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題名:臺灣上市電子股股價對於除權訊息過度反應之研究--過度自信假說之再檢驗
書刊名:華人經濟研究
作者:郭貞吟 引用關係崔可欣
出版日期:2010
卷期:8:1
頁次:頁55-90
主題關鍵詞:過度自信過度反應投資人心理行為財務學DHS模型OverconfidenceOverreactionInvestor psychologyBehavior financeDHS
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:76
  • 點閱點閱:32
本文以Daniel,Hirshleifer and Subrahmanyam (1998) DHS模型,檢驗投資人對於台灣MSCI 50檔上市電子股除繼訊息的反應,實證結果發現,在多頭市場,投資人對於訊息過度自信,使股價過度反應,於董事會後反縛,與許光華等人(2004)發現一致;與其不同的是,在空頭市場,投資人對訊息無自信不足,使股價延遲至股東會後反轉,而是在董事會後即反轉,與De Bondt and Thaler (1985)股價需很長時間才會自我修正的觀點不符,但支持Williams(1956)股價過度反應及Odean(1998)過度自信觀點,而且,因多、空頭市場股價過度反應,皆於董事會後反縛,所以,董事會前後股價波動幅度大於股東會。
This study is to examine stock price reaction of MSCI electronic stocks to ex-dividend information by DHS model proposed by Daniel, Hirshleifer and Subrahmanyam (1998). Our result shows that the in Bull market, investors are overconfident of ex-dividend information, so stock price overreacts and reverses around Board Meeting. This result is compatible with Kuang-Hua Hsu el.(2004). Unlike their findings, in Bear market, investors are not conservative, so stock price reverses around Board Meeting instead of Shareholders Meeting, which is not consist with De Bondt and Thaler (1985), but in support of overreaction and overconfidence hypothesis of Williams (1956) and Odean (1998). Moreover, in both markets, stock price reversing point occurs around Board and Trustees Meeting. Therefore, the magnitude of volatility around Board and Trustees Meeting is larger than that around Shareholders Meeting.
期刊論文
1.Jensen, M. C.(1978)。Some Anomalous Evidence Regarding Market Efficiency。Journal of Financial Economics,6,95-110。  new window
2.Fama, Eugene F.(1970)。Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work。The Journal of Finance,25(2),383-417。  new window
3.Lakonishok, J.、Shleifer, A.、Vishny, R. W.(1994)。Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk。Journal of Finance,49(5),1541-1578。  new window
4.Barberis, N.、Shleifer, A.、Vishny, R.(1998)。A model of investor sentiment。Journal of Financial Economics,49,307-343。  new window
5.Bloomfield, R.、Nelson, L. M.(2000)。Under-reactions, Overreactions and Moderated Confidence。Journal of Financial Markets,3,113-137。  new window
6.Eichhorn, David、Gupta, Francis、Stubbs, Eric。Using Constraints to Improve the Robustness of Asset Allocation。The Journal of Portfolio Management,spring,41-48。  new window
7.Kalmeman, Daniel、Riepe, Mark W.(1998)。Aspect of Investor Psychology。Journal of Portfolio Management,Summer,52-65。  new window
8.許光華、陳文華、黃嘉慧(20040700)。臺灣股票市場過度自信假說之實證。證券市場發展,16(2)=62,115-152。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.Daniel, K.、Hirshleifer, D.、Subrahmanyam, A.(1998)。Investor Psychology and Security Market Under- and Overreaction。Journal of Finance,53(6),1839-1886。  new window
10.周賓凰、池祥萱、周冠男、龔怡霖(2002)。行為財務學--文獻回顧與展望。證券市場發展季刊,14(2)=54,1-47。new window  延伸查詢new window
11.Kyle, A. S.、Wang, F. A.(1997)。Speculation duopoly with agreement to disagree: can overconfidence survive the market test?。Journal of Finance,52,2073-2090。  new window
12.Fama, Eugene F.、French, K. R.(1998)。Market Efficiency, Long-Term Returns, and Behavioral Finance。Journal of Financial Economics,49(3),283-306。  new window
13.林煜宗、洪祥文(19880800)。臺灣股票市場投資者過度反應之研究。證券管理,6(8),2-10+38。  延伸查詢new window
14.Brown, K. C.、Van Harlow, W.(1988)。Market Overreaction: Magnitude and Intensity-- Surprising Asymmetries Exist in Both Direction and Time。The Journal of Portfolio Management,14(2),6-13。  new window
15.Howe, John S.(1986)。Evidence on Stock Market Overreaction。Financial Analysts Journal,42(4),74-77。  new window
16.Odean, Terrance(1998)。Are Investors Reluctant to Realize Their Losses?。The Journal of Finance,53(5),1775-1798。  new window
17.Barber, Brad M.、Odean, Terrance(1999)。The Courage of Misguided Convictions。Financial Analysts Journal,55(6),41-55。  new window
18.Olsen, Robert A.(1998)。Behavioral Finance and its Implications for Stock-Price Volatility。Financial Analysts Journal,54(2),10-18。  new window
19.De Bondt, Werner F. M.、Thaler, Richard H.(1987)。Further Evidence on Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonality。The Journal of Finance,42(3),557-581。  new window
20.丁學勤、陳正男(20020100)。內容分析建構量販店商店形象決定因素之研究。管理評論,21(1),85-113。new window  延伸查詢new window
21.De Bondt, Werner F. M.、Thaler, Richard H.(1985)。Does the Stock Market Overreact?。The Journal of Finance,40(3),793-805。  new window
22.Huang, Y. S.(1998)。Stock market reaction to daily limit moves: Evidence from the Taiwan Stock Exchange。Journal of Business Finance & Accounting,25(3/4),469-483。  new window
23.Paul, Z.(1989)。Short-Run Market Overreaction: Size and Seasonality Effects。The Journal of Portfolio Management,15,26-29。  new window
24.Pettengill, G. N.、Jordan, B. D.(1990)。The Overreaction by Hypothesis, Firm Size, and Stock Market Seasonality。The Journal of Portfolio Management,6(3),60-64。  new window
學位論文
1.史凱琳(1999)。過度反應假說在臺灣股票市場之實證研究(碩士論文)。國立中央大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.林美珍(1992)。股票價格過度反應的方向、幅度、與密度(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.林欽龍(1992)。臺灣股市有過度反應嗎?(碩士論文)。國立台灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.詹家昌(1991)。臺灣股票市場過度反應之實證研究(碩士論文)。私立東海大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Williams, J. B.(1956)。The Theory of Investment Value。Amsterdam:North-Holland。  new window
2.Keynes, J. M.(1964)。The General Theory of Employment, Investment and Money。London, UK:Harcovrt Brace Jornaorich。  new window
 
 
 
 
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