:::

詳目顯示

回上一頁
題名:美中強權政治的悲劇宿命?米夏摩理論的探析
書刊名:東吳政治學報
作者:楊仕樂 引用關係
作者(外文):Yang, Shih-yueh
出版日期:2014
卷期:32:3
頁次:頁131-172
主題關鍵詞:國際關係理論現實主義美中關係科技與地理的互動區域權力結構International relationstheoryRealismSino-US relationsInteraction between technology and geographyRegional power structure
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(3) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(1)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:107
  • 點閱點閱:140
依據國際關係中傳統的現實主義(realism),當一國成為強權,就會像強權一般地行事,即使強權之間並無不良的意圖,但國際體系中的「無政府狀態」(anarchy),卻使強權只因彼此所具有的能力而相互懼怕、走向衝突。當今現實主義大師米夏摩(John J. Mearsheimer)即主張,中國是一上升中的新興強權,而美國則是目前唯一碩果僅存的超強,倘若中國目前權力成長的趨勢繼續維持,美中兩國最終將無法擺脫這強權政治的悲劇宿命。然而,本文嘗試從米氏的理論中,挑戰米氏的此一論點:米氏的理論其實存有內在的不一致,他權力結構的解釋雖是基於現實主義重視物質能力(material capability)的傳統,但在這物質能力的思路上,卻是他自己所提出的科技與地理等兩項因素的互動,決定了他以區域為單位的權力結構推論。中國所在東北亞區域的地理環境,並不同於米氏所類比過去德國或蘇聯所在的歐洲,儘管當代的科技是突破了區域間的阻隔,但並不否定各區域內地理環境的差異。易言之,儘管強權是可能興起,但權力結構的變化並不是注定的悲劇,強權政治的命運是可以有所不同的。
Realism maintains a pessimistic view on great power politics. Under international anarchy, great powers compete for security just because of the material capabilities they possess. John J. Mearsheimer, the leading realist, built his theory of great power politics on this realist logic. He suggests that, as long as China keeps rising, the future of Sino-US great power politics is a doomed tragedy. However, this article tries to challenge this pessimistic view using the theory's own terms. Mearsheimer's theory has internal inconsistencies and overlooks the interaction between technology and geography introduced by the theory itself. This article argues that, unlike the pervious examples of great power rivalries between the US and the Soviet Union or Germany, China is located in Northeast Asia, a geographically constrained region, which is very different from Europe. In addition, technologies also vary. Current technologies do overcome the obstruction between regions but cannot overrule the geographical differences of different regions. In other words, great powers surely may rise, but the power structure itself is not enough to ensure conflicts. Great power politics are not doomed.
期刊論文
1.Goldstein, Avery(1997)。Great Expectation: Interpreting China's Arrival。International Security,22(3),36-73。  new window
2.Elman, Colin(1996)。Horses for Courses: Why Not Neorealist Theories of Foreign Policy?。Security Studies,6(1),7-53。  new window
3.Art, Robert J.(2005)。The United States. The Balance of Power. and World War II: Was Spykman Right。Security Studies,14(3),365-406。  new window
4.Baum, Richard(200306)。The Limits of Teleology。Issues & Studies,39(2),233-235。  new window
5.Chang, Felix K.(1999)。The Unraveling of Russia's Far Eastern Power。Orbis,43(2),257-284。  new window
6.Elman, Colin(1996)。Cause, Effect, and Consistency: A Response to Kenneth Waltz。Security Studies,6(1),58-61。  new window
7.Elman, Colin(2004)。Extending Offensive Realism: The Louisiana Purchase and America's Rise to Regional Hegemony。American Political Science Review,98(4),563-576。  new window
8.Godwin, Paul H. B.(2003)。The Theory and Application of Great Power Politics。Issues & Studies,39(2),220-224。  new window
9.Janelle, Donald G.(1969)。Spatial Reorganization: A Model and Concept。Annals of the Association of American Geographers,59(2),348-364。  new window
10.Lee, Gerald Geunwook(2002)。Be Long or Not to Be Long - That is the Question: The Contradiction of Time-horizon in Offensive Realism。Security Studies,12(2),196-217。  new window
11.Mearsheimer, John J.(2014)。Taiwan's Dire Straits。The National Interest,130,29-39。  new window
12.Rendall, Matthew(2006)。Defensive Realism and the Concert of Europe。Review of International Studies,32(3),523-540。  new window
13.Roy, Denny(2003)。Asian Great-Power Politics and U.S. Policy: How Realistic?。Issues & Studies,39(2),242-248。  new window
14.Thompson, Peter(2007)。The Case of the Missing Hegemon: British Nonintervention in the American Civil War。Security Studies,16(1),96-132。  new window
15.Lynn-Jones, Sean M.(1998)。Realism and America's Rise: A Review Essay。International Security,23(2),157-182。  new window
16.Ross, Robert(1999)。The Geography of Peace: East Asian in the Twenty-first Century。International Security,23(4),81-118。  new window
17.Roy, Denny(1996)。They China Threat Issue: Major Arguments。Asian Survey,36(8),758-771。  new window
18.Taliaferro, Jeffery W.(2000)。Security Seeking under Anarchy: Defensive Realism Revisited。International Security,25(3),128-161。  new window
19.Kristof, Nicholas(199311)。The Rise of China。Foreign Affairs,72(5),59-74。  new window
20.Glaser, Charles L.、Kaufmann, Chaim(1998)。What Is the Offense-Defense Balance and Can We Measure It?。International Security,22(4),44-82。  new window
21.Waltz, Kenneth Neal(1996)。International Politics is Not Foreign Policy。Security Studies,6(1),54-57。  new window
22.Legro, Jeffrey W.、Moravcsik, Andrew(1999)。Is Anybody Still a Realist?。International Security,24(2),5-55。  new window
23.Mearsheimer, John J.(20010901)。The Future of the American Pacifier。Foreign Affairs,80(5),46-61。  new window
24.王元綱(20040300)。Offensive Realism and the Rise of China。Issues & Studies,40(1),173-201。new window  new window
25.Christensen, Thomas J.、Snyder, Jack(1990)。Chain Gangs and Passed Bucks: Predicting Alliance Patterns in Multipolarity。International Organization,44(2),137-168。  new window
26.Friedberg, Aaron L.(2005)。The Future of U.S.-China Relations: Is Conflict Inevitable?。International Security,30(2),7-45。  new window
27.Snyder, Glenn H.(2002)。Mearsheimer's World--Offensive Realism and the Struggle for Security: A Review Essay。International Security,27(1),149-173。  new window
28.Brooks, Stephen G.(1997)。Dueling Realisms。International Organization,51(3),445-477。  new window
29.鄭端耀(20050100)。國際關係新古典現實主義理論。問題與研究,44(1),115-140。new window  延伸查詢new window
30.Mearsheimer, John J.(20030600)。Author's Response: Will China and the United States Clash?。Issues & Studies,39(2),259-262。  new window
31.鄭端耀(20030300)。國際關係攻勢與守勢現實主義理論爭辯之評析。問題與研究,42(2),1-21。new window  延伸查詢new window
32.Layne, Christopher(2002)。The 'Poster Child for Offensive Realism': American as a Global Hegemon。Security Study,12(2),120-164。  new window
33.Lavoy, Peter R.(1995)。The Strategic Consequences of Nuclear Proliferation: A Review Essay。Security Studies,4(4),695-753。  new window
34.Little, Richard(2007)。British Neutrality versus Offshore Balancing in the American Civil War: The English School Strikes Back。Security Studies,16(1),68-95。  new window
35.Levy, Jack S.、Thompson, William R.(2005)。Hegemonic Threats and Great-Power Balancing in Europe, 1495-1999。Security Studies,14(1),1-33。  new window
36.Capie, David(2003)。The Price of Parsimony: Power and Its Limits in John Mearsheimer's Tragedy of Great Power Politics。Issues & Studies,39(2),236-242。  new window
37.Cole, Bernard(200306)。Good History, Questionable Theory。Issues & Studies,39(2),254-258。  new window
38.Hyer, Eric(2003)。Mearsheimer's Neorealist Predictions: The Haunting Specter of China as a Great Power。Issues & Studies,39(2),225-232。  new window
圖書
1.Trachtenberg, Marc(1999)。A Constructed Peace: The Making of the European Settlement, 1945-1963。Princeton:Princeton University Press。  new window
2.Lowe, John Carl、Moryadas, S.(1975)。The Geography of Movement。Boston:Houghton Mifflin。  new window
3.Goldstein, Avery(2005)。Raising to the Challenge: China’s Grand Strategy and International Security。Stanford:Stanford University Press。  new window
4.Brodie, Bernard(1946)。Absolute Weapon: Atomic Power and World Order。New York:Harcourt, Brace and Company。  new window
5.Chun, Clayton、Taylor, Chris(2006)。Defending Space: US Anti-Satellite Warfare and Space Weaponry。London:Osprey Publishing。  new window
6.Dolman, Everett C.(2002)。Astropolitik: Classical Geopolitics in the Space Age。Frank Cass。  new window
7.Jackson, Robert(1969)。The Encyclopedia of Military Aircraft。Queen Street House:Parragon。  new window
8.O'Sullivan, Patrick(1996)。Geopolitics。London:Croom Helm。  new window
9.Twomey, Christopher P.(2003)。Avoiding Tragedy in Sino-American Politics。Issues & Studies。  new window
10.Pape, Robert A.(1996)。Bombing to Win: Air Power and Coercion in War。Cornell University Press。  new window
11.Tanks, David R.(2000)。National Missile Defense: Policy Issues and Technological Capabilities。Cambridge:Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis。  new window
12.Snyder, Jack L.(1991)。Myths of Empire: Domestic Politics and International Ambition。Ithaca, New York:Cornell University Press。  new window
13.Zakaria, Fareed(1998)。From Wealth to Power: The Unusual Origins of America's World Role。Princeton, New Jersey:Princeton University Press。  new window
14.Morgenthau, Hans J.(1967)。Politics Among Nations: the Struggle for Power and Peace。New York:Alfred A. Knopf。  new window
15.Beaufre, Andre、鈕先鍾(1996)。戰略緒論。麥田。  延伸查詢new window
16.Van Creveld, Martin(2002)。Technology and War。New York, NY:The Free Press。  new window
17.Van Creveld, Martin L.(1977)。Supplying War。London:Cambridge University Press。  new window
18.Waltz, Kenneth N.(1979)。Theory of International Politics。McGraw Hill。  new window
19.Gilpin, Robert(1981)。War and Change in World Politics。Cambridge University Press。  new window
20.Mearsheimer, John J.、Alterman, G.(2001)。The Tragedy of Great Power Politics。W. W. Norton & Company。  new window
21.Spykman, Nicholas John(1944)。The Geography of the Peace。Harcourt, Brace and Company。  new window
其他
1.Dutta, M.(2008)。The Asian Economy & Asian Money,http://econweb.rutgers.edu/dutta/AE&AM%20Chapter%203.pdf, 2008/08/01。  new window
2.U.S. Department of Defense(20100407)。Nuclear Posture Review Report 2010,http://www.defense.gov/npr/docs/2010%20nuclear%20posture%20review%20 report.pdf。  new window
3.U.S. Department of Defense(2010)。Ballistic Missile Defense Review Report 2010,http://www.defense.gov/bmdr/docs/BMDR%20as%20of%2026JAN10%200630_for%20web.pdf, 2010/02/01。  new window
4.Rose, Gideon(1998)。Review: Neoclassical Realism and Theories of Foreign Policy,https://www.jstor.org/stable/25054068。  new window
圖書論文
1.Dietl, Ralph(2006)。Towards a European 'Third Force'? Reflections on the European Political and Security Cooperation, 1948-1964。Transatlantic Relations at Stake: Aspects of NATO, 1956-1972。Zurich:Center for Security Studies。  new window
2.Erlandson, Marcus R.(2001)。Lend-Lease: An Assessment of a Government Bureaucracy。Big L: American Logistics In World War II。Washington, DC:National Defense University Press。  new window
3.Lynn, John A.(1993)。The History of Logistics and Supplying War。Feeding Mars: Logistics in Western Warfare from the Middle Ages to the Present。Boulder:Westview Press。  new window
4.Mlyn, Eric(1998)。U.S. Nuclear Policy and the End of Cold War。The Absolute Weapon Revisited: Nuclear Arms and the Emerging International Order。Ann Arbor, MI:University of Michigan Press。  new window
5.Murray, Williamson A.(2000)。The World In Conflict 1919-1941。Cambridge Illustrated History of Warfare。Cambridge:Cambridge University Press。  new window
6.Waltz, Kenneth N.(1995)。Realism Thought and Neorealist Theory。Controversies In International Relations Theory: Realism and the Neoliberal Challenge。New York:St. Martin's Press。  new window
7.Waltz, Kenneth N.(1986)。Reflections on Theory of International Politics: A Response to My Critics。Neorealism and Its Critics。New York:Columbia University Press。  new window
8.王元綱(2006)。中共在美國安全戰略中的角色。中美關係專題研究:2001-2003。臺北:中央研究院歐美研究所。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
第一頁 上一頁 下一頁 最後一頁 top
:::
無相關著作
 
無相關點閱
 
QR Code
QRCODE