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題名:2001年新加坡國會大選評析
書刊名:國家發展研究
作者:翁俊桔顧長永 引用關係
作者(外文):Weng, Chun-chiehKu, Samuel C. Y.
出版日期:2004
卷期:3:2
頁次:頁87-116
主題關鍵詞:新加坡國會大選政治繼承集選區制度SingaporeGeneral electionPolitical successionGroup representation constituencyGRC
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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從新加坡2001年的國會大選結果,可以發現以下三個現象。首先,人民行動賞高層已出現權力重組的跡象。吳作練總理自1990年接任總理職位迄今已超過10年,應該是到了權力交棒的時候;再加上副總理李顯龍准將最近動作頻頻,因此外界乃一致認為人民行動賞高層應該會在下一次大選之前,完成新一波的政治繼承交接。 其次,是反對黨的內部權力紛爭和勢力重組的課題。由於代表反對勢力龍頭的兩位人士-詹時中和劉程強目前都是處於權力的高峰。詹時中除了將四個在野政黨加以整合之外,而且也獲得許多反對黨人士的支持;然而,對於身為最大反對賞-工人黨秘書長的劉程弦而言,他也一樣處於新舊反對勢力整合的關鍵,如果他能順利完成新的工人黨的內部整合工作,詎料他將會取得更大的權力。不過,他們兩人對於未來反對賞的發展局勢並不表樂觀。 最後,就選舉制度的設計而言,人民行動黨透過集選區制度的操作,不但可藉此防止反對黨有任何勝選的機會外,同時也可藉此作為篩選和提拔黨內精英的管道。不過,卻也相對引發外界對該制度設計的公平性提出質疑,因此制度設計上的問題,同樣成為本次大選的討論焦點。 然而,對新加坡本身而言,選舉只是一件定期的例行性工作,反對賞在毫無勝選希望的情況之下,是無法發揮政治監督的作用,因此新加坡未來的政治發展趨勢,仍將是由人民行動賞控制。
Three phenomena can be found from the results of Singapore's 2001 general election. First, the ruling PAP is to be restructured after more than ten years ruled by Mr. Goh Chok Tong since 1990. Recently, Deputy Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong has actively showed up in public, implying a possible power shift before the next general election. Secondly, it is related to the internal struggle and power disputes within the opposition parties. Although two key opposition leaders, Mr. Chiam See Tong and Low Thia Khiang, are still in power in their own parties, they begin to face the issue of internal integration and political succession in their own parties. They both are not optimistic towards the future development of opposition parties in Singapore. Finally, with regard to electoral system, the PAP not only can use the Group Representation Constituency to recruit new members in the Parliament, but also can use this system to avoid the opportunity of the to win the elections. Yet, the 2001 general election raised the issue of fairness on the Group Representation Constituency, giving more opportunity to discuss the disputed electoral system. It is anticipated that the ruling PAP given little opportunity for the opposition to compete in the general elections, will continue to rule Singapore in the coming years.
期刊論文
1.Mathur, Raj(1997)。Parliamentary Representation of Minority Communities: the Mauritian Experience。Africa Today,44(1),61-77。  new window
2.李美賢(19990800)。「亞洲式民主」與政治危機--印尼個案研究,1997-1998。問題與研究,38(8),1-20。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.陳鴻瑜(19910300)。新加坡的威權主義民主與發展形態。問題與研究,30(3),29-40。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.陳鴻瑜(19881000)。一九八八年新加坡國會選舉。問題與研究,28(1),1-11。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.陳鴻瑜(19971000)。1997年新加坡國會選舉。東南亞季刊,2(4),15-33。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.翁俊桔(2000)。新加坡集選區制度之研究:「治術」或「治道」?(碩士論文)。國立暨南國際大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.顧長永(2000)。東南亞政府與政治。臺北:五南圖書出版公司。  延伸查詢new window
2.Milne, R. S.、Mauzy, Diane K.(1990)。Singapore: The Legacy of Lee Kuan Yew。Boulder, CO:San Francisco:Westview Press。  new window
3.郭俊麟(1998)。新加坡的政治領袖與政治領導。臺北:生智文化事業有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
4.Dahl, Robert A.、張明貴(1989)。多元政治:參與和反對。臺北:唐山出版社。  延伸查詢new window
5.洪鎌德(19940000)。新加坡學。臺北:揚智。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.Kernial Singh Sandhu and Paul Wheatley (eds.)(1989)。The Management of Success: The Moulding of Modern Singapore。Singapore:Institute of Southeast Asian Studies。  new window
其他
1.尼古拉斯.塔林主編,王士祿等譯(2002)。劍橋東南亞史,中國:雲南人民出版社。  延伸查詢new window
2.李美賢(2003)。新加坡簡史,南投:暨大東南亞研究中心。  延伸查詢new window
3.徐本欽(1988)。新加坡政治領導層與繼承問題。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.翁俊桔、顧長永(2004)。新加坡國會功能之初探。  延伸查詢new window
5.奧斯汀.倫尼著,倪達仁譯(1995)。政治學,台北:五南。  延伸查詢new window
6.Alan Chong(1991)。Goh Chok Tong: Singapore's New Premier。  new window
7.Cheng Cheang Wing(1989)。Electoral Reform for multi-racial Representation: A Study of The GRC scheme in Singapore, An academi c exercise。  new window
8.Derek da Cunha(1997)。The Price of Victory: The 1997 Singapore General Election And Beyond,Singapore:ISEAS。  new window
9.Foo Siang Luen, et al.(eds.)(2002)。Singapore 2001: The Official Yearbook,Singapore:Ministry of Information and the Arts。  new window
10.Government Gazette(1988)。Parliamentary Elections (Amendment) Act 1988,Singapore:Government of Singapore。  new window
11.Heng Chee Chan(1976)。The Dynamics of One Party Dominance,Singapore:Singapore University Press。  new window
12.Ho Khai Leong(2000)。The Politics of Policy-making in Singapore,Singapore:Oxford University Press。  new window
13.Ho Khai Leong(2003)。Shared Responsibilities, Unshared Power, The Politics of Policy-making in Singapore,Singapore:Eastern Universities Press。  new window
14.Ho Khai Leong(2004)。Singapore--Preparing for the Post-Goh Era: Singapore's Political Regime Examined。  new window
15.Lam Peng Er and Kevin Yi Tan, eds(1999)。Lee's Lieutenants: Singapore's Old Guard,Australia:Allen & Unwin。  new window
16.Laothamatas, Anek, ed.(1997)。Democratization in Southeast and East Asia,Singapore:ISEAS。  new window
17.Ong Choon Khiang(1998)。Singapore politics: A policy analysis of the changes In The group representation constituency system, An honour thesis,Singaporer:Presented to the Department of Political Science, National University of Singapore。  new window
18.Parliament of Singapore(1988)。Report of the select committee on the parliament Elections (Amendment) Bill [Bill No. 23/87 ] and The constitution of the Republic of Singapore (Amendment No. 2) Bill [Bill No, 24/87],Singapore:Parliament of Singapore。  new window
19.S. B. Balachandrer (ed.)(1998)。Singapore 1998: A Review of 1997,Singapore:Ministry of Information and the Arts。  new window
20.Seligman, Lester G.,(1964)。Elite Recruitment and Political Development。  new window
21.Tremewan, Christopher(1994)。The Political Economy of Social Control in Singapore,New York:St. Martine's。  new window
22.Woon, Walter, Lim Cantab and Lib Sing(1989)。The Singapore Legal System,Singapore:Longman。  new window
 
 
 
 
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