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題名:匯率與股票市場之不對稱相關性
書刊名:中國統計學報
作者:陳麗君 引用關係陳俊杰徐慈陽傅承德
作者(外文):Chen, Li-jiunChen, Chun-chiehHsu, Tzu-yangFuh, Cheng-der
出版日期:2013
卷期:51:3
頁次:頁274-291
主題關鍵詞:關聯結構模型不對稱相關性超額關聯性金融風暴事件Copula modelAsymmetric dependenceExceedance correlationFinancial crisis
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:14
  • 點閱點閱:61
本文應用不同的關聯結構函數探討美國及其主要貿易國匯率與股票市場間的不對稱相關性。藉由2005年至2010年美國及其主要貿易國匯率與股票市場的資料,觀察到在2008年全球金融風暴後,其市場之間逐漸顯示具有不對稱相關性的現象。本文以月報酬率、季報酬率、半年報酬率及年報酬率來做分析,實證分析發現不同頻率的資料都顯示不對稱相關性,且隨著資料頻率的降低,不對稱相關性的現象愈趨明顯。
In this paper, we study the correlation between exchange rates and stock markets for United States, Canada, and Mexico between 2005 and 2010, especially the period of the global financial crisis. For the dependence structure between a exchange rate and a stock market, a copula model is exploited due to the asymmetry dependence observed. Note that the asymmetric dependence leads to be significantly stronger as putting money into the long-term investment. In order to specify the exact correlation, the tail dependence and exceedance correlation are both employed. In our empirical analyses, the phenomenon of asymmetric dependence between exchange rates and stock markets all occur in United States, Canada, and Mexico after the global financial crisis, meaning that arbitrage exists.
期刊論文
1.Hong, Y.、Tu, J.、Zhou, G.(2007)。Asymmetries in stock returns: statistical tests and economic evaluation。Review of Financial Studies,20(5),1547-1581。  new window
2.Joe, H.(2005)。Asymptotic efficiency of the two-stage estimation method for copula based models。Journal of Multivariate Analysis,94(2),401-419。  new window
3.Ang, Andrew、Chen, Joseph(2002)。Asymmetric Correlations of Equity Portfolios。Journal of Financial Economics,63(3),443-494。  new window
4.Longin, Francois M.、Solnik, Bruno(2001)。Extreme Correlation of International Equity Markets。Journal of Finance,56(2),649-676。  new window
5.郭秋榮(20090300)。全球金融風暴之成因、對我國影響及因應對策之探討。經濟研究,9,59-89。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.Patton, Andrew J.(2004)。On the out-of-sample importance of skewness and asymmetric dependence for asset allocation。Journal of Financial Econometrics,2(1),130-168。  new window
7.Genest, C.、Ghoudi, K.、Rivest, L.-P.(1995)。A Semiparametric Estimation Procedure of Dependence Parameters in Multivariate Families of Distributions。Biometrika,82(3),543-552。  new window
圖書
1.McNeil, A. J.、Frey, R.、Embrechts, P.(2005)。Quantitative Risk Management: Concepts, Techniques and Tools。Princeton University Press。  new window
2.Nelsen, R. B.(2006)。An introduction to copulas。New York:Springer Verlag。  new window
 
 
 
 
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