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題名:社群媒體與選舉預測:文獻檢閱的觀點
書刊名:理論與政策
作者:劉念夏
作者(外文):Liu, Nien-hsia
出版日期:2018
卷期:21:3=78
頁次:頁33-59
主題關鍵詞:社群媒體選舉預測民意調查Social mediaElection forecastingElection poll
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:8
  • 點閱點閱:10
期刊論文
1.Hindman, D. B.、Wei, L.(2011)。Does the digital divide matter more? Comparing the effects of new media and old media use on the education-based knowledge gap。Mass Communication and Society,14(2),216-235。  new window
2.胡光夏、陳竹梅(20121200)。社群媒體與軍事公共關係。復興崗學報,102,65-89。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.Bakker, T. P.、de Vreese, C. H.(2011)。Good News for the Future? Young People, Internet Use and Political Participation。Communication Research,38(4),451-470。  new window
4.Gayo-Avello, D.(2013)。A meta-analysis of state-of-the-art electoral prediction from Twitter data。Social Science Computer Review,31(6),649-679。  new window
5.Tumasjan, A.、Sprenger, T. O.、Sandner, P. G.、Welpe, I. M.(2010)。Election forecasts with Twitter: How 140 characters reflect the political landscape。Social Science Computer Review,29(4),402-418。  new window
6.Barbera, P.、Rivero, G.(2014)。Understanding the Political Representativeness of Twitter Users。Social Science Computer Review,33(6),712-729。  new window
7.Barclay, F. P.、Pichandy, Chinnasamy、Venkat, A.、Sudhakaran, S.(2015)。India 2014: Facebook 'like', as a Predictor of Election Outcomes。Asian Journal of Political Science,23(2),134-160。  new window
8.Ceron, A.、Gurini, L.、Iacus, S. M.(2014)。Using Sentiment Analysis to Monitor Electoral Campaigns: Method Matters--Evidence from the United States and Italy。Social Science Computer Review,33(1),3-20。  new window
9.Cunha, E.、Magno, G.、Goncalves, M. A.、Cambraia, C. A.、Virgilio, A.(2014)。He Votes or She Votes? Female and Male Discursive Strategies in Twitter Political Hashtags。PloS One,9(1),e87941。  new window
10.Diaz, Fernando、Gamon, Michael、Hofman, Jake M.、Kiciman, Emre、Rothschild, David(2016)。Online and Social Media Data as an Imperfect Continuous Panel Survey。PloS One,11(1),e0145406。  new window
11.DiGazia, J.、McKelvey, K.、Bollen, J.、Rojas, F.(2013)。More Tweets, More Voters: Social Media as a Quantitative Indicator of Political Behavior。PLoS One,8(11),e79449。  new window
12.Franch, Fabio(2013)。(Wisdom of the Crowds)2: 2010 UK Election Prediction with Social Media。Journal of Information Technology & Politics,10(1),57-71。  new window
13.Gaissmaier, W.、Marewski, J. N.(2011)。Forecasting Elections with Mere Recognition from Small, Lousy Samples: A Comparison of Collective Recognition, Wisdom of Crowds, and Representative Polls。Judgment and Decision Making,6(1),73-88。  new window
14.Gayo-Avello, D.(2011)。Don't Turn Social Media into Another 'Literacy Digest' Poll。Communications of the ACM,54(10),121-128。  new window
15.Gayo-Avello, D.(2012)。No, You Cannot Predict Election with Twitter。IEEE Internet Computing,16(6),91-94。  new window
16.Huberty, M.(2015)。Can We Vote with Our Tweet? On the Perennial Difficulty of Election Forecasting with Social Media。International Journal of Forecasting,31(3),992-1007。  new window
17.Jungherr, A.、Jurgens, P.、Schoen, H.(2012)。Why the Pirate Party Won the German Election of 2009 or The Trouble With Predictions: A Response to Tumasjan, A., Sprenger, T. O., Sander, P. G., & Welpe, I. M. "Predicting Elections With Twitter: What 140 Characters Reveal About Political Sentiment"。Social Science Computer Review,30(2),229-234。  new window
18.Jungherr, A.、Schoen, H.、Posegga, O.、Jurgens, P.(2016)。Digital Trace Data in the Study of Public Opinion: An Indicator of Attention toward Politics rather than Political Support。Social Science Computer Review,35(3),336-356。  new window
19.Kaplan, A. M.、Haenlein, M.(2010)。Use of the World, Unite! The Challenges and Opportunities of Social Media。Business Horizons,53,59-68。  new window
20.Liu, N. H.(2013)。Forecasting Taiwan's Presidential Elections (2008 to 2012) from Pre-Election Media Polls: A "Coverage Forecasting Model" Considered。GSTF International Journal on Media & Communications,1(1),9-24。  new window
21.Salunkhe, P.、Sumar, A.、Sonawane, A.(2017)。A Review: Prediction of Election Using Twitter Sentiment Analysis。International Journal of Advanced Research in Computer Engineering and Technology,6(5),723-725。  new window
22.Schober, Micjael F.、Pasek, Josh、Guggenheim, Lauren、Lampe, Cliff、Conrad, Frederick G.(2016)。Social Media Analyses for Social Measurement。Public Opinion Quarterly,80(1),180-211。  new window
23.Taskalidis, A.、Papadopoulos, S.、Cristea, A.、Kompatsiaris, Y.(2015)。Predicting Elections for Multiple Countries using Twitter and Polls。IEEE Intelligent Systems,30(2),10-17。  new window
24.Wang, Wei、Rothschild, David、Goel, Sharad、Gelman, Andrew(2015)。Forecasting Elections with Non-Representative Polls。International Journal of Forecasting,31(3),980-991。  new window
25.Boyd, Danah M.、Ellison, Nicole B.(2007)。Social Network Sites: Definition, History, and Scholarship。Journal of Computer-Mediated Communication,13(1),210-230。  new window
26.陳百齡、鄭宇君、陳恭(20161100)。社群媒體資料分析:特性和歷程的初探。傳播文化,15,48-89。new window  延伸查詢new window
會議論文
1.Bermingham, A.、Smeaton, A. F.(2011)。On using twitter to monitor political sentiment and predict election results。1st Workshop on Sentiment Analysis where AI meets Psychology。Chiang Mai。2-10。  new window
2.O'Connor, B.、Balasubramanyan, R.、Routledge, B. R.、Smith, N. A.(2010)。From Tweets to Polls: Linking text sentiment to public opinion time series。Fourth International AAAI conference on Weblogs and Social Media,(會議日期: 2010/05/23-05/26)。AAAI。122-129。  new window
3.Williams, C. B.、Gulati, G. J.(2008)。What is a social network worth? Facebook and vote share in the 2008 presidential primaries。Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association,(會議日期: 2008/08/28-08/31)。Boston, MA。  new window
4.Jungherr, A.(2013)。Tweets and votes, a special relationship: The 2009 federal election in germany。The 2nd workshop on Politics, elections and data。ACM。5-14。  new window
5.Skoric, M.、Poor, N.、Achananuparp, P.、Lim, E. P.、Jiang, J.(2012)。Tweets and votes: A study of the 2011 singapore general election。The 45th Hawaii International Conference on System Science。Washington, DC:IEEE Computer Society。2583-2591。  new window
6.Sang, E. T. K.、Bos, J.(2012)。Predicting the 2011 dutch senate election results with twitter。The Workshop on Semantic Analysis in Social Media,(會議日期: 2012/04/23)。Avignon:Association for Computational Linguistics。53-60。  new window
7.Conover, M. D.、Ratkiewicz, J.、Francisco, M. R.、Goncalves, B.、Menczer, F.、Flammini, A.(2011)。Political polarization on Twitter。The Fifth International AAAI Conference on Weblogs and Social Media。AAAI。89-96。  new window
8.楊喨智、楊立偉(2011)。運用意見分析技術於選舉預測:以台灣選舉為例。2011全國資訊管理前瞻技術研討會,(會議日期: 2011年11月24日)。新竹:玄奘大學資管系。  延伸查詢new window
9.劉念夏(2012)。從電話調查涵蓋率的觀點預測2012總統選舉結果。2012年中華傳播學會年會暨學術研討會,(會議日期: 2012年7月7日)。台中:靜宜大學。  延伸查詢new window
10.Beauchamp, N.(2013)。Predicting and Interpolating State-Level Polling Using Twitter Textual Data。The Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association,(會議日期: August 29-September 1 2013)。Chicago, IL。  new window
11.Burckhardt, P.、Duch, R.、Matsuo, A.(2016)。Tweet as a Tool for Election Forecast: UK 2015 General Election as an Example。The 3rd Annual Meeting of the Asian Political Methodology Society,(會議日期: January 8-9 2016)。Beijing。  new window
12.Chen, L.、Wang, W.、Sheth, A. P.(2012)。Are Twitter Users Equal in Predicting Elections? A Study of User Groups in Predicting 2012 U.S. Republic Presidential Primaries。The 4th International Conference on Social Informatics。Heidelberg, DE:Springer。379-392。  new window
13.Contractor, D.、Faruquie, T. A.(2013)。Understanding Election Candidate Approval Ratings using Social Media Data。The 22nd International Conference on World Wide Web。New York:ACM。189-190。  new window
14.de Voogd, L.、Chelala, P.、Schwarzer, S.(2012)。Do Social Media Affect Public Discourses? A Sentiment Analysis of Political Tweets during the French Presidential Campaign。The 67th Annual Conference of American Association of Public Opinion Research,(會議日期: May 17-20 2012)。Orlando, FL。  new window
15.Dwi Prasetyo, N.、Hauff, C.(2015)。Twitter-based Election Prediction in the Developing World。The 26th ACM Conference on Hypertext & Social Media,(會議日期: Sep. 1-4 2015)。Guzelyurt。  new window
16.Fink, C.、Bos, N.、Perrone, A.、Liu, E.、Kopecky, J.(2013)。Twitter, Public Opinion, and the Nigerian Presidential Election。The 5th IEEE International Conference on Social Computing。Washington, DC:IEEE。311-320。  new window
17.Gaurav, M.、Srivastava, A.、Kumar, A.、Miller, S.(2013)。Leveraging Candidate Popularity on Twitter to Predict Election Outcomes。The 7th Workshop on Social Network Mining and Analysis。AMC。  new window
18.Hutto, C. J.、Gilbert, E. E.(2014)。VADER: A Parsimonious Rule-based Model for Sentiment Analysis of Social Media Text。The 8th International AAAI Conference on Weblogs and Social Media,(會議日期: 2014/06/01-2014/06/04)。  new window
19.Lampos, V.、Preotiuc-Pietro, D.、Cohn, T.(2013)。A User-Centric Model of Voter Intention from Social Media。The 51st Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics。Stroudsburg, PA:The Association for Computer Linguistics。993-1003。  new window
20.Marchetti-Bowick, M.、Chambers, N.(2012)。Learning for Microblogs with Distant Supervision: Political Forecasting with Twitter。The 13th Conference of the European Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics。Stroudsburg, PA:The Association for Computer Linguistics。603-612。  new window
21.Metaxas, P. T.、Mustafaraj, E.、Gayo-Avello, D.(2011)。How (not) to Predict Election。2011 IEEE 3rd International Conference on Privacy, Security, Risk and Trust and 2011 IEEE 3rd International Conference on Social Computing,(會議日期: October 9-11 2011)。Boston, MA。  new window
22.Muphy, J. J.、Keating, M. D.、Edgar, J.(2014)。Crowdsourcing in the Cognitive Interviewing Process。2013 Federal Committee on Statistical Methodology Research Conference,(會議日期: November 4-6 2014)。Washington, DC。  new window
23.Mustafaraj, E.、Firm, S.、Whitlock, C.、Metaxas, P. T.(2011)。Vocal Minority versus Silent Majority: Discovering the Opinions of the Long Tail。2011 IEEE 3rd International Conference on Privacy, Security, Risk and Trust and 2011 IEEE 3rd International Conference on Social Computing,(會議日期: October 9-11 2011)。Boston, MA。  new window
24.Sanders, E.、van den Bosch, A.(2013)。Relating Political Party Mentions on Twitter with Polls and Election Results。The 13th Dutch-Belgian Information Retrieval Workshop,(會議日期: April 26, 2013)。Delft。68-71。  new window
25.Shi, L.、Agarwal, N.、Agrawal, A.、Garg, R.、Spoelstra, J.(2012)。Predicting US Primary Elections with Twitter。The Workshop of Social Network and Social Media Analysis: Methods, Models, and Application,(會議日期: December 7, 2012)。Lake Tahoe, Nevada。  new window
26.Soler, J. M.、Cuartero, F.、Roblizo, M.(2012)。Twitter as a Tool for Predicting Elections Results。International Conference on Advances in Social Network Analysis and Mining。Los Alamitos, CA:IEEE Press。1194-1200。  new window
27.Thapen, N. A.、Ghanem, M. M.(2013)。Towards Passive Political Opinion Polling Using Twitter。2013 BCS SGAI Workshop on Social Media Analysis。Robert Gordon University。19-34。  new window
28.Washington, A. L.、Parra, F.、Thatcher, J. B.、LePrevost, K.、Morar, D.(2013)。What is the Correlation between Twitter, Polls and the Popular Vote in the 2012 Presidential Election?。The Annual Meeting of 2013 American Political Science Association,(會議日期: August 29-September 1, 2013)。Chicago, IL。  new window
圖書
1.Weisberg, Herbert F.(2005)。The Total Survey Error Approach: A Guide to the New Science of Survey Research。Chicago:University of Chicago Press。  new window
2.Van Dijck, J.(2013)。The culture of connectivity: A critical history of social media。Oxford University Press。  new window
3.Babbie, E.(2018)。The Practice of Social Research。Belment, CA:Wadsworth Cengage Learning。  new window
4.Ceron, A.、Curini, L.、Iacus, S. M.(2017)。Politics and Big Data: Nowcasting and Forecasting Elections with Social Media。London:Routledge。  new window
5.Jungherr, A.(2015)。Analyzing Political Communication with Digital Trace Data: The Role of Twitter Messages in Social Science Research。London:Springer International Publishing。  new window
6.Parmelee, J. H.、Bichard, S. L.(2011)。Politics and the Twitter Revolution: How Tweets Influence the Relationship between Political Leaders and Public。Lanham, MD:Lexington Books。  new window
7.Surowiecki, James(2004)。The Wisdom of Crowds: Why the Many are Smarter than the Few and How Collective Wisdom Shape Business, Economies, Societies, and Nations。New York:Doubleday。  new window
單篇論文
1.Choy, M.,Cheong, M.,Laik, M. N.,Shung, K. P.(2012)。US presidential election 2012 prediction using census corrected Twitter model,https://arxiv.org/abs/1211.0938,(arXiv: 1211.0938)。  new window
2.Lampos, V.(2012)。On Voting Intentions Inferences from Twitter Content: A Case Study on UK 2010 General Election,https://arxiv.org/abs/1204.0423,(arXiv: 1204.0423)。  new window
其他
1.劉念夏(2015)。涵蓋率選舉預測模型的再思考:以2014年台灣直轄市長與縣市長選舉預測為評估對象,新竹:玄奘大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.Lindsay, R.(2008)。Predicting Polls with Lexicon,http://languagewrong.tumblrxom/Dost/55722687/predicting-polls-with-lexicon。  new window
圖書論文
1.Jensen, M. J.、Jorba, L.、Anduiza, E.(2012)。[Digital Media and Political Engagement Worldwide: A Comparative Study] Introduction。Digital Media and Political Engagement Worldwide: A Comparative Study。New York:Cambridge University Press。  new window
2.Puglisi, R.、Snyder, J. M.(2016)。Empirical Studies of Media Bias。Handbook of Media Economics。Amsterdam:Elsevier。  new window
 
 
 
 
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