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題名:通勤距離與小客車持有混合需求模型之研究
書刊名:運輸學刊
作者:姜渝生賴文泰 引用關係王小娥
作者(外文):Chiang, Yu-chengLai, Wen-taiWang, Shaw-er
出版日期:1999
卷期:11:3
頁次:頁43-54
主題關鍵詞:通勤距離小客車持有聯立方程式Commuting distanceAuto ownershipSimultaneous equation
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(2) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:2
  • 共同引用共同引用:16
  • 點閱點閱:28
     本文旨在探討通勤距離與小客車持有之行為特性,此二項決策行為具聯立性與相 關性, 因此由二個單一方程式(通勤距離模型、小客車持有模型)組成一線性之聯立方程 組,據以探究二者之個別影響因素與彼此間之相互影響關係,其中,通勤距離模型採迴歸方 法建立,小客車持有模型則使用普羅比模式。構建之模型經以臺灣地區之家戶資料進行實證 分析, 獲致之主要結論包括:( 1 )家戶主要工作者會因持有小客車而有較長通勤距離之 趨向;相對地,家戶主要工作者之通勤距離愈長其家戶持有小客車之傾向亦較大,亦即通勤 距離與小客車持有之決策具有雙向影響關係。(2) 影響通勤距離長短之最顯著因素為工作者 之婚姻狀態、職業、年齡及家戶學齡小孩數。(3) 影響家戶持有小客車之最主要變數包括家 戶所得、學齡小孩數、小客車駕照數、小客車持有成本。
     This paper intends to study the decision-making characteristics between commuting distance and auto ownership. These two decision-making behaviors are interrelated and have the property of simultaneity. A simultaneous equation system is formulated which contains two equations one for commuting distance and one for auto ownership. The commuting distance is modeled as a regression model while auto ownership is modeled as a probit model. Empirical analysis was done for the Taiwan Area based on a disaggregate data set at the level of individual household. The main findings of the empirical analysis include (1 ) The main -worker of a household owning automobile has the tendency of commuting longer distance, and, vi 'ce ver 'sa. These indicated that the commuting distance and auto ownership have the relation of mutual influence. (2) It was found that the most effective factors influencing the commuting distance are the marital status, occupation, age and the number of schooling children of the household. ( 3 ) The major factors influencing the auto ownership for household include household income, number of schooling children, number of auto-license and the cost of owning the car.
期刊論文
1.Adler, T.、Ben-Akiva, M.。A Joint Frequency, Destination and Mode Choice Model for Shopping Trips。Transportation Research Record,569,136-150。  new window
2.Ben-Akiva, M.、Atherton, T.(1977)。Methodology for Short-Range Travel Demand Predictions。Econ. Policy,11,224-261。  new window
3.Train, K.(1980)。A Structured Logit Models of Auto ownership and Mode Choice。Review of Economic Studies,47,357-370。  new window
4.Wachs, M.、Taylor, B.、Levine, N.、Ong, P.(1993)。The Changing Commute: A Case-study of the Job-Housing Relationship over Time。Urban Studies,30(10),1711-1729。  new window
5.De Jong, G. C.(1990)。An indirect utility model of car ownership and private car use。European Economic Review,34,971-985。  new window
6.Thobani, M.(1984)。A Nested Logit Model of Travel Mode to Work and Auto Ownership。Journal of Urban Economics,15,287-301。  new window
7.姜渝生、廖仁哲(19981200)。家戶同一效用最大化之小客車持有與使用、工作運具混合需求模型之研究--臺灣地區之實證分析。運輸計劃,27(4),543-581。new window  延伸查詢new window
8.隋杜卿(19860300)。問卷調查中的樣本代表性研究:有關母群體資料選擇的說明。思與言,23(6),72-86。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.Gallini, N. T.、Berkowitz, M. K.、Miller, E. J.、Wolfe, R. A.(1990)。Disaggregate Analysis of the Demand for Gasoline。The Canadian Journal of Economics=Revue canadienne d'Economique,23(2),253-275。  new window
10.Mannering, F.、Winston, C.(1985)。A Dynamic Empirical Analysis of Household Vehicle Ownership and Utilization。The RAND Journal of Economics,16(2),215-236。  new window
11.Ruiter, E.、Ben-Akiva, M.(1978)。Disaggregate Travel Demand Models for the San Francisco Area: System Structure, Component Models and Application Procedures。Transportation Research Record,673,121-128。  new window
12.Kristensen, G.、Tkocz, Z.(1994)。Commuting Distances and Gender: A Special Urban Model。Geographical Analysis,26(1),1-14。  new window
13.Punpuing, Sureeporn(1993)。Correlates of Commuting Patterns: A Case-study of Bangkok, Thailand。Urban Studies,30(3),527-545。  new window
14.Rietveld, P.、Rouwendal, J.(1994)。Changing in Commuting Distances of Dutch Household。Urban Studies,31(9),1545-1557。  new window
研究報告
1.Tanner, J. C.(1977)。Car Ownership Trends and Forecasts。U. K., Crowthorn:Transport and Road Research Laboratory。  new window
學位論文
1.Ben-Akiva, M.(1973)。Structure of Passenger Travel Demand Models(-),Cambridge, MA。  new window
圖書
1.Hensher, D. A.、Smith, N. C.、Milthrope, F. W.、Barmard, P. O.(1992)。Dimension of Automobile Demand - A Longitudinal Study of Household Automobile Ownership and Use。New York, NY:Elsevier Science Publishing Company Inc.。  new window
圖書論文
1.Nerlove, M.、Press, J.(197706)。Multivariate Log Linear Probability Models for the Analysis of Qualitative Data。Discussion Paper。Center for Statistics and Probability。  new window
 
 
 
 
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