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題名:如何看待穆斯林社會中政治伊斯蘭的民意支持?複層次迴歸模型的實證分析
書刊名:人文及社會科學集刊
作者:黃旻華 引用關係
作者(外文):Huang, Min-hua
出版日期:2006
卷期:18:1
頁次:頁119-169
主題關鍵詞:政治伊斯蘭中東政治宗教與政治政治文化Political IslamMiddle East politicsReligion and politicsPolitical culture
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:2
  • 點閱點閱:43
本文藉由八個穆斯林國家的調查資料,來探索政治伊斯蘭在穆斯林世界受到普遍支持的原因。結果發現,在個體層次上,不管就態度或行為層面來說,伊斯蘭信仰確實是政治動員的利器,然而伊斯蘭教政黨的興起,反應了民眾對於執政者的不滿,因此將伊斯蘭教政黨的興起全歸因於文明的衝突並不公平。進一步從總體層次來分析,發現國家的經社或政治狀態是影響政治伊斯蘭民意支持的主因,這意味伊斯蘭信仰不必然代表非理性的意識形態,而可能是另一種政治系統的選擇,也因此,協助穆斯林國家發展健全的治理能力是化解西方與伊斯蘭世界衝突的當務之急。
This article uses the data from the World Value Survey to explore the question of why people support political Islam in Muslim societies. I apply multilevel modeling to test the hypotheses of social psychology, rational evaluation, and modernization theory. The empirical findings suggest: at the individual level, Islam as a religion is indeed a very powerful tool of political mobilization; modernist attitudes also have strong explanatory power; however, the rise of Islamic parties to a large extent reflects the popular dissatifaction toward the incumbent government. Therefore, ascribing the support of political Islam to the conflict of civilizations without recognizing people's demand for political responsibility is an unfair argument. At the country level, deteriorating socio-economic or political condition is the most powerful factor to explain the support of political Islam. The implication of the multilevel analysis is that the support of political Islam. The implication of the multilevel analysis is that the support of political Islam is not necessarily driven by a non-rational ideology and it may represent an alternative choice of political system; nonetheless, as long as the Western world can help the improvement of state governance, the conflict between the West and the Muslim societies can be resolved even if the latter are under the reign of Islamic parties.
期刊論文
1.Bill, James A.(1994)。Comparative Middle East Politics: Still in Search of Theory。Political Science and Politics,27(3),518-519。  new window
2.Tessler, M.(2002)。Islam and Democracy in the Middle East: The Impact of Religious Orientations on Attitudes Toward Democracy in Four Arab Countries。Comparative Politics,34(3),337-354。  new window
3.黃旻華(20041200)。Why Do People Support Political Islam?--Empirical Evidence from Eight Muslim Societies。臺灣政治學刊,8(2),245-320。new window  new window
4.Shryock, Andrew、Howell, Sally(2001)。Ever a Guest in Our House。International Journal of Middle East Studies,33,247-269。  new window
5.Tessler, M.、Nachtwey, J.(1998)。Islam and Attitudes Toward International Conflict: Evidence from Survey Research in the Arab World。Journal of Conflict Resolution,42,619-636。  new window
6.Robin, P.(1990)。Jordan's Election: A New Era?。Middle East Report,164/165,55-57。  new window
7.Nachtwey, J.、Tessler, M.(2002)。The Political Economy of Attitudes Toward Peace Among Israelis and Palestinians。Journal of Conflict Resolution,46(2),260-285。  new window
8.Tessler, M.(2003)。Arab and Muslim Political Attitudes: Stereotypes and Evidence from Survey Research。International Studies Perspective,4(2),175-181。  new window
9.Johnston, Ron and、Pattie, Charles(2001)。Dimensions of Retrospective Voting。Party Politics,7(4),469-490。  new window
10.Barraclough, Steven(1998)。Al-Azhar: Between the Government and the Islamists。The Middle East Journal,52(2),236-249。  new window
11.Boudandel, Youcef(2003)。Political Parties and the Transition from Authoritarianism: The Case of Algeria。Journal of Modern African Studies,41(1),1-22。  new window
12.Heper, M.、Baskan, F.(2001)。The Politics of Coalition Government in Turkey, 1961-1999: Toward a Paradigmatic Change?。International Journal of Turkish Studies,7,68-89。  new window
13.Hudson, Michael C.(2001)。The Middle East。PS: Political Science & Politics,34(4),801-803。  new window
14.Lust-Okar, Ellen M.(2001)。The Decline of Jordanian Political Parties: Myth or Reality。International Journal of Middle East Studies,33,545-569。  new window
15.Maghraoui, Abdesiam(2001)。Political Authority in Crisis: Mohammed VI's Morocco。Middle East Report,218。  new window
16.Maghraoui, Abdesiam(2002)。Depoliticization in Morocco。Journal of Democracy,13(4),25-32。  new window
17.Moustafa, Tamir(2000)。Conflict and Cooperation between the State and Religious Institutions in Contemporary Egypt。International Journal of Middle East Studies,32,3-22。  new window
18.Zeghal, Malika(1999)。Religion and Politics in Egypt: The Ulema of Al-Azhar, Radical Islam, and the State (1952-94)。International Journal of Middle East Studies,31,371-399。  new window
學位論文
1.Huang, Min-hua(2004)。Why Do People Support Political Islam? A Comparative Study of Eight Muslim Societies(博士論文)。University of Michigan。  new window
圖書
1.Hox, Joop J.、NetLibrary, I.(2002)。Multilevel Analysis: Techniques and Applications。Lawrence Erlbaum Associates。  new window
2.Raudenbush, Stephen W.、Bryk, Anthony S.(2002)。Hierarchical Lineal Models: Applications and Data Analysis Methods。Thousand Oaks, CA:Sage Publications。  new window
3.Fiorina, Morris P.(1981)。Retrospective Voting in American National Elections。Yale University Press。  new window
4.Przeworski, Adam、Teune, Henry(1970)。The Logic of Comparative Social Inquiry。John Wiley & Sons, Inc.。  new window
5.Casanova, José(1994)。Public Religions in the Modern World。University of Chicago Press。  new window
6.Embretson, Susan E.、Reise, Steven P.(2000)。Item Response Theory for Psychologists。Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Inc.。  new window
7.Barnett, Michael(1998)。Dialogues in Arab Politics。New York, NY:Columbia University Press。  new window
8.Hafez, M. M.(2003)。Why Muslims Rebel? Repression and Resistance in the Muslim World。Boulder:Lynne Rienner。  new window
其他
1.Bake, Wayne(2004)。Preliminary Findings from the Detroit Arab American Study,http://www.umich.edu/news/Releases/2004/Jul04/daas.pdf, 2004/09/03。  new window
2.Pipe, Daniel(20040727)。It’s Not Just Any Terrorism, It’s Islamist Terrorism.,http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/ArticleNews/TPStory/LAC/20040727/COPIPES27/TPComment/TopStori, 2009/09/03。  new window
3.Roye, Ismail(2002)。US Public Opinion Toward Islam and Muslims after Sept. 11 Attacks,http://204.187.100.80/english/special-report/opinion2.pdf, 2004/09/03。  new window
4.Schere, Michael(20030526)。Daniel Pipes, Peacemaker?,http://www.motherjones.com/news/update/2003/05/we-420-Ol.html, 2004/09/03。  new window
圖書論文
1.Entelis, John P.(1997)。Political Islam in the Maghreb: The Nonviolent Dimension。Islam, Democracy, and the State in North Africa。Bloomington:Indiana University Press。  new window
2.Zartman, L. W.(2001)。Islam, the State, and Democracy: The Contradictions。Between the State and Islam。Washington D.C.:Woodrow Wilson Center Press:Cambridge University Press。  new window
3.Tessler, M.、Grobschmidt, M.(1995)。Democracy in the Arab World and the Arab-Israeli Conflict。Democracy, War, and Peace in the Middle East。Bloomington:Indiana University Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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