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題名：候選人評價的選舉效應--以2004年總統選舉為例
書刊名：選舉評論
作者：劉念夏
作者(外文)：Liu, Nien-hsia
出版日期：2007
卷期：2
頁次：頁1-37
主題關鍵詞：多階段區塊因果順序投票模型；候選人評價；ATE
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
相關次數：
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(4) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:4
  • 共同引用共同引用:92
  • 點閱點閱:82
期刊論文
1.Shanks, J. Merrill、Miller, Warren E.(1990)。Policy Direction and Performance Evaluation: Complementary Explanations of the Reagan Elections。British Journal of Political Science，20(2)，143-235。  new window
2.劉義周(19961100)。選舉預測：一組簡單理論的檢驗。選舉研究，3(2)，107-129。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.Miller, W. E.、Shanks, J. M.(1982)。Policy Directions and Presidential Leadership。British Journal of Political Science，12，357-374。  new window
4.Clarke, Harold D.、Stewart, Marianne C.(1995)。Economic Evaluations, Prime Ministerial Approval and Governing Party Support: Rival Models Considered。British Journal of Political Science，25，145-170。  new window
5.Graetz, Brian、McAllister, Ian(1987)。Party Leader and Election Outcomes in Britain, 1974-1983。Comparative Political Studies，19，484-507。  new window
6.Miller, Arthur H.、Wattenberg, Martin P.、Malanchuk, Oksana(1986)。Schematic Assessment of Presidential Candidates。American Political Science Review，80，521-540。  new window
7.Stewart, Marianne C.、Clarke, Harold D.(1992)。The (Un)Importance of Party Leaders: Leader Images and Party Choice in the 1987 British Election。Journal of Politics，54(2)，447-470。  new window
8.Stokes, Donald E.(1996)。Some dynamic elements of contests for the presidency。The American Political Science Review，60，19-28。  new window
9.Rosenberg, Shawn W.、Bohan, Lisa、McCafferty, Patrick、Harris, Kevin(1986)。The Image and the Vote: The Effect of Candidate Presentation on Voter Preference。American Journal of Political Science，30(1)，108-127。  new window
10.劉念夏(19961100)。一九九六年總統大選選舉預測：民意調查中未表態選民投票行為規則假設的提出與驗證。選舉研究，3(2)，131-155。new window  延伸查詢new window
11.Kelley, Stanley Jr.、Mirer, Thad W.(1974)。The simple act of voting。American Political Science Review，68(2)，572-591。  new window
12.Page, Benjamin I.、Jones, Calvin C.(1979)。Reciprocal Effects of Policy Preferences, Party Loyalties and the Vote。American Political Science Review，73(4)，1071-1089。  new window
13.Shanks, J. Merrill、Miller, Warren E.(1991)。Partisanship, Policy and Performance: The Reagan Legacy in the 1988 Election。British Journal of Political Science，21，129-197。  new window
14.盛治仁(20001100)。總統選舉預測探討--以情感溫度計預測未表態選民的應用。選舉研究，7(2)，75-107。new window  延伸查詢new window
15.傅明穎(19981200)。北市選民的候選人評價與投票決定。臺灣政治學刊，3，195-243。new window  延伸查詢new window
16.黃秀端(19960500)。決定勝負的關鍵:候選人特質與能力在總統選舉中的重要性。選舉研究，3(1)，103-135。new window  延伸查詢new window
17.梁世武(19941100)。一九九四年臺北市長選舉之預測:「候選人形象指標」預測模式之驗證。選舉研究，1(2)，97-129。new window  延伸查詢new window
18.Bean, Clive(1993)。The Electoral Influence of Party Leader Images in Australia and New Zealand。Comparative Political Studies，26(1)，111-132。  new window
會議論文
1.洪永泰(20011006)。政黨認同、領袖魅力與選舉競爭。政黨政治與選舉競爭學術研討會，國家政策研究基金會 (會議日期: 2001/10/06)。台北：台大法學院。  延伸查詢new window
2.陳義彥(1995)。我國選民投票抉擇之影響因素：從民國八十二年縣市長選舉探討。行政院國科會政治學門研究成果學術研討會，政治大學政治系 (會議日期: 1995/06/09-06/10)。台北：政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.King, Anthony(2002)。Leadership, Personalities and the Outcomes of Democratic Elections。Oxford：Oxford University Press。  new window
2.Wattenberg, Martin P.(1991)。The Rise of Candidate Centered Politics: Presidential Elections of the 1980s。Cambridge, MA：Harvard University Press。  new window
3.Bartle, John、Crewe, Ivor、King, Anthony(1998)。Was it Blair Who Won it? Leadership Effects in the 1997 British General Election。Department of Government, University of Essex。  new window
4.Butler, David、Stokes, Donald(1974)。Political Changes in Britain: The Evolution of Electoral Choice。London：Macmillan。  new window
5.Davis, James A.(1990)。The Logic of Causal Order。Newbury Park, CA：Sage。  new window
6.Denver, David(1989)。Elections and Voting Behaviour in Britain。Hemel Hempstead：Philip Allan。  new window
7.Clarke, Harold D.、Sanders, David、Stewart, Marianne C.、Whiteley, Paul F.(2004)。Political Choice in Britain。Oxford：Oxford University Press。  new window
8.Miller, Warren E.、Shanks, J. Merrill(1996)。The New American Voter。Cambridge, MA：Harvard University Press。  new window
9.King, Gary、Keohane, Robert O.、Verba, Sidney(1994)。Designing Social Inquiry: Scientific inference in Qualitative Research。Princeton University Press。  new window
10.Campbell, Angus、Converse, Philip E.、Miller, Warren E.、Stokes, Donald E.(1960)。The American Voter。The University of Chicago Press。  new window
圖書論文
1.Bartle, John、Crewe, Ivor(2002)。The Impact of Party Leaders in Britain: Strong Assumptions, Weak Evidence。Leadership Personalities and the Outcomes of Democratic Elections。Oxford：Oxford University Press。  new window
2.劉念夏(2000)。1997年縣市長選舉選舉預測技術之比較研究--最高形象評分法(VI)、政治版圖亞當法(ADAM)、以及洛基模型預測法(LOGIT)。民調、策略、廣告與選舉預測論文集。台北：雙葉書局。  延伸查詢new window
3.Crewe, Ivor、King, Anthony(1994)。Are British Elections Becoming More Presidential?。Elections at Home and Abroad: Essay in Honor of Warren E. Miller。Ann Arbor, MI：University of Michigan Press。  new window
4.Crewe, Ivor、King, Athony(1992)。Did Kinnock Lose? Leadership Effects in the 1992 Election。Labour's Last Chance? The 1992 Election and Beyond。Aldershot, Hants：Dartmouth。  new window
5.Graetz, Brian、McAllister, Ian(1987)。Popular Evaluation of Party Leaders in the Anglo-American Democracies。Political Elites in Anglo-American Democracies。DeKalb, IL：Northern Illinois University Press。  new window
6.Kavanagh, Dennis(1992)。The United Kingdom。Electioneering: A Comparative Study of Continuity and Change。Oxford：Clarendon。  new window
7.Mughan, Anthony(1993)。Party Leader and Presidentialism in the 1992 Election: A Post-War Perspective。British Elections and Parties Yearbook, 1993。Hemel, Hempstead：Harvester Wheatsheaf。  new window
8.Page, Benjamin I.、Jones, Calvin C.(1984)。Reciprocal Effects of Policy Reference Party Loyalties and The Vote。Controversies in Voting Behavior。Washington, D.C.：Congressional Quarterly Inc.。  new window
9.Sanders, David、Brynin, Malcolm.(1998)。Ordinary Least Squares and Logistic Regression Analysis。Research Strategies in the Social Sciences: A Guide to New Approaches。Oxford：Oxford Univ. Press。  new window
10.Rahn, Wendy M.、Aldrich, John H.、Borgida, Eugene、Sullivan, John L.(1990)。A Social-Cognitive Model of Candidate Appraisal。Information and Democratic Process。Urbana, IL：University of Illinois Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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