戶口遷移是真正意義上的遷移,并與城鎮化密切相關。文章通過對2013年全年戶口遷移業務的數據分析,系統考察中國人口的戶口遷移現象以及戶籍人口的城鎮化。研究結果顯示:戶籍制度改革無法惠及所有人群,需要利用公共服務的全覆蓋來彌補政策的不足;三類大城市城鎮戶口的準入門檻相對較高并呈現出精英化傾向,大城市戶籍人口城鎮化的方向應當在嚴格控制人口數量的前提下,向中低文化程度的勞動者有序、適當開放;中小城市和小城鎮戶口對于高層次人才的吸引力嚴重不足,為促進戶籍人口城鎮化,應該將一批有潛力的中小城市做大、做強;提高戶籍人口城鎮化率的關鍵環節在于對農業轉移人口的妥善安排,在此過程中要防止"半城鎮化"現象的出現。

In the Chinese context,migration is defined to be move with hukou relocation,which is closely associated with urbanization. Over the past two years,the central government has attached great importance to the urbanization progress of the registered residents. A new round of household registration system reform was launched in 2014. Based on the data of hukou registration transition in2013,this study examines patterns and determinants of household migration and urbanization of registered population. Results indicate that the difference ofhukou status between rural and urban areas was the fundamental cause in holding back household migration. Moreover,migration to big cities is preferred by elites,while the medium-sized cities and small towns are lack of attraction for these people.