Affected by surging oil prices and growing environmental awareness, nations worldwide have been investing in R&D and manufacturing of recycling energy and biomass energy. Among which, manufacturers have been proactively engaged in solar cell development. Solar cell manufacturers have invested heavily to expand production and deployment, afraid of being eliminated from market share. In the upstream, midstream and downstream of solar cell development, the silicon wafer, in its upstream mode, suffers from serious material shortages. This research aims to address the problems associated with insufficient production (and, surpluses of silicon wafers), in order to decrease the losses to manufacturers. The research focuses on export value of silicon wafers from January 2004 to December 2007, uses the Grey Theory computed every month (and the Grey theory applied less frequently), simple linear regression analysis, and single exponential smoothing, in order to establish an export forecasting model for silicon wafers. Additionally, this research adopts MAPE as the best forecasting model, to forecast its export value for January 2008. It is hoped that the results of this research can lead to silicon wafer production strategies, in order to better face future challenges, and to serve as a reference for government and the related industry.