reputation. Finally, in addition to military weapons and strategy plans, this article found that the thought of mediation is a feasible option to settle the North Korea nuclear crisis.
期刊論文
1.Nye, Joseph S. Jr.(2003)。U. S. Power and Strategy After Iraq。Foreign Affairs,82(4),60-73。  new window
2.黃鴻博(19960200)。中共與「北韓核武危機」。共黨問題研究,22(2),36-49。  延伸查詢new window
3.朱松柏(20010100)。兩韓和解與東北亞新秩序。問題與研究,40(1),1-13。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.朱松柏(19970800)。朝鮮半島四邊會談的構想與實際。問題與研究,36(8),19-28。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.王承宗(19990100)。前蘇聯與俄羅斯對朝鮮半島政策之研究。問題與研究,38(1),17-33。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.蔡政修(20041100)。九一一事件後的美國國家安全戰略:以波灣戰爭與北韓核子危機為例。問題與研究,43(6),129-165。new window  延伸查詢new window
7.Betts, Richard K.(199801)。The New Threat of Mass Destruction。Foreign Affairs,77(1),26-41。  new window
圖書
1.Huntington, Samuel P.(1997)。The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order。Cambridge, MA:Harvard Univ. Pr.。  new window
2.張小明、Nye, Joseph(2002)。理解國際衝突:理論與歷史。上海:上海人民出版社。  延伸查詢new window
3.Bercovitch, Jacob(1996)。Resolving International Conflicts: The Theory and Practice of Mediation。Boulder, Colo.:Lynne Rienner Publishers。  new window
4.Susskind, L.、Cruikshank, J.(1987)。Breaking the impasse: Consensual approaches to resolving public disputes。New York, NY:Basic Books。  new window
5.Huntington, Samuel P.、黃裕美(2001)。文明衝突與世界秩序的重建。台北:聯經。  延伸查詢new window
6.楊永明(2003)。國際安全與國際法。臺北:元照出版社。  延伸查詢new window
7.Nye, Joseph S. Jr.、吳家恆、方祖芳(2006)。柔性權力。臺北:遠流。  延伸查詢new window
其他
1.大紀元電子報(20060524)。分析:中共願盡速解決朝核問題?。  延伸查詢new window
2.中央社(20100528)。天安艦案,溫家寶:譴責破壞和平的行為。  延伸查詢new window
3.新華網(20100804)。日本和聯合國表示將為實現無核世界進行合作。  延伸查詢new window
4.大紀元電子報(20040426)。北韓核子危機,俄國尋求扮演調停角色。  延伸查詢new window
5.看中國(2003129)。北韓堅持和美直接對話。  延伸查詢new window
6.自由電子報(20100526)。北韓邊境部署武器,朝中關係緊張。  延伸查詢new window
7.大紀元電子報(20060514)。安南抵首爾討論促北韓重返六方會談。  延伸查詢new window
8.東森新聞報(20051112)。有個北韓壞鄰居;擬主導北韓經濟;中國以投資當金援。  延伸查詢new window
9.多維新聞網(20050511)。俄二戰勝利慶典無法重啟六方會談。  延伸查詢new window
10.美國之音(20030502)。專家分析中國為何調解北韓核僵局。  延伸查詢new window
11.看中國(20030114)。普京派特使調解北韓核危機。  延伸查詢new window
12.法新社(20100528)。潘基文:安理會須化解南北韓緊張。  延伸查詢new window
13.大紀元電子報(20070124)。潘基文籲稽查聯合國援助經費。  延伸查詢new window
14.大紀元電子報(20060518)。聯合國秘書長警告各國勿夢遊核武世界。  延伸查詢new window
15.Andrew Scobell著,闞和德譯(200423)。中共與北韓:從親密戰友變成保持距離之同盟關係。  延伸查詢new window
16.Dick K. Nanto著,劉廣華譯(200307)。北韓1950--2003年挑釁事件年表。  延伸查詢new window
17.John Hill著,謝豐安譯(200307)。中共能否影響北韓。  延伸查詢new window
18.Larry A. Niksch著,杜映譯(200307)。北韓核武計畫。  延伸查詢new window
19.Zbigniew Brzezinski著,郭希誠譯(2004)。美國的抉擇,台北:左岸。  延伸查詢new window
20.王慶榮(200712)。六方會談對朝鮮半島區域安全之影響:從權力平衡觀點。  延伸查詢new window
21.朴斗福(1977)。中共參加韓戰原因之研究,台北:黎明文化。  延伸查詢new window
22.李實然(200611)。北韓核子試驗對中共的影響和衝擊。  延伸查詢new window
23.胡敏遠(200601)。美國在北韓六方會談中的角色分析:霸權穩定論的觀點。  延伸查詢new window
24.張子清(20100209)。聯合國副秘書長抵北韓,六方會談露曙光?。  延伸查詢new window
25.陳子平(200611)。北韓飛彈試射的危機與影響。  延伸查詢new window
26.陳世民(200801)。東亞戰略架構中核武的角色:擴散與嚇阻穩定。new window  延伸查詢new window
27.曾祥穎(200708)。東北亞核武對我國戰略之影響。  延伸查詢new window
28.楊明珠(20100223)。日媒:反世襲棄核武中國向北韓施壓。  延伸查詢new window
29.Turkish Weekly(20061017)。Ban Ki-Moon Willing to Mediate over North Korean Nukes。  new window
30.IAEA Website(20070223)。Dr. ElBaradei Accepts Invitation to Visit North Korea。  new window
31.CNN News(20100827)。Freed American arrives home from North Korea。  new window
32.BBC News(20020515)。Lift Cuba Embargo, Carter Tells US。  new window
33.IAEA Website(20090811)。List of IAEA Member States。  new window
34.Asianews.It Website(20070104)。North Korea and the Middle East, Ban Ki-moon’s Top Priorities。  new window
35.Carter Center Website(200907)。North Korea。  new window
36.IAEA Website(20090811)。Our Work。  new window
37.Carter Center Website(19940905)。President Carter Leads Delegation to Negotiate Peace with Haiti。  new window
38.Carter Center Website(20100826)。State Department Statement on Release of American in North Korea。  new window
39.Carter Center Website(20100826)。Statement from the Carter Center on President Carter's Mission to North Korea。  new window
40.Carter Center Website(20090721)。The Carter Center: Creating a World in which Every Man, Woman, and Child has the Opportunity to Enjoy Good Health and Live in Peace。  new window
41.Reuters(20081115)。UN Mediator Begins Talks on Congo。  new window
42.ABC News(20100708)。U.N. Security Council to Condemn Sinking of South Korean Navy Ship。  new window
43.Bercovitch, Jacob(2002)。Introduction: Putting Mediation in Contex,New York, NY:Palgrave Macmillan。  new window
44.Bercovitch, Jacob(1984)。Social Conflicts and Third Parties: Strategies of Conflict Resolution,Boulder, CO:Westview。  new window
45.Bercovitch, Jacob, and Allison Houston(1996)。The Study of International Mediation: Theoretical Issues and Empirical Evidence,London, UK:Lynne Rienner Publishers。  new window
46.Bracken, Paul(2000)。The Second Nuclear Age。  new window
47.Creekmore, Marion(20061025)。A Moment of Crisis: Jimmy Carter’s Mission to Pyongyang。  new window
48.Fisher, David(20090812)。History of the IAEA: The First Forty Years。  new window
49.Jackson, E.(1952)。Meeting of Minds,New York, NY:McGraw-Hill。  new window
50.McGillicuddy, Neil B., Gary L. Welton and Dean G. Pruitt(198707)。Third-Party Intervention: A Field Experiment Comparing Three Different Models。  new window
51.Oberdorfer, Don(199712)。The Peacemaker: Role Jimmy Carter Played in 1994 North Korea Crisis。  new window
52.Princen, Thomas(1992)。Intermediaries in International Conflict,Princeton, NJ:Princeton University Press。  new window
53.Skjelsbek, Kjell, and Gunnar Fermann(1996)。The UN Secretary-General and the Mediation of International Disputes,London, UK:Lynne Rienner Publishers。  new window
54.Soon-Young, Hong(1999)。Thawing Korea’s Cold War: The Path to Peace on the Korean Peninsula。  new window
55.Sutter, Robert(200409)。Asia in the Balance: America and China’s ‘Peaceful Rise’。  new window
56.Young, O. R.(1968)。The Politics of Force,Princeton, NJ:Princeton University Press。  new window
圖書論文
1.Carnevale, P.(2002)。Mediating from strength。Studies in international mediation: Essays in honor of Jeffrey Z. Rubin。London:Palgrave Macmillan。  new window
 
 
 
 
第一頁 上一頁 下一頁 最後一頁 top
QR Code
QRCODE