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題名:強權崛起:中國近二十五年綜合國力評估
書刊名:全球政治評論
作者:楊仕樂朱永暉
作者(外文):Yang, Shih-yuehChu, Yung-hui
出版日期:2017
卷期:60
頁次:頁51-73
主題關鍵詞:中國崛起綜合國力戰爭潛力軍力總體戰Rise of ChinaComprehensive national powerWar potentialMilitary powerTotal war
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:38
  • 點閱點閱:17
本文討論了迄今所出現關於綜合國力的衡量方式,並提出考慮領土、經濟、能源消耗、鋼鐵生產、發展程度的綜合指標,再據以計算過去25年以來中國崛起的程度。從中可以發現,比較起十九世紀末的德國與二十世紀初的日本,中國今日的崛起雖還不比上德國,但已遠遠超過日本。中國在這樣的崛起之際,軍力為何沒有相稱的增長?核子嚇阻與中國所在的地理環境可充分解釋。
This article explores the existing measurements of comprehensive national power and proposed a revised version that incorporates territories, economies, energy consumptions, steel productions, and level of developments to evaluate China's rise during the last 25 years. In this regard, from a comparative perspective of Germany and Japan in the late 19(th) and early 20^(th) Century, China is yet as powerful as Germany but was already far more powerful than Japan. Why China's military power does not increase accordingly? This puzzle can be fully explained by nuclear deterrence and China's geographical context.
期刊論文
1.Hewson, Robert(2009)。China Displays Airpower Credentials with Glimpse of New Weapon Systems。Jane's International Defense Review,42(2),32-35。  new window
2.Weng, Johnathon(20060524)。Chinese Turbofan Engine Undergoes Ground Tests。Jane's Defense Weekly,32。  new window
3.Yang, Shih-Yueh(2013)。Power Transition, Balance of Power, and the Rise of China: A Theoretical Reflection about Rising Great Powers。The China Review,13(2),35-66。  new window
4.Fravel, M. Taylor(2010)。International Relations Theory and China's Rise: Assessing China's Potential for Territorial Expansion。International Studies Review,12(4),505-532。  new window
5.Chan, Steve(2010)。An Odd Thing Happened on the Way to Balancing: East Asian States' Reactions to China's Rise。International Studies Review,12(3),387-412。  new window
6.Kristof, Nicholas D.(1993)。The Rise of China。Foreign Affairs,72(5),59-74。  new window
7.陳重成、唐欣偉(20051000)。中國大陸崛起對當前國際體系的衝擊。遠景基金會季刊,6(4),101-137。new window  延伸查詢new window
8.唐欣偉(20160100)。檢討米爾斯海默對大國之判準--兼論其對中國地位之評估。遠景基金會季刊,17(1),1-31。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.Yang, Shih-Yueh、Vocke, William C. Jr.(2012)。Understanding the Chinese Aircraft Carrier Development Saga: A Technological and Geostrategic Analysis。Journal of Defense Analysis,24(4),503-514。  new window
10.Lieber, Keir A.、Press, Daryl G.(2017)。The New Era of Counterforce: Technological Change and the Future of Nuclear Deterrence。International Security,41(4),9-49。  new window
11.Beckley, Michael(2011)。China's Century? Why America's Edge Will Endure。International Security,36(3),41-78。  new window
會議論文
1.Chang, Chin-Lung(2004)。A Mesure of National Power。Building on Our Past and Investing in Our Future Conference,(會議日期: 2004/02/17)。Bangi:Institute of Malay World and Civilization, National University of Malaysia。6。  new window
圖書
1.Morgenthau, Hans J.(2006)。Politics among Nations: The Struggle for Power and Peace。New York:McGraw-Hill Inc.。  new window
2.Kaplan, Robert D.(2012)。The revenge of geography: what the map tells us about coming conflicts and the battle against fate。Random House。  new window
3.Hu, Angang(2007)。Economic and social transformation in China: Challenges and opportunities。Routledge。  new window
4.Carr, Edward H.(2001)。The Twenty Years' Crisis 1919-1939。Palgrave。  new window
5.Beaufre, Andre、鈕先鍾(1996)。戰略緒論。麥田。  延伸查詢new window
6.Copeland, Dale C.(2000)。The Origins of Major War。Cornell University Press。  new window
7.Organski, Abramo Fimo Kenneth(1958)。World Politics。Alfred A. Knopf。  new window
8.Nye, Joseph S. Jr.(2002)。The Paradox of American Power: Why the World's Only Superpower Can't Go It Alone?。Oxford University Press。  new window
9.Yang, Shih-Yueh(2015)。The Interaction-Structure Theory in International Politics。Taichung:Elephant White。  new window
10.Tellis, Ashley J.、Bially, Janice、Layne, Christopher、McPherson, Melissa(2000)。Measuring National Power in the Postindustrial Age: Analyst's Handbook。Santa Monica:RAND。  new window
11.Correlates of War。Correlates of War Project。  new window
12.Yoshimura, Akira(1996)。Zero Fighter。London:Praeger。  new window
13.Nakagawa, Yasuzo(1998)。Japanese Radar and Related Weapons of World War II。California:Aegean Park Press。  new window
14.Walt, Stephen M.(1987)。The Origins of Alliances。Cornell University Press。  new window
15.Mearsheimer, John J.、Alterman, G.(2001)。The Tragedy of Great Power Politics。W. W. Norton & Company。  new window
16.Waltz, Kenneth Neal(1979)。Theory of International Politics。McGraw-Hill。  new window
其他
1.International Institute for Management Developmen。IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook,http://www.imd.org/research/publications/wcy/。  new window
2.International Institute for Management Developmen。IMD World Competitiveness Scoreboard,https://www.imd.org/uupload/imd.website/wcc/scoreboard.pdf。  new window
3.Collins, Gabe,Erickson, Andrew(20110117)。China's New Project 718/J-20 Fighter: Development Outlook and Strategic Implications,http://www.chinasignpost.com/2011/01/17/chinas-new-project-718j-20-fighter-development-outlook-and-strategic-implications/。  new window
圖書論文
1.Bitzinger, Richard A.(2003)。Analyzing Chinese Military Expenditures。The People's Liberation Army and China in Transition。Washington D.C.:National Defense University Press。  new window
2.楊仕樂(2017)。科技與地理和平論。和平與衝突研究:理論新視野。台北:五南文化事業。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.吳玉山(20110000)。權力轉移理論:悲劇預言?。國際關係理論。臺北:五南。new window  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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