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題名:透過目標設定提升動態複雜決策績效
書刊名:臺大管理論叢
作者:楊仁壽 引用關係
作者(外文):Yang, Jenshou
出版日期:2000
卷期:11:1
頁次:頁163-191
主題關鍵詞:動態決策行為有限理性目標設定決策績效Dynamic decision makingBounded rationalityGoal settingPerformance
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(2) 博士論文(1) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:27
  • 點閱點閱:115
     無論是實驗研究或從現實世異的觀察都發現一般人並非良好的動態決策者,因此如何改善動態複雜問題的決策績效是一個理論與實務上都具重要性的議題。本研究的目的在驗證相同的系統結構下,不同的目標設定可以產生不同的決策行為與績效,進而推論目標設計作為增進動態複雜決策績效的有效工具。本研究設計一電腦化動態複雜決策案例,考量「整體-局部」與「能否表現系統真實狀態」兩個目標構面,比較三種目標設定。研究結果顯示,設定整體考量與能表現系統真實狀能的目標有兩種正面效果使得績效能夠提升,第一是能將決策者的注意力甲導到能反應整體系統狀態的變項上,對提升資訊處理效果有幫助。第二是可以約制偏差決策行為的發生,能減少決策者因無法正確認知決策旁作用之有限理性的負面影響。
     The studies that improve dynamic decision performance are significant for that people often suffer in dynamic decision environment both in laboratory and field settings. The present study intended to examine that facilitating dynamic decision performance through goal setting was feasible with the premise that goals dictate people's behavior. An experiment using simulation decision task was implemented. Analysis results indicated that the effectiveness of appropriate goal setting has twofold. The first, holistic and representative goals led to better information processing. The second, appropriate goals led subjects to make less dysfunctional decisions derived from people's bounded rationality. The results demonstrated the appropriate design of goals is a viable alternative to improve dynamic decision performance.
期刊論文
1.Richardson, G. P.、Andersen, D. F.(1997)。Scripts for group model building。System Dynamics Review,13(2),107-129。  new window
2.Brehmer, B.(1994)。The Psychology of linear judgement models。Acta Psychologica,87(2/3),137-154。  new window
3.Sterman, J. D.(1994)。Learning in and about Complex Systems。System Dynamics Review,10(2/3),291-330。  new window
4.Brehmer, Berndt(1992)。Dynamic decision making: Human control of complex systems。Acta Psychologica,81(3),211-241。  new window
5.Diehl, Ernst、Sterman, John D.(1995)。Effects of Feedback Complexity on Dynamic Decision Making。Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes,62(2),198-215。  new window
6.楊仁壽(19980100)。動態決策環境中時間滯延的效果。管理評論,17(1),83-106。new window  延伸查詢new window
7.楊仁壽(20000300)。動態複雜任務中挑戰性標的與短期標的的效果。管理學報,17(1),43-69。new window  延伸查詢new window
8.Paich, M.、Sterman, J. D.(1993)。Boom, Bust, and Failures to Learn in Experimental Market。Management Science,39(12),1439-1458。  new window
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12.Boothroyd, R.、Richardson, G. P.、Andersen, D. F.、Huz, S.(1997)。A framework for evaluating systems thinking interventions: An experimental approach to mental health system change。System Dynamics Review,13(2),149-170。  new window
13.Davis, A.、O'Donnell, J.(1997)。Modeling complex problems: System dynamics and performance measurement。Management Accounting,8-19。  new window
14.楊仁壽、黃俊英(1992)。動態決策環境中之標的導向的決策行為。管理科學學報,9(2),143-157。  延伸查詢new window
15.楊仁壽(1999)。飲鴆止渴的典型動態決策行為。管理評論,18(1),23-56。new window  延伸查詢new window
16.Cavaleri, S.、Sterman, J.(1997)。Towards evaluation of systems thinking interventions: A case study。System Dynamics Review,13,171-186。  new window
17.Doerner, D.(1980)。On the difficulties people have in dealing with complexity。Simulation & Games,11,76-106。  new window
18.Sengupta, A.、Abdel-Hamid, T. K.(1993)。Alternative Conceptions of Feedback in Dynamic Decision Environments: An Experimental Investigation。Management Science,39(4),411-428。  new window
19.Sterman, John D.(1989)。Misperceptions of Feedback in Dynamic Decision Making。Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes,43(3),301-335。  new window
會議論文
1.Steward, T. R.、Richardson, G. P.、Maxwell, T. A.、Andersen, D. F.(1994)。Mental model and dynamic decision making in a simulation of welfare reform。沒有紀錄。11-18。  new window
研究報告
1.Forrester, N. B.(1969)。A Computer Approach To Environmental System Design - Dynamics of a Predator-Prey Relationship。0。  new window
學位論文
1.楊仁壽(1993)。動態決策之研究(博士論文)。國立中山大學。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.王思峰(1994)。管理學習實驗室之設計與學習遷移:動態性複雜案例之處方性實驗研究(博士論文)。國立中山大學。new window  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Scott, W. R.(1988)。Organizations: Ration, natural, and open system。Englewood Cliffs, NJ:Prentice Hall。  new window
2.Argiris, A.(1990)。Overcoming organizational defenses。Boston, MA:Allyn and Bacon。  new window
3.Locke, E. A.、Latham, G. P.(1990)。A theory of goal setting and task performance。Prentice Hall。  new window
4.Babbie, Earl、李美華、孔祥明、林嘉娟、王婷玉(1998)。社會科學研究方法。時英出版社。  延伸查詢new window
5.Forrester, Jay Wright(1961)。Industrial dynamics。M.I.T. Press。  new window
6.Senge, Peter、郭進隆、齊若蘭(1990)。第五項修練:學習型組織的藝術與實務。台北:天下文化。  延伸查詢new window
7.Bandura, A.、Wessels, S.(1997)。Self-efficacy: The exercise of self-control。New York:Freeman。  new window
8.Argyris, C.、Putnam, R.、Smith, D.(1985)。Action science。San Francisco:Jossey-Bass。  new window
9.Simon, H.(1957)。Rationality and decision making。Models of Man。NY。  new window
10.Yang, J.(2000)。Systems thinking as an essential capability to competence-based management。Advanced Series in Management。沒有紀錄。  new window
11.Brehmer, B.(1990)。Strategies in Real Time Dynamic Decision Making。Insights in Decision Making: A Tribute to Hillel J. Einhorn。Chicago, IL。  new window
12.Forrester, J. W.(1984)。Market Growth as Influenced by Capital Investment。Managerial Applications of System Dynamics。Cambridge, MA。  new window
13.Richardson, G. P.、Andersen, D. F.、Maxwell, T. A.、Steward, T. R.(1994)。Foundations of mental model research。Proceedings of the 1994 International System Dynamics Conference。沒有紀錄。  new window
其他
1.Hasselrot, A.,Brehmer, B.(1991)。Epistemic Competence in Dynamic Decision Making,0。  new window
圖書論文
1.Hammond, Kenneth R.、Stewart, Thomas R.、Brehmer, Berndt、Steinmann, Derick O.(1975)。Social Judgment Theory。Human Judgment and Decision Processes。Academic Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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