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題名：海耶克景氣與資本結構理論之重建
書刊名：經濟論文
作者：李世榮 引用關係
作者(外文)：Li, Shul-john
出版日期：2015
卷期：43:1
頁次：頁1-44
主題關鍵詞：迂迴生產；景氣循環；資本結構；海耶克；奧地利學派；Roundabout production；Business cycle；Capital structure；Hayek；Austrian school
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
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海耶克／哈耶克（Friedrich A. Hayek）結合奧地科學派迂迴生產（round-about production）理論與Wicksell累積過程論之難題在於，無法內生地確定產業垂直分工的均衡結構。本文導引垂直分工的中間產值函數，發現加工過程中持有中間投入的利息成本累進遞增，構成迂迴分工程度的自然限制，可解此一難題。Hayek理論強調利率、物價與資本結構的失衡調整過程，在上述基礎上修訂、重建之景氣理論，足以證明一、動態安定系統之「Hayekian總合供給曲線」為負斜率，二、貨幣擴張政策不具長期實質效果，終將導致停滯性膨脹（stagflatoin）與資本錯置（misdirection of capital）。
The key problem of Hayek's theory of trade cycle, which combines Wicksell's cumulative process and the Austrian theory of roundabout production, is how to determine the equilibrium capital structure of a vertically specialized industry endogenously. This article asserts that interest costs of the intermediate input increase progressively along the roundabout process and form a natural constraint to the degree of specialization. This settles the Hayek problem. Furthermore, by synthesizing disequilibrium dynamics of the price and the capital structure, this study reformulates the Hayek theory and shows that: (1) the Hayekian aggregate supply curve in a system that is dynamically stable has a negative slope; (2) expanding monetary policies are ineffective in the long run, and inevitably end in stagflation and misdirection of capital.
期刊論文
1.Stigler, George J.(1951)。The Division of Labor is Limited by the Extent of the Market。Journal of Political Economy，59(3)，185-193。  new window
2.李世榮(20071200)。海耶克自由主義的證成途徑：社會演化之方法論典範。政治與社會哲學評論，23，123-178。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.De Liso, N.、Filatrella, G.、Weaver, N.(2001)。On Endogenous Growth and Increasing Returns: Modeling Learning-by-Doing and the Division of Labor。Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization，46，39-55。  new window
4.Garrison, R. W.(2004)。Overconsumption and Forced Saving in the Mises-Hayek Theory of the Business Cycle。History of Political Economy，36，323-349。  new window
5.Garrison, R. W.(2008)。Ahiakpor on Mises and Forced Saving: A Rejoinder。History of Political Economy，40，397-405。  new window
6.Hayek, F. A.(1931)。The ‘Paradox’ of Saving。Economica，32，125-169。  new window
7.Hicks, J. R.(1936)。Mr. Keynes’ Theory of Employment。Economic Journal，46，238-253。  new window
8.Repapis, C.(2011)。Hayek’s Business Cycle Theory during the 1930s: A Critical Account of Its Development。History of Political Economy，43，699-742。  new window
9.Salerno, J. T.(2012)。A Reformulation of Austrian Business Cycle Theory in Light of the Financial Crisis。Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics，15，3-44。  new window
10.Stein, J. L.(1969)。‘Neoclassical’ and ‘Keynes-Wicksell’ Monetary Growth Models。Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking，1，153-171。  new window
11.Stein, J. L.(1970)。Monetary Growth Theory in Perspective。American Economic Review，60，85-106。  new window
12.Zahringer, K. A.(2012)。Monetary Disequilibrium Theory and Business Cycles: An Austrian Critique。Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics，15，304-330。  new window
13.錢永祥(20020600)。演化論適合陳述自由主義嗎？--對哈耶克式論證的反思。臺灣社會研究，46，173-191。new window  延伸查詢new window
14.Young, A. A.(1928)。Increasing returns and economic progress。The Economic Journal，38，527-542。  new window
15.Friedman, M.(1968)。The Role of Monetary Policy。The American Economic Review，58(1)，1-17。  new window
16.Romer, Paul M.(1986)。Increasing Returns and Long Run Growth。Journal of Political Economy，94(5)，1002-1037。  new window
17.Romer, Paul M.(1987)。Growth Based on Increasing Returns Due to Specialization。The American Economic Review，77(2)，56-62。  new window
18.Romer, Paul M.(1990)。Endogenous Technological Change。Journal of Political Economy，98(5, Part 2)，S71-S102。  new window
19.Dixit, Avinash K.、Stiglitz, Joseph E.(1977)。Monopolistic Competition and Optimum Product Diversity。The American Economic Review，67(3)，297-308。  new window
20.Ethier, W. J.(1982)。National and International Returns to Scale in the Modern Theory of International Trade。The American Economic Review，72(3)，389-405。  new window
圖書
1.Kresge, Stephen、Wenar, Leif(1994)。Hayek on Hayek: An Autobiographical Dialogue。London：Routledge。  new window
2.Yang, Xiaokai、Ng, Yew-Kwang(1993)。Specialization and Economic Organization: A New Classical Microeconomic Framework。Amsterdam：North Holland Press。  new window
3.殷海光(1979)。海耶克和他的思想。臺北：傳記文學社。  延伸查詢new window
4.Hayek, Friedrich A.(1941)。The Pure Theory of Capital。London：Routledge & Kegan Paul。  new window
5.Ebenstein, Alan O.(2001)。Friedrich Hayek: A Biography。New York：Palgrave。  new window
6.Garrison, Roger W.(2001)。Time and Money: The Macroeconomics of Capital Structure。Routledge。  new window
7.Gordon, R. J.(1974)。Milton Friedman’s Monetary Framework: A Debate with His Critics。Chicago：University of Chicago Press。  new window
8.Haberler, G.(1963)。Prosperity and Depression: A Theoretical Analysis of Cyclical Movements。New York：Atheneum。  new window
9.von Mises, L.(1980)。The Theory of Money and Credit。Indianapolis：Liberty Classics。  new window
10.Hayek, F.(1944)。The Road to Serfdom。London：Routledge & Kegan Paul。  new window
11.Hayek, F. A.(1960)。The Constitution of Liberty。London：Routledge & Kegan Paul。  new window
12.何信全(1988)。海耶克自由理論研究。台北：聯經。new window  延伸查詢new window
13.Hayek, Friedrich A.(1933)。Monetary Theory and the Trade Cycle。London, UK：Jonathan Cape。  new window
14.Hayek, Friedrich A.(1935)。Prices and Production。London, UK：Routledge & Kegan Paul。  new window
15.周德偉(1975)。當代大思想家海耶克學說綜述。臺北市：正中書局。  延伸查詢new window
其他
1.Hayek, Friedrich A.(1975)。Full Employment at Any Price?(IEA Occasional Paper, No. 45. )。  new window
圖書論文
1.Garrison, R. W.(2005)。The Austrian。Modern Macroeconomics: Its Origins, Development and Current State。Cheltenham：Edward Elgar。  new window
 
 
 
 
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