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題名:菲律賓2010年總統大選評析
書刊名:亞太研究論壇
作者:翁俊桔顧長永 引用關係
作者(外文):Weng, Chun-chiehKu, Samuel C. Y.
出版日期:2012
卷期:56
頁次:頁1-30
主題關鍵詞:菲律賓亞洲民主櫥窗2010年總統大選總統花車模式潛規則The PhilippinesThe showcase of democracy in AsiaThe 2010 president electionsPresidential bandwagon frameworkHidden rules
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(1) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
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  • 共同引用共同引用:71
  • 點閱點閱:72
菲律賓2010 年全國大選已於該年5 月順利落幕,雖然整起活動仍舊 沿襲「候選人多」、「參選政黨多」、「暴力事件多」和「賄選傳聞多」 的型態,不過由於傷亡人數最少、參與選民最多,以及首度採用「電子 投票系統」而備受關注。 菲國雖素有「亞洲民主櫥窗」(showcase of democracy in Asia) 之譽,但是其選舉活動因舞弊充斥而廣受苛責。為深究該國總統選舉的 始末,本文擬援用日本學者粕谷祐子(Yuko Kasuya)教授的「總統花 車模式」(the Presidential Bandwagon framework)來剖析本次大選選 情,以探討該國總統大選的爭議和運作邏輯。
The most recent presidential election in the Philippines was successfully accomplished in May of 2010. Similar to previous presidential elections in the Philippines, the 2010 contest was characterized by the participation of many candidates vying for the position, the involvement of numerous political parties, as well as frequent rallies, plentiful violence, and widespread allegations of vote-buying. This election is, however, credited with several improvements and historical advances, including the least number of casualties, the highest voter turnout, peaceful campaign rallies, and the groundbreaking use of an electronic voting system. This election has, as a result of these achievements, generated a lot of attention from scholars and political observers around the world. In spite of its reputation as “the showcase of democracy in Asia”, the election process in the Philippines has been a consistent target of criticism since the early 1970s. In order to have a better understanding of the 2010 Philippine presidential election, this article utilizes the Japanese scholar Yuko Kasuya’s “presidential bandwagon framework model” to argue that this election, allowing for the noted improvements, still demonstrates the cited bandwagon framework criteria found in the model. In addition, this article will examineseveral of the 2010 election-related disputes and their significance.
期刊論文
1.戴萬平(20040600)。2004年印尼大選之政經背景分析。亞太研究論壇,24,26-55。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.中國廣播網(2009)。菲律賓劫持殺害人質事件已致45人死亡。新浪網。  延伸查詢new window
3.呂炳寬、翁俊桔(2010)。菲律賓憲政體制變革之可行性分析。台灣民主季刊,7(1),107-131。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.翁俊桔(2008)。菲律賓選舉民主的轉變:「質變」亦或「形變」?。台灣東南亞學刊,5(2),65-88。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.Case, William(2006)。The Philippine Election in 1998: A Question of Quality。Asian Survey,46(1),468-485。  new window
6.Hawes, Gary(1989)。Aquino and Her Administration: A View from the Countryside。Pacific affairs,62(1),9-28。  new window
7.van de Loo, Bastiaan(2004)。The Failure of the Philippine Presidential System。Asia Europe Journal,2(2),257-269。  new window
8.Magno, Alexander R.(2001)。Philippines: Trauma of A Failed Presidency。Southeast Asian Affairs,36(25),251-263。  new window
9.Maniago, Elmina Rayah Dizon(2007)。Communication Variables Favoring Celebrity Candidates in Becoming Politicians: A Case Study of the 1998 and 2004 Elections in the Philippines。Southeast Asian Studies,44(4),494-518。  new window
10.Overholt, William H.(1986)。The Rise and Fall of Ferdinand Marcos。Asian Survey,26(11),1135-1149。  new window
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12.Sours, Martin H.(1970)。Philippine Political Parties: A Background Analysis in Political Development。Philippine Journal of Public Administration,14(4),384-396。  new window
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圖書
1.Doronila, Amando(2002)。The Fall of Joseph Estrada: The Inside Story。Pasig City:Anvil Publishing。  new window
2.Co, Edna E. A.、Tigno, Jorge V.、Lao, Maria Elissa Jayme、Sayo, Margarita A.(2005)。Philippine Democracy Assessment: Free and Fair Elections and the Democratic Role of Political Parties。Pasig City:Friedrich Ebert Stiftung。  new window
3.Cortes, Irene R.(1966)。The Philippine Presidency: A Study of Executive Power。Quezon City:Law Center in University of the Philippines。  new window
4.Martinez, Manuel Festin(1999)。A Political of Our Time: Presidential Policies from Aquino to Estrada。Paranaque City:MFM Enterprise。  new window
5.Kasuya, Yuko(2009)。Presidential Bandwagon: Parties and Party Systems in the Philippines。Anvil Publishing, Inc.。  new window
6.Busto, Arellano V.(1997)。Constitution of the Republic of the Philippines。Manila:A. V. B. Printing Press。  new window
7.祝基瀅(1995)。政治傳播學。臺北市:三民書局。  延伸查詢new window
8.顧長永(2005)。東南亞政治學。臺北:巨流圖書有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
9.陳鴻瑜(2006)。東南亞各國政府與政治。臺北:翰蘆圖書出版有限公司。new window  延伸查詢new window
10.金應熙、劉迪輝(1990)。菲律賓史。河南大學出版社。  延伸查詢new window
11.吳思(2009)。潛規則--中國歷史上的進退遊戲。究竟出版社。  延伸查詢new window
12.菲華商聯總會編(1994)。菲華商聯總會:紅寶石禧紀念特刊 (1954-1994)。馬尼拉。  延伸查詢new window
13.Abueva, Jose、Roman, Emerlinda R.(1993)。Corazon C. Aquino: Early Assessments of Her Presidential Leadership and Administration and Her Place in History。University of the Philippines Press。  new window
14.Coronel, Sheila S.(2001)。Investigating Estrada: Millions, Mansions and Mistresses。Manila:Philippine Center for Investigative Journalism。  new window
15.Buss, Claude Albert(1987)。Cory Aquino and the People of the Philippines。Stanford, CA。  new window
16.Backuen, Michael B.、Rabinowitz, George(2003)。Electoral Democracy。Ann Arbor。  new window
其他
1.新加坡南洋星洲聯合早報(2009)。阿羅約挺德奧托洛明年參選菲總統。  延伸查詢new window
2.新加坡南洋星洲聯合早報(2009)。馬可斯兒子宣稱要成為菲總統。  延伸查詢new window
3.新加坡南洋星洲聯合早報(2009)。菲總統選舉民意調查:阿奎諾三世仍遙遙領先。  延伸查詢new window
4.France-Presse, Agence(2010)。Aquino Set for Big Win in Presidential Race,http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/nation/05/10/10/aquino-set-big-win-presidential-race。  new window
5.ABS-CBN News(2010)。Villar Camp Revives Noynoy Mental Health Issue,http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/nation/04/27/10/villar-carnp-revives-noynoy-mental-health-issue。  new window
6.ABS-CBN News(2010)。Long Lines, Technical Glitches Greet Voters,http://beta.abs-cbrmews.com/nation/05/10/10/long-lines-technical-glitches-greet-voters。  new window
7.ABS-CBN News(2010)。Binay, Roxas Dead Heat in SWS Exit Poll,http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/nation/05/11/10/binay-roxas-dead-heat-sws-exit-poil。  new window
8.ABS-CBN News(2010)。How Dark Horse Binay Surged ahead in VP Race,http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/nation/05/11/10/how-dark-horse-binay-surged-ahead-vp-race。  new window
9.France-Presse, Agence(2010)。Deadly Violence, Technical Bugs Mar Monday Election,http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/nation/05/10/10/deadly-violence-technical-bugs-mar-monday-election。  new window
10.France-Presse, Agence(2010)。Arroyo a Curse for Gibo in Race for Presidency,http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/nation/02/25/10/arroyo-curse-gibo-race-presidency。  new window
11.Center for People Empowerment in Governance Policy(2010)。What's New and Old in Philippine Politics,http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/insights/07/01/10/whats-new-and-old-philippine-politics。  new window
12.Conimission on Elections, Republic of the Philippines(2010)。Automation of the 2010 National and Local Elections,http://www.comelec.gov.ph/modernization/2010_natl_local/automation_timelines.html。  new window
13.Institute for Political and Electoral Reform, Philippines(2008)。Understanding the Election-related Violent Incidence of 2007,http://aceproject.org/regions-en/countries-and-territories/PH/case-studies/philippines-understanding-the-election-related。  new window
14.Office of the President of the Philippines,http://www.president.gov.ph/default.aspx。  new window
15.Wikipedia(2011)。Philippine General Election, 2007,http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Philippine_general_election,_2007。  new window
16.Wikipedia(2012)。15th Congress of the Philippines,http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/15th_Congress_of_the_Philippines。  new window
 
 
 
 
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