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題名:住宅及商業租金聯合均衡模型及交通政策影響分析--紐約都會區之實證研究
書刊名:都市與計劃
作者:陳彥仲 引用關係Anas,Alex
出版日期:1994
卷期:21:2
頁次:頁129-148
主題關鍵詞:羅吉模型租金當量期望需求旅行時間彈性價格彈性潛在所得Logit modelRent equityExpected demandTravel time elasticityPrice elasticityPotential income
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(2) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:19
  • 點閱點閱:40
     交通政策的實施對都市住宅及商業地價會造成影響,但其影響大小一般不易衡量。本研究引用市場均衡概念,並以不連續選擇理論之羅吉模型(logit model)為工具,架構一個計量經濟模型。此一模型可以用於聯合求解都市住宅及商業用地之價格(以租金表示之)。模型的建立以配合紐約都會區之實質發展以及資料詳細程度進行分區(包括就業分區、住宅分區及商業分區)並據以校估參數。在模型的求解過程中可同時算出各住宅區位、住宅形式、通勤運具與購物區位之聯合選擇機率及使用需求量。在政策分析方面,本研究假設於通勤尖鋒時段增加地四捷運運輸班次為原來之兩倍,分析結果顯示在縮短等車時間之後,交區及市中心曼哈頓(Manhattan)區之住宅需求下降,而環繞市中心之其他分區如皇后(Queens)區、布魯克林(Brooklyn)區及布朗克斯(Bronx)區之住宅需求增加,而地租也隨之上漲約1%。
     The impacts of transportation policy on urban residential and commercial rent has generally been approved, but the measurement of the impact effects is still remaining uncertain. This study established an empirical simulation model to capture the changes of commercial rent as well as residential rent due to a transportation policy. The model is constructed base on the concept of market equilibrium and by means of the well known multinomial logit (MNL) model which is frequently discussed in discrete choice theory. The constructed model has been successfully applied to the new York metropolitan area. The joint choice of residential location, housing type, commuting mode and commercial trips as well as commercial travel model is computed. When the subway waiting time is reduced by halving its headway, the model depices the decreasing of housing demand in Manhattan and increasing is suburban boroughs: Queens, Brooklyn and Bronx. This also results in 1% increase of housing rent in suburban areas. This study illustrates an important experience in modeling the housing and commercial rent market and would be helpful in the future studies of Taiwan cities
期刊論文
1.曹壽民、羅孝賢(19930900)。運輸對土地使用影響之研究--以臺北都會區為例。運輸,21,1-23。  延伸查詢new window
2.葉光毅(19870300)。道路建設對都市活動區位條件之衝擊:臺南市東區居住及商業活動之實例探討。運輸計劃,16(1),27-48。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.趙捷謙(1976)。運輸技術的改進與都市的發展--以臺北市的發展為例。運輸計劃,5(4),19-33。  延伸查詢new window
4.藍武王(1981)。運輸設施對土地使用影響之研究。運輸計劃季刊,10(2)。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.Anas, A.、Arnott, R.(1991)。Dynamic Housing Market Equilibrium with Taste Heterogeneity, Idiosyncratic Perfect Foresight, and Stock Conversions。Journal of Housing Economics,1,2-32。  new window
6.Ellickson, B.(1981)。An Alternative Test of the Hedonic Theory of Housing Market。Journal of Urban Economics,9(1),56-79。  new window
7.Galster, G. C.(1977)。A Bit-Rent Analysis of Housing Market Discrimination。American Economic Review,67(2),144-155。  new window
8.Lerman, S. R.(1977)。Location, Housing, Automobile Ownership and Mode to Work: A Joint Choice Model。Transportation Research Report,610,6-11。  new window
9.Mills, E. S.(1967)。An Aggregative Model of Resource Allocation in Metropolitan Areas。American Economic Review,57,197-210。  new window
10.Quigley, J.(1976)。Housing Demand in the Short Run: An Analysis of Polytomous Choice。Explorations of Economic Research,3(1),76-102。  new window
11.Wheaton, W. C.(1977)。A Bit Rent Approach to Housing Demand。Journal of Urban Economics,4(2),200-217。  new window
12.段良雄(19830900)。運輸改善對房地價影響之研究。運輸計劃,12(3),383-394。new window  延伸查詢new window
13.馮正民、楊靜音(19890900)。臺北都會區大眾捷運系統紅線對沿線地區發展之影響研究。運輸計劃,18(3),349-367。new window  延伸查詢new window
14.Rosen, Sherwin(1974)。Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets: Product Differentiation in Pure Competition。Journal of Political Economy,82(1),34-55。  new window
研究報告
1.Anas, A.(1992)。Capitalization of Urban Travel Improvements into Residential and Commercial Real Estate: Simulations with a Unified Model of Housing, Travel Mode and Shopping Choices。New York。  new window
2.Kain, J. F.、Apgar, W. C.、Ginn, J. R.(1976)。Simulation of the Market Effects of Housing Allowances: Vol. I Description of the NBER Urban Simulation Model (計畫編號:R77-2)。Cambridge:John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University。  new window
圖書
1.Alonso, W.(1964)。Location and Land Use。Cambridge:Harvard University Press。  new window
2.Anas, A.(1982)。Residential Location Markets and Urban Transportation。Academic Press。  new window
3.Boyce, D. E.、Allen, B.(1973)。Impact of Rapid Transit on Suburban Residential Property Values and Land Development。Philadelphia:Department of Regional Science, University of Pennsylvania。  new window
4.Muth, Richard F.(1969)。Cities and Housing。Chicago:University of Chicago Press。  new window
圖書論文
1.McFadden, D.(1978)。Modeling the Choice of Residential Location。Spatial Interaction Theory and Harming Models。New York:North Holland Publishing。  new window
 
 
 
 
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