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題名:Opposite Hand Advantage and the Overrepresentation of Left-Handed Players in Major League Baseball
書刊名:經濟論文
作者:朱敬一 引用關係張毓天朱俊漢
作者(外文):Chu, Cyrus C. Y.Chang, TedChu, John
出版日期:2016
卷期:44:2
頁次:頁171-205
主題關鍵詞:異手優勢固定效果模型賽局理論納許均衡Opposite hand advantageFixed effect modelGame theoryNash equilibrium
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一般咸認打者面對使用與自身相異的慣用手投球的投手時,具有異手優勢。異手優勢屬於「事前」的範圍,而球員的表現則提供了「事後」的訊息,包括球員的技術、優/劣勢、以及球隊用人的策略等。就策略而言,球隊可能根據異手優勢安排不同選手的上場時間,進而影響到整個聯盟左手球員所佔的比例。本研究以西元2000年至2012年問美國大聯盟球員一百三十萬次的投打對決,提出異手優勢的量化分析及其對大聯盟左手球員比例的影響。結果顯示,異手優勢大約佔打者攻擊指數的7%至15%。其次,就上場時間而言,敵對左投手的比例對實力較差的打者影響較大,超過一般打者。最後,若純粹以球隊策略而言,大聯盟應該再多聘用7.5%的左打者。
It is generally believed that batters have an advantage when facing opposite-handed pitchers. While this opposite hand advantage is known to be ex ante, the performance of players is ex post, which contains information about their skill, hand (dis)advantage, and teams' recruiting strategies. Based on more than 1.3 million play-by-play data points in Major League Baseball from 2000 to 2012, we provide a quantitative estimate of the opposite hand advantage to show how it can be used as a determinant of the excess supply of left-handed players. The results indicate the opposite hand advantage accounts for about 7-15% of the ex post on-base plus slugging. Second, compared to average batters, marginal batters, both right-handed and left-handed, are more affected by the proportion of left-handed pitchers. Third, in terms of strategic advantage, 7.5% more left-handed batters should be employed in Major League.
期刊論文
1.Flanagan, T.(1998)。Game theory and professional baseball: Mixed strategy models。Journal of Sport Behavior,21(2),121-138。  new window
2.Grondin, S.、Guiard, Y.、Ivry, R. B.、Koren, S.(1999)。Manual laterality and hitting performance in Major League Baseball。Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance,25(3),747-754。  new window
3.Hagemann, N.(2009)。The advantage of being left-handed in interactive sports。Attention, Perception, and Psychophysics,71(7),1641-1648。  new window
4.Lindsey, G. R.(1959)。Statistical data useful for the operation of a baseball team。Operations Research,7(2),197-207。  new window
5.Loffing, F.、Hagemann, N.、Strauss, B.(2012)。Left-handedness in professional and amateur tennis。PLOS ONE,7(11),(e49325)1-(e49325)8。  new window
6.Pollet, T. V.、Stulp, G.、Groothuis, T. G. G.(2013)。Born to win? Testing the fighting hypothesis in realistic fights: Left-handedness in the Ultimate Fighting Championship。Animal Behaviour,86,839-843。  new window
7.Raymond, M.、Pontier, D.、Dufuor, A. B.、Moller, A. P.(1996)。Frequency-dependent maintenance of left handedness in humans。Proceedings: Biological Sciences,263(1377),1627-1633。  new window
8.Berri, D. J.、Brook, S. T.、Frick, B.、Fenn, A. J.、Vicente-Mayoral, R.(2005)。The short supply of tall people: Competitive imbalance and the National Basketball Association。Journal of Economic Issues,39(4),1029-1041。  new window
9.Ruebeck, C. S.、Harrington, J. E.、Moffitt, R.(2007)。Handedness and Earnings。Laterality,12(2),101-120。  new window
10.Wood, C. J.、Aggleton, J. P.(1989)。Handedness in 'Fast Ball' Sports: Do Left-Handers Have an Innate Advantage?。British Journal of Psychology,80(Pt 2),227-240。  new window
11.Akpinar, S.、Bicer, B.(2014)。Why Left-Handers/Footers Are Overrepresented in Some Sports。Montenegrin Journal of Sports Science and Medicine,3(2),33-38。  new window
12.Brooks, R.、Bussiere, L. F.、Jennions, M. D.、Hunt, J.(2004)。Sinister Strategies Succeed at Cricket World Cup。Proceedings of the Royal Society B,271(Suppl. 3),64-66。  new window
13.Denny, K.、O'Sullivan, V.(2007)。The Economic Consequences of Being Left-Handed: Some Sinister Results。The Journal of Human Resources,42(2),353-374。  new window
14.Goldstein, S. R.、Young, C.(1996)。'Evolutionary' Stable Strategy of Handedness in Major League Baseball。Journal of Comparative Psychology,110(2),164-169。  new window
15.Goodman, J.(2014)。The Wages of Sinistrality: Handedness, Brain Structure and Human Capital Accumulation。Journal of Economic Perspectives,28(4),193-212。  new window
16.Groothuis, P. A.、Hill, J. R.(2008)。Exit Discrimination in Major League Baseball: 19902004。Southern Economic Association,75(2),574-590。  new window
17.Groothuis, T. G. G.、McManus, I. C.、Schaafsma, S. M.、Geuze, R. H.(2013)。The Fighting Hypothesis in Combat: How Well Does the Fighting Hypothesis Explain Human Left Handed Minorities?。Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences,1288,100-109。  new window
18.Loffing, F.、Hagemann, N.、Strauss, B.(2010)。Automated Processes in Tennis: Do Left Handed Players Benefit from the Tactical Preferences of Their Opponents?。Journal of Sports Sciences,28(4),435-443。  new window
19.Lucifora, C.、Simmons, R.(2003)。Superstar Effects in Sport. Evidence from Italian Soccer。Journal of Sports Economics,4(1),35-55。  new window
學位論文
1.Behrend, T.(2012)。Left-Handed Pitchers in Major League Baseball(學士論文)。Colorado College。  new window
2.DeBoer, A. A.(2010)。Baseball and the Left Handed Hitter(學士論文)。Colorado College。  new window
3.Lin, H.-Y.(2014)。Three Essays on Sports Economics(博士論文)。National Central University。  new window
圖書
1.Ryan, N.、Torre, J.、Cohen, J.(1977)。Pitching and hitting。Englewood Cliffs, NJ:Prentice Hall。  new window
2.Thorn, J.、Palmer, P.(1985)。The hidden game of baseball: A revolutionary approach to baseball and its statistics。Garden City, NY:Doubleday。  new window
3.Adair, R. K.(1994)。The Physics of Baseball。New York:HarperCollins。  new window
4.Albert, J.、Bennett, J.(2003)。Curve Ball: Baseball, Statistics, and the Role of Chance in the Game。New York:Copernicus Books。  new window
5.Nowlin, B.(2014)。The Miracle Braves of 1914: Boston's Original Worst-to-First World Series Champions。Phoenix, AZ:Society for American Baseball Research。  new window
6.Mincer, Jacob(1974)。Schooling, Experience and Earnings。New York:Columbia University Press for National Bureau of Economic Research。  new window
其他
1.(2012)。Play-by-Play Data Files,http://www.retrosheet.org/game.htm。  new window
2.Bradbury, J. C.(2006)。Do Southpaws Get a Fair Shake in MLB?,http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2006/08/do-southpaws-get-afair-shake-in-mlb/。  new window
3.Bradbury, J. C.(2006)。Do Southpaws Get a Fair Shake in MLB? Part II: Pitchers,http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2006/08/dosouthpaws-get-a-fair-shake-in-mlb-part-2-pitchers/。  new window
4.Eddy, M.(2014)。The Quest to Gain Platoon Advantage Takes a Left Turn,http://www.baseballamerica.com/majors/teams-ongoing-quest-to-gain-platoon-advantage-takes-a-left-turn/。  new window
5.Fox, D.(2006)。Schrodinger's Bat: The Irreducible Essence of Platoon Splits,http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=4970。  new window
6.Frick, B.,Prinz, J.(20001002)。Player Remuneration in Professional Team Sports Leagues: Is There a Trade-Off between Pay and Contract Length?,Seminar of the LINK Research Group, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Industrial Economics and Strategy。,http://openarchive.cbs.dk/bitstream/handle/10398/6906/linkwp19.pdf?sequence=1。  new window
7.Lahman, S.(2012)。Lahman's Baseball Database [Data file],http://baseball1.com/statistics/。  new window
 
 
 
 
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