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題名:臺灣一九八0年代住宅自有率變化之探討
書刊名:住宅學報
作者:薛立敏陳綉里
作者(外文):Hsueh, Li-minChen, Hsiu-li
出版日期:1997
卷期:6
頁次:頁27-48
主題關鍵詞:臺灣住宅自有率
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(32) 博士論文(3) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:30
  • 共同引用共同引用:36
  • 點閱點閱:102
     本文利用民國71年及民國82年家計單位的資料(household characteristics data)來 分析台灣住宅自有率變動的原因。我們首先以Probit模型來估計住宅權屬選擇模型,結果發 現在該兩年當擁屋成本相對於租屋提高時,人們均傾向於租屋,而預期房屋增值提高時則傾 向於擁屋。此外,家庭�痡`所得愈高、年齡愈大、家庭人口數愈多其擁屋率也愈高。在自有 率變動方面,分析11年間各解釋變數及偏好變動的影響,房價上漲帶來的成本上升與預期 增值的影響大致相互抵銷。另方面房價房租比對擁屋決策影響幅度的變小(包括利率下降的 影響)卻是自有率提升的最重要因素。所得增加與所得對擁屋機率影響的程度改變的影響相 互抵銷後是些微的負數,而人口統計變數變動的影響也大致相互抵銷。
     In the 1980s, Taiwan has gone through a wave of serious house price increases. However, the homeownership rate still moderately increased. In this research, we used household data from the “Housing Survey”of 1982 and 1993 to analyze factors that affect the home ownership rate changes in the 1980s. A probit model is used to estimate the tenure choice model for these two years respectively. The model estimation verified our theoretical expectation that when the cost of owning a home relative to rent increases, people tend to rent and when there is an expectation of house price appreciation, people tend to own. In addition, model estimation also found that permanent income increases, increases in the age of the household head and increases in household size all increase the probability of owning a home. In analyzing the home ownership rate cahanges in this 11-year span, the effect of changes in the value of variables and changes in preferences (i.e. the changes in the coefficients)are decomposed. We found that the effect of house price increases on the relative cost of owning a home and the expectation of appreciation are almost cancel each other out in terms of affecting the home ownership rate. On the other hand, the extent the relative price for owning and renting affects the ownership probability decreased during these 11 years (i.e.,the absolute value of the coefficient decreased), which contributes significantly to the ownership rate increase. Income increases during this period increased the ownership rate, however, it just about to cancels the coefficient changes. Finally, the changes in the demographic variables and their coefficients are also close to canceling each other out.
期刊論文
1.Follain, James R.(1982)。Does Inflation Affect Real Behavior: The Case of Housing。Southern Economic Journal,48(3),570-582。  new window
2.Ioannides, Yannis M.、Henderson, J. V.(1983)。A Model of Housing Tenure Choice。The American Economic Review,73(1),98-113。  new window
3.Haurin, Donald R.、Hendershott, Patric H.、Kim, Dongwook(1994)。Housing Decisions of American Youth。Journal of Urban Economics,35(1),28-45。  new window
4.Seko, M.(1991)。The Effect of Inflation on Japanese Homeownership Rates: Evidence from Time-Series。Economic Studies Quarterly,42(2),155-163。  new window
5.Artie, R.、Varaiya, P.(1978)。Life Cycle Consumption and Homeownership。Journal of Economic Theory,18,38-58。  new window
6.Green, Richard K.(1996)。Should the Stagnant Homeownership Rate be a Source of Concern?。Regional Science and Urban Economics,26,337-368。  new window
7.Jones, L. D.(1990)。Current Constraints on the Housing Demand of Young Owners。Review of Economics and Statistics,72(3),424-432。  new window
8.Mills, Edwin S.(1990)。Housing Tenure Choice。Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics,3(4),323-331。  new window
9.Schwab, Robert M.(1982)。Inflation Expectation and the Demand for Housing。American Economic Review,72,143-153。  new window
10.Smith, Lawrence、Rosen, K.、Fallis, G.(1988)。Recent Development in Economic Models of Housing Markets。Journal of Economic Literature,26,29-64。  new window
11.林祖嘉(19920300)。臺灣地區房租與房價關係之研究。臺灣銀行季刊,43(1),279-312。new window  延伸查詢new window
12.林祖嘉(19940300)。臺灣地區住宅需求與租買選擇之聯合估計。國立政治大學學報,68(下),183-200。  延伸查詢new window
13.Zorn, Peter M.(1988)。An Analysis of Household Mobility and Tenure Choice: An Empirical Study of Korea。Journal of Urban Economics,24(2),113-128。  new window
14.Goodman, Allen C.(1988)。An Econometric Model of Housing Price, Permanent Income, Tenure Choice, and Housing Demand。Journal of Urban Economics,23(3),327-353。  new window
15.Bourassa, Steven C.(1995)。A Model of Housing Tenure Choice in Australia。Journal of Urban Economics,37(2),161-175。  new window
研究報告
1.張金鶚(1995)。台灣地區住宅價格指數之研究。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Neter, J.、Wassorman, W.、Kutner, M. H.(1990)。Applied Linear Statistical Model。Richard D. Irwin, Inc.。  new window
2.Maddala, G. S.(1983)。Limited-dependent and Qualitative Variables in Econometics。Cambridge University Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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