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題名:選舉民調、政治版圖、網路大數據與選舉預測:涵蓋率選舉預測模型的再思考
書刊名:理論與政策
作者:劉念夏
作者(外文):Liu, Nien-hsia
出版日期:2022
卷期:25:2=92
頁次:頁25-56
主題關鍵詞:選舉民調政治版圖網路大數據選舉預測涵蓋率選舉預測模型Election pollPolitical geographical mapInternet big dataElection forecastingCoverage forecasting model
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:26
  • 點閱點閱:4
期刊論文
1.Cheng, Y.-C.、Chen, P.-L.(2014)。Global social media, local context: A case study of Chinese-language tweets about the 2012 presidential election in Taiwan。Aslib Journal of Information Management,66(3),342-356。  new window
2.Groves, Robert M.(2006)。Nonresponse rates and nonresponse bias in household surveys。Public Opinion Quarterly,70(5),646-675。  new window
3.Gayo-Avello, D.(2013)。A meta-analysis of state-of-the-art electoral prediction from Twitter data。Social Science Computer Review,31(6),649-679。  new window
4.Liu, N. H.(2013)。Forecasting Taiwan's Presidential Elections (2008 to 2012) from Pre-Election Media Polls: A "Coverage Forecasting Model" Considered。GSTF International Journal on Media & Communications,1(1),9-24。  new window
5.Taskalidis, A.、Papadopoulos, S.、Cristea, A.、Kompatsiaris, Y.(2015)。Predicting Elections for Multiple Countries using Twitter and Polls。IEEE Intelligent Systems,30(2),10-17。  new window
6.Graefe, A.、Armstrong, J. S.、Jones, R. J. Jr.、Cuzan, A. G.(2014)。Combining forecasts: An application to elections。International Journal of Forecasting,30(1),43-54。  new window
7.張鐙文、黃東益、洪永泰(20171100)。住宅電話與手機雙底冊調查的組合估計:以2016總統選舉預測為例。選舉研究,24(2),65-96。new window  延伸查詢new window
8.莊伯仲、金志聿(20190500)。候選人臉書經營和選舉結果之關聯分析:以2016年區域立法委員選舉為例。選舉研究,26(1),89-121。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.曾憲立、洪永泰、朱斌妤、黃東益、謝翠娟(20181000)。多元民意調查方法的比較研究。調查研究:方法與應用,41,87-117。new window  延伸查詢new window
10.陳陸輝、陳映男(2015)。從民意調查預測臺灣選舉。臺灣研究,3,16-25。  延伸查詢new window
11.陳鴻嘉(20190500)。成本考量下雙底冊電話調查的樣本配置。選舉研究,26(1),31-56。new window  延伸查詢new window
12.劉念夏(20180900)。社群媒體與選舉預測:文獻檢閱的觀點。理論與政策,21(3)=78,33-59。new window  延伸查詢new window
13.Chauhan, P.、Sharma, N.、Sikka, G.(2021)。The Emergence of Social Media and Sentiment Analysis in Election Prediction。Journal of Ambient Intelligence and Humanized Computing,12(2),2601-2627。  new window
14.Chin, C. Y.、Wang, C. L.(2021)。A New Insight into Combining Forecasts for Elections: The Role of Social Media。Journal of Forecasting,40(1),132-143。  new window
15.Moy, P.、Murphy, J.(2016)。Problems and Prospects in Survey Research。Journal of Mass Communication Quarterly,9(1),16-37。  new window
16.Reveilhac, M.、Steinmetz, S.、Morselli, D.(2022)。A Systematic Literature Review of How and Whether Social Media Data Can Complement Traditional Survey Data to Study Public Opinion。Multimedia Tools and Applications,81(7),10107-10142。  new window
17.Santander, P.、Alfaro, R.、Allende-Cid, H.、Elortegui, C.、González, C.(2020)。Analyzing Social Media, Analyzing the Social? A Methodological Discussion about the Demoscopic and Predictive Potential of Social Media。Quality & Quantity,54(3),903-923。  new window
18.Stier, S.、Breuer, J.、Siegers, P.、Thorson, K.(2020)。Integrating Survey Data and Digital Trace Data: Key Issues in Developing an Emerging Field。Social Science Computer Review,38(5),503-516。  new window
19.Xie, Z.、Liu, G.、Wu, J.、Tan, Y.(2018)。Big Data Would Not Lie: Prediction of the 2016 Taiwan Election via Online Heterogeneous Information。EPJ Data Science,7(1),1-16。  new window
20.Zhang, X.(2018)。Social Media Popularity and Election Results: A Study of the 2016 Taiwanese General Election。PLoS ONE,13(11),1-17。  new window
21.劉念夏(20020700)。民意調查與民意產製--一個框架理論的觀點。新聞學研究,72,173-205。new window  延伸查詢new window
會議論文
1.Thapen, N. A.、Ghanem, M. M.(2013)。Towards Passive Political Opinion Polling Using Twitter。2013 BCS SGAI Workshop on Social Media Analysis。Robert Gordon University。19-34。  new window
2.劉念夏(2012)。從電話調查涵蓋率的觀點預測2012總統選舉結果。2012中華傳播學會年會暨學術研討會,(會議日期: 7月7日)。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.洪永泰(2014)。誰會勝選?誰能凍蒜?:預知政治版圖,讓民調數字告訴你。天下文化。  延伸查詢new window
2.Weisberg, Herbert F.(2005)。The Total Survey Error Approach: A Guide to the New Science of Survey Research。Chicago:University of Chicago Press。  new window
3.Ceron, A.、Curini, L.、Iacus, S. M.(2017)。Politics and Big Data: Nowcasting and Forecasting Elections with Social Media。London:Routledge。  new window
4.Jungherr, A.(2015)。Analyzing Political Communication with Digital Trace Data: The Role of Twitter Messages in Social Science Research。London:Springer International Publishing。  new window
5.蔡美瑛(2019)。數位世代民意研究混合模式調查:雙架構樣本暨市話手機分群使用者特質之實證研究。天空數位圖書。  延伸查詢new window
6.羅莉婷(2021)。選舉預測方法比較:社群大數據與民意調查實證研究。元華文創。  延伸查詢new window
7.游清鑫、蔡佳泓(20090000)。選舉預測。臺北:五南。new window  延伸查詢new window
圖書論文
1.洪永泰(2020)。抽樣。民意調查新論。五南。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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