:::

詳目顯示

回上一頁
題名:The Wealth Effect and Consumers' Sentiment: Evidence from Theoretical and Empirical Analyses
書刊名:管理學報
作者:陳珮芬 引用關係曾至宏
作者(外文):Chen, Pei-fenZeng, Jhih-hong
出版日期:2015
卷期:32:1
頁次:頁69-84
主題關鍵詞:財富效果情緒樂觀悲觀門檻效果展望理論Wealth effectSentimentOptimismPessimismThreshold effectProspect theory
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:1
  • 點閱點閱:27
本文試圖分析消費者情緒對消費-財富間的關係-即所謂的財富效果。我們的實證分析驗證:財富效果會受到以情緒指標所為門檻所分化之不同區域而有不同的表現。當情緒指標大於所估計之門檻值(即樂觀的區段)時,財富提高可助消費者旳支出較一般支出來得高。相反的,當情緒指標小於所估計之門檻值(即悲觀的區段)時,財富的變動與消費支出間為一負相關的效果。據此,儘管消費者的財富是增加的,悲觀(樂觀)情緒之消費者將減少(增加)他們的消費支出。
This paper attempts to analyze the effect of sentiment on the consumption-wealth relation-that is, the wealth effect. Our empirical analyses verify that the wealth effect represents a difference between two different regimes split by the threshold related to different sentiment sectors. When the sentiment indices are larger than the estimated threshold (i.e., an optimistic situation), raising wealth drives consumers more consumption expenditures than normal ones. When the sentiment indices are less than the estimated threshold (i.e., a pessimistic situation), changes of wealth have a negative effect on consumption expenditures. As a whole, consumers, with pessimistic (optimistic) sentiment, will cut (raise) their consumption expenditures despite their wealth is increasing.
期刊論文
1.Mian, G. M.、Sankaraguruswamy, S.(2012)。Investor sentiment and stock market response to earnings news。The Accounting Review,87(4),1357-1384。  new window
2.Dua, P.(2008)。Analysis of consumers' perceptions of buying conditions for houses。Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics,37(4),335-350。  new window
3.Lux, T.(2011)。Sentiment dynamics and stock returns: The case of the german stock market。Empirical Economics,41(3),663-679。  new window
4.Zhang, T.、Li, J.、Malone, P.(2004)。Closed-end fund discounts in Chinese stock markets。The Chinese Economy,37(3),17-38。  new window
5.Chang, C. L.、Huang, B. W.、Chen, M. G.、McAleer, M.(2011)。Modelling the asymmetric volatility in hog prices in Taiwan: The impact of joining the WTO。Mathematics and Computer in Simulation,81(7),1491-1506。  new window
6.Chang, C. L.、Khamkaew, T.、McAleer, M.(2012)。IV estimation of a panel threshold model of tourism specialization and economic development。Tourism Economics,18(1),5-41。  new window
7.Chang, C. L.、Chen, L. H.、Hammoudeh, S. M.、McAleer, M.(2012)。Asymmetric adjustments in the ethanol and grains markets。Energy Economics,34(6),1990-2002。  new window
8.Chang, C. P.、Lee, C. C.(2013)。The economic voting hypothesis in the presence of threshold effects: Evidence from asymmetric modeling。The Singapore Economic Review,58(1),1-29。  new window
9.Chen, M. P.、Chen, P. F.、Lee, C. C.(2013)。Asymmetric effects of investor sentiment on industry stock returns: Panel data evidence。Emerging Markets Review,14(1),35-54。  new window
10.陳珮芬、曾至宏(20140900)。The Impact of Noise Trader Sentiment on the Housing Market。管理學報,31(3),245-262。new window  new window
11.Chiang, M. C.、Tsai, I. C.、Lee, C. F.(2011)。Fundamental indicators: Bubbles in stock returns and investor sentiment。The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance,51(1),82-87。  new window
12.Dergiades, T.(2012)。Do investors' sentiment dynamics affect stock returns? Evidence from the US economy。Economic Letters,116(3),404-407。  new window
13.Dickinson, D. L.(2009)。The effects of beliefs versus risk attitude on bargaining outcomes。Theory and Decision,66(1),69-101。  new window
14.Friend, I.、Adams, F. G.(1964)。The predictive ability of consumer attitudes, stock prices, and non-attitudinal variables。Journal of the American Statistical Association,59(308),987-1005。  new window
15.Gabriel, V. J.、Alexandre, F.、Bagao, P.(2008)。The consumption-wealth ratio under asymmetric adjustment。Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics,12(4),1-32。  new window
16.McMillan, D. G.(2003)。Non-linear predictability of UK stock market returns。Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics,65(5),557-573。  new window
17.Menkhoff, L.、Rebitzky, R. R.(2008)。Investor sentiment in the US-dollar: Longer-term, non-linear orientation on PPP。Journal of Empirical Finance,15(3),455-467。  new window
18.Mansour, S. B.、Jouini, E.、Marin, J. M.、Napp, C.、Robert, C.(2008)。Are risk-averse agents more optimistic? A bayesian estimation approach。Journal of Applied Econometrics,23(6),843-860。  new window
19.Skinner, J.(1989)。Housing wealth and aggregate saving。Regional Science and Urban Economics,19(2),305-324。  new window
20.Sousa, R. M.(2010)。Consumption, (dis)aggregate wealth, and asset returns。Journal of Empirical Finance,17(4),606-622。  new window
21.Yang, C.、Xie, J.、Yan, W.(2012)。Sentiment capital asset pricing model。International Journal of Digital Content Technology and its Applications,6(3),254-261。  new window
22.Yang, Y. L.、Chang, C. L.(2008)。A double threshold GARCH model of stock market and currency shocks on stock returns。Mathematics and Computers in Simulation,79(3),458-474。  new window
23.Chang, C. L.、McAleer, M.、Tansuchat, R.(2010)。Analyzing and forecasting volatility spillovers, asymmetries and hedging in major oil markets。Energy Economics,32(6),1445-1455。  new window
24.Schmeling, M.(2009)。Investor sentiment and stock returns: Some international evidence。Journal of Empirical Finance,16(3),394-408。  new window
25.Chen, S. S.(2011)。Lack of consumer confidence and stock returns。Journal of Empirical Finance,18(2),225-236。  new window
26.Kahneman, D.、Tversky, A.(1979)。Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk。Econometrica,47(2),263-291。  new window
27.Kumar, Alok、Lee, Charles M. C.(2006)。Retail Investor Sentiment and Return Comovements。Journal of Finance,61(5),2451-2486。  new window
28.Ng, Serena、Perron, Pierre(2001)。Lag Length Selection and the Construction of Unit Root Tests with Good Size and Power。Econometrica,69(6),1519-1554。  new window
29.Anderson, C.、Galinsky, A. D.(2006)。Power, optimism, and risk-taking。European Journal of Social Psychology,36(4),511-536。  new window
30.Hansen, B. E.(2000)。Sample splitting and threshold estimation。Econometrica,68(3),575-604。  new window
31.Samuelson, William、Zeckhauser, Richard(1988)。Status Quo Bias in Decision Making。Journal of Risk and Uncertainty,1(1),7-59。  new window
32.Tversky, Amos、Kahneman, Daniel(1992)。Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty。Journal of Risk and Uncertainty,5(4),297-323。  new window
33.Carroll, C. D.、Fuhrer, J. C.、Wilcox, D. W.(1994)。Does consumer sentiment forecast household spending? If so, why?。The American Economic Review,84(5),1397-1408。  new window
34.Baker, Malcolm、Wurgler, Jeffrey(2007)。Investor sentiment in the stock market。Journal of Economic Perspectives,21(2),129-152。  new window
35.Baker, Malcolm、Wurgler, Jeffrey(2006)。Investor sentiment and the cross-section of stock returns。The Journal of Finance,61(4),1645-1680。  new window
36.Genesove, David、Mayer, Christopher(2001)。Nominal loss aversion and seller behavior: Evidence from the housing market。Quarterly Journal of Economics,116(4),1233-1260。  new window
37.Benjamin, J. D.、Chinldy, P.、Jud, G. D.(2004)。Real estate versus financial wealth in consumption。Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics,29,341-354。  new window
38.Case, Karl E.、Quigley, John M.、Shiller, Robert J.(2005)。Comparing Wealth Effects: The Stock Market versus the Housing Market。Advances in Macroeconomics,5(1),1-32。  new window
39.Ando, Albert、Modigliani, Franco(1963)。The 'Life Cycle' Hypothesis of Saving: Aggregate Implications and Tests。American Economic Review,53(1),55-84。  new window
40.Bostic, R.、Gabriel, S.、Painter, G.(2009)。Housing Wealth, Financial Wealth, and Consumption: New Evidence from Micro Data。Regional Science and Urban Economics,39(1),79-89。  new window
41.Tversky, Amos、Kahneman, Daniel(1991)。Loss Aversion in Riskless Choice: A Reference-Dependent Model。The Quarterly Journal of Economics,106(4),1039-1061。  new window
單篇論文
1.Baker, S. D.(2012)。Disagreement, Financial Markets, and the Real Economy,Pittsburgh, PA:Carnegie Mellon University。  new window
2.Coleman, M.(2011)。Do personal consumption expenditures reflect investor stock sentiment?,New York:Whitman School of Management, Syracuse University。  new window
 
 
 
 
第一頁 上一頁 下一頁 最後一頁 top
:::
無相關書籍
 
無相關著作
 
QR Code
QRCODE