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題名:應用賽局理論於經營策略之探討--以銀行貸款違約為例
書刊名:財金論文叢刊
作者:花榮尉林益倍 引用關係
作者(外文):Hua, Rong-weiLin, Yih-bey
出版日期:2016
卷期:25
頁次:頁81-92
主題關鍵詞:經營策略賽局理論納許均衡囚犯困境Business strategyGame theoryNash equilibriumPrisoners' dilemma
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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本文運用賽局理論探討銀行業在面對金融同業間同時推出性質相近之新商品,及面對國外銀行加入國內金融市場競爭。研究結果顯示,當兩家競爭之銀行同時計畫推出性質相近的新金融商品時,可將同時決策之賽局轉換成依序賽局,再利用先發制人之策略獲取競爭上的利益;在不同時段推出不同產品,以營造競爭雙方共贏之情況。其次,當國外銀行欲進入國內金融市場,此時競爭賽局雙方均衡策略為(進入,原價),即外資銀行若選擇「進入」,則國內銀行業應選擇仍維持「原價」,以避免陷入競相降價之惡性競爭。最後當銀行拍賣抵押物受償價金越高時,債務人採取正常履約策略之機率越高;反之,受償價金越低時,債務人採取正常履約策略之機率越低,債務人越可能直接採取違約背信的策略。故銀行業辦理貸款時,借款人抵押物多寡之爭取,常成為借款人是否採取違約背信策略之主要依據之一。
This paper uses game theory to explore when banks face of between the financial services sector has also introduced a similar new product, and face of foreign banks to join the domestic market ompetition. The results show that when two banks competition at the same time plans to launch a similar nature new financial products, It will let decision-making game theory be converted into sequential game theory simultaneously, use of pre-emptive strategy to get the benefits of competition; or to introduct of different products at different times, to create a win-win situation competition. Second, when foreign banks wishing to enter the domestic financial markets, this competition both game theory balanced strategy is (entry, the original price), means if foreign banks choose "enter" strategy, the domestic banking sector should remain " the original price " strategy, to avoid vicious competition in the race to cut prices. Finally, When a bank auction more higher price of collateral for repayment, the higher the probability of the debtor to take the normal performance; Conversely, the lower the price of repayment, the debtor will take lower the probability of normal performance. Therefore, when the bank loans, the amount of collateralof the borrower to obtain, often become the main basis whether a borrower take defaults strategies.
期刊論文
1.Maskin, Eric、Riley, John(1984)。Optimal Auctions with Risk Averse Buyers。Econometrica,52(6),1473-1518。  new window
2.Nash, John F.(1951)。Non-cooperative Games。Annals of Mathematics,54(2),286-295。  new window
3.Bloch, Francis、Diamantoudi, Effrosyni(2011)。Noncooperative Formation of Coalitions in Hedonic Games。International Journal of Game Theory,40(2),263-280。  new window
4.Dziubinski, Marcin(2011)。Location Game on Disjoint Line Segments。International Journal of Game Theory,40(2),231-262。  new window
5.Lin, Yih-Bey、Li, Jian-Fa、Hong, Cheng-Yih(2011)。A Study on Abnormal Stock Returns and Information Transfer Following R&D Increaser。Journal of Money, Investment and Banking,21。  new window
圖書
1.楊家彥、張建一、吳麗真(2006)。賽局理論與訊息經濟。台北:五南。  延伸查詢new window
2.Fudenberg, Drew、Levine, David K.(1998)。The Theory of Learning in Games。MIT Press。  new window
3.許恩得(2003)。競合策略--賽局理論的經營智慧。台北:培生教育。  延伸查詢new window
4.趙華、高明淞(2006)。入世賽局--衝突的策略。台北:五南。  延伸查詢new window
5.藍兆杰、徐偉傑、陳怡君(2002)。策略的賽局。台北:弘智文化。  延伸查詢new window
6.Brandenburger, Adam、Nalebuff, Barry(1996)。Co-opetition。Formerly Booz and Company。  new window
7.Myerson, Roger(1991)。Game Theory。Cambridge:Harvard University Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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