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題名:關於假設檢驗的爭議:問題的澄清與解決
書刊名:心理科學進展
作者:仲曉波
作者(外文):Zhong, Xiaobo
出版日期:2016
卷期:2016(10)
頁次:1670-1676
主題關鍵詞:假設檢驗頻率學派貝葉斯學派置信區間PSI問題Hypothesis testingFrequency schoolBayesian schoolConfidence intervalPSI problem
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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對傳統的假設檢驗作為心理學實驗的數據分析工具的評價涉及兩個標準:首先是它是否合法,其次是它是否有用。置於頻率學派統計學框架中的傳統假設檢驗在邏輯上實際上是合法的;但它在效用性方面則有著備擇假設不可證偽以及只能提供定性結論這兩方面的缺陷。置信區間能夠集中地改進和彌補這些缺陷。對傳統假設檢驗使用中錯誤的澄清也使得研究者們開始重視PSI問題,這使得心理學實驗的設計和數據分析從關注總體轉向關注個體。
Traditional hypothesis testing, which serves as the data analysis tool in psychological experiments, can be appraised according to two criterions, the first one is legality and the second utility. The logic foundation of traditional hypothesis testing, rooted in the frame of frequency school statistics, is, in fact, correct. But, in terms of utility, traditional hypothesis testing involves two shortcomings. One is that its alternative hypothesis can't be denied, and the other is that it can only provide qualitative conclusion. Confidence interval is suggested to replace traditional hypothesis testing to report the results of psychological experiments, for it can modify and supplement traditional hypothesis testing in these two aspects. Clarification of the mistakes in the using of traditional hypothesis testing also makes the researchers pay much attention to the PSI problem, which would turn the focus of the design and data analysis of psychological experiments from emphasizing population to emphasizing individuals.
期刊論文
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8.Serlin, R. C.(2010)。Regarding prep: Comment prompted by Iverson, Wagenmakers, and Lee (2010); Lecoutre, Lecoutre, and Poitevineau (2010); and Maraun and Gabriel (2010)。Psychological Methods,15(2),203-208。  new window
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13.Rosopa, P. J.、Schaffer, M. M.、Schroeder, A. N.(2013)。Managing heteroscedasticity in general linear models。Psychological Methods,18(3),335-351。  new window
14.Rothstein, H. R.、Bushman, B. J.(2012)。Publication bias in psychological science: Comment on Ferguson and Brannick (2012)。Psychological Methods,17(1),129-136。  new window
15.Cumming, G.、Fidler, F.(2009)。Confidence intervals: Better answers to better questions。Zeitschrift für Psychologie,217(1),15-26。  new window
16.Cumming, G.(2010)。Replication, prep, and confidence intervals: Comment prompted by Iverson, Wagenmakers, and Lee (2010); Lecoutre, Lecoutre, and Poitevineau (2010); and Maraun and Gabriel (2010)。Psychological Methods,15(2),192-198。  new window
17.Ferguson, C. J.、Brannick, M. T.(2012)。Publication bias in psychological science: Prevalence, methods for identifying and controlling, and implications for the use of meta-analyses。Psychological Methods,17(1),120-128。  new window
18.Geiser, C.、Litson, K.、Bishop, J.、Keller, B.、Burns, G. L.、Servera, M.、Shiffman, S.(2015)。Analyzing person, situation and person × situation interaction effects: Latent state-trait models for the combination of random and fixed situations。Psychological Methods,20(2),165-192。  new window
19.Hagen, R. L.(1997)。In praise of the null hypothesis statistical test。American Psychologist,52(1),15-24。  new window
20.Harris, R. J.(1997)。Significance tests have their place。Psychological Science,8(1),8-11。  new window
21.Iverson, G. J.、Wagenmakers, E. J.、Lee, M. D.(2010)。A model-averaging approach to replication: The case of prep。Psychological Methods,15(2),172-181。  new window
22.Killeen, P. R.(2005)。An alternative to null-hypothesis significance tests。Psychological Science,16,345-352。  new window
23.Killeen, P. R.(2010)。Prep replicates: Comment prompted by Iverson, Wagenmakers, and Lee (2010); Lecoutre, Lecoutre, and Poitevineau (2010); and Maraun and Gabriel (2010)。Psychological Methods,15(2),199-202。  new window
24.Lecoutre, B.、Lecoutre, M. P.、Poitevineau, J.(2010)。Killeen's probability of replication and predictive probabilities: How to compute, use, and interpret them。Psychological Methods,15(2),158-171。  new window
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27.Miller, J.、Schwarz, W.(2011)。Aggregate and individual replication probability within an explicit model of the research process。Psychological Methods,16(3),337-360。  new window
圖書
1.梁之舜、鄧集賢、楊維權、司徒榮、鄧永錄(1980)。概率論及數理統計。北京:高等教育出版社。  延伸查詢new window
2.張堯庭、陳漢峰(1991)。貝葉斯統計推斷。北京:科學出版社。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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