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題名:Zipf 法則之驗證:以臺灣地區城市人口分布為例
書刊名:經濟研究. 臺北大學經濟學系
作者:林俊宏 引用關係鄭美君徐慶柏
作者(外文):Lin, Chun-hungCheng, Mei-chunHsu, Ching-po
出版日期:2014
卷期:50:2
頁次:頁175-210
主題關鍵詞:臺灣人口分布Zipf 法則Pareto 指數都市規模Population distributions in TaiwanZipf′s lawPareto exponentCity size distribution
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:20
  • 點閱點閱:19
過去研究指出Pareto 分配對於都市的規模分配具有良好的解釋 力,且透過Pareto 指數可衡量人口的集中度。因此本研究將透過臺 灣1971 年至2010 年以人口數衡量的前50 大都市,探討臺灣都市 規模分配的變化,並檢驗是否符合Zipf 法則。研究結果顯示臺灣 1971 年至2010 年皆不符合Zipf 法則,且臺灣都市的規模分配較 Zipf 法則下更為平均。本研究進一步研究發現政府支出、工業化程 度、平均每人國內生產毛額、都市化程度及全球化程度為影響臺灣 都市規模分配的主要因素。
Several studies have suggested that city size distribution follows a Pareto distribution, and the Pareto exponent can serve as a concise measure of population concentration. We examine Taiwan’s city size distributions over the period of 1971 to 2010, using Zipf ′ s law. The results show that Zipf ′ s law for the size distribution of cities in Taiwan is rejected for each year in the sample period, indicating that city size distribution is more equal than what is predicted by Zipf ′ s law. Moreover, we investigate the explanations of the variation in the Pareto exponent. We find that government expenditure, degree of industrialization, per capita GDP, degree of urbanization, and degree of globalization are the main determinants of the cities’ size distribution in Taiwan.
期刊論文
1.Soo, K. T.(2007)。Zipf’s Law and Urban Growth in Malaysia。Urban Studies,44(1),1-14。  new window
2.Soo, K. T.(2005)。Zipf’s law for cities: a cross-country investigation。Regional Science and Urban Economics,35(3),239-263。  new window
3.Nitsch, Volker(2005)。Zipf Zipped。Journal of Urban Economics,57(1),86-100。  new window
4.Alperovich, Gershon(1993)。An Explanatory Model of City-size Distribution: Evidence from Cross-country Data。Urban Studies,30(9),1591-1601。  new window
5.Auerbach, F.(1913)。Das Gesetz der Bevölkenmgskoncentration。Petermanns Geographische Mit-teilungen,59,74-76。  new window
6.Gabaix, Xavier、Ibragimov, Rustam(2011)。Rank-1/2: A Simple Way to Improve the OLS Estimation of Tail Exponents。Journal of Business and Economic Statistics,29(1),24-39。  new window
7.Gan, Li、Li, Dong、Song, Shunfeng(2006)。Is the Zipf Law Spurious in Explaining City-size Distributions?。Economics Letters,92(2),256-262。  new window
8.Giesen, Kristian、Stidekum, Jens(2011)。Zipf's Law for Cities in the Regions and the Country。Journal of Economic Geography,11(4),667-686。  new window
9.Peng, Guohua(2010)。Zipf's Law for Chinese Cities: Rolling Sample Regressions。Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications,389(18),3804-3813。  new window
10.Wheaton, William C.、Shishido, Hisanobu(1981)。Urban Concentration, Agglomeration Economies, and the Level of Economic Development。Economic Development and Cultural Change,30(1),17-30。  new window
11.Dreher, A.、Sturm, J. E.、Ursprung, H. W.(2008)。The Impact of Globalization on the Composition of Government Expenditures: Evidence from Panel Data。Public Choice,134(3),263-292。  new window
12.Kosmopoulou, G.、Buttry, N.、Johnson, J.、Kallsnick, A.(2007)。Suburbanization and the Rank-size Rule。Applied Economics Letters,14(1),1-4。  new window
13.Singer, H. W.(1936)。The "Courbe Des Populations" A Parallel to Pareto's Law。The Economic Journal,46(182),254-263。  new window
14.Song, S.、Zhang, K. H.(2002)。Urbanization and City Size Distribution in China。Urban Studies,39(12),2317-2327。  new window
15.薛明生、賴世剛(20021100)。人口時空分布冪次定律的普遍性與恆常性--臺灣本島實證研究。臺灣土地研究,5,67-86。new window  延伸查詢new window
16.Gabaix, Xavier(1999)。Zipf's Law for Cities: An Explanation。The Quarterly Journal of Economics,114(3),739-767。  new window
17.Hill, B. M.(1975)。A Simple General Approach to Inference about the Tail of a Distribution。The Annals of Statistics,3(5),1163-1174。  new window
18.劉克智、董安琪(20030600)。臺灣都市發展的演進--歷史的回顧與展望。人口學刊,26,1-25。new window  延伸查詢new window
19.Li, Quan、Reuveny, Rafael(2003)。Economic Globalization and Democracy: An Empirical Analysis。British Journal of Political Science,33(1),29-54。  new window
20.Newey, Whitney K.、West, Kenneth D.(1987)。A Simple, Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix。Econometrica,55(3),703-708。  new window
21.Rosen, Kenneth T.、Resnick, M.(1980)。The Size Distribution of Cities: An Examination of the Pareto Law and Primacy。Journal of Urban Economics,8(2),165-186。  new window
22.Li, Quan、Schaub, Drew(2004)。Economic Globalization and Transnational Terrorism: A Pooled Time-Series Analysis。The Journal of Conflict Resolution,48(2),230-258。  new window
學位論文
1.吳孟道(2008)。總體經濟學的兩個議題(博士論文)。國立臺北大學。new window  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Zipf, George Kingsley(1949)。Human Behavior and the Principle of Least Effort: An Introduction to Human Ecology。Addison-Wesley Press。  new window
2.行政院主計總處(1971)。各縣市統計要覽。臺北:行政院主計總處。  延伸查詢new window
3.Friedman, T. L.(2007)。The world is flat: A brief history of the twenty-first century。New York, NY:Picador。  new window
4.Krugman, Paul R.(1996)。The Self-organizing Economy。Cambridge, Mass.:Blackwell Publishers。  new window
其他
1.內政部統計處(2011)。內政部統計月報,http://sowf.moi.gov.tw/stat/month/m3-01.xls, 20111002。  延伸查詢new window
2.Glaeser, E. L.(2009)。Why Has Globalization Led to Bigger Cities?,http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/05/19/whyhas-globalization-led-to-bigger-cities/。  new window
3.Statistical Abstract of United States(1993)。Washington, DC: U.S. Bweau of Census,http://www.census.gov/prod/www/statistical_abstract.html。  new window
圖書論文
1.Gabaix, Xavier、loannides, Yannis M.(2004)。The Evolution of City Size Distributions。Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics。Amsterdam:North-Holland。  new window
 
 
 
 
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