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題名:認知偏誤與臺灣觀光類股的投資策略
書刊名:臺灣企業績效學刊
作者:練有為鄭素珍 引用關係
作者(外文):Lan, Yu-weiCheng, Su-jan
出版日期:2015
卷期:8:2
頁次:頁121-139
主題關鍵詞:共整合分析誤差修正模型程式交易可用性偏誤Cointegration analysisError correction modelProgram tradingAvailability bias
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
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  • 共同引用共同引用:1
  • 點閱點閱:62
陸客來台觀光已成為我國重要觀光來源,為探討近年開放陸客來台觀光之政策改變對觀光產業投資績效之影響,由於經濟模型很難把情緒因素納入(Shiller, 2000),因此本研究改變傳統的(數理經濟模型)分析方式,採實驗設計的方式,將不同的參考指標作為對照組,用以檢驗參考指標的差異是否會造成投資績效的不同,樣本資料係採用2009 年8 月15 日至2015 年2 月9 日觀光類個股、觀光加權指數和寶滬深ETF(0061)之股價資料來測試兩個假設,結果證實本研究之假說:台灣觀光類股價運行的投資行為,確實存在正反饋交易行為模式和可用性直覺法則之認知偏誤行為模式。
Mainland China is the most important sources of tourism for Taiwan in recent years. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the stock investment decision-making of tourism industry under policy change. Since the economic model is very difficult to incorporate emotional factors (Shiller, 2000), we change the traditional (mathematical economic models) analytical methods to employ experimental design approach to adopt different reference index as a control group, to test whether the difference in the reference index will cause the investment performance of different. Adopting the stock prices of tourism industry of Taiwan, Weighted tourism industry sector index (2700) and CSI ETF (0061) from Aug. 15, 2009 to Feb. 9, 2015, we use program trading to test two hypotheses. It shows that the investment behavior of positive feedback trading and cognitive bias of heuristics of availability do exit in the stock market of Taiwan's tourism industry.
期刊論文
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研究報告
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2.Shiller, R. J.(1987)。Investor behavior in the October 1987 stock market crash: Survey evidence。  new window
圖書
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