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題名：人口成長與經濟發展
書刊名：人口學刊
作者：李少民／陳寬政 引用關係／涂肇慶
作者(外文)：Li, Shao-Min／Chen, Kuan-Jeng／Tu, Edward Jow-Chin
出版日期：1990
卷期：13
頁次：頁107-124
主題關鍵詞：人口成長；經濟發展
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
相關次數：
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(7) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(1)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:7
  • 共同引用共同引用:43
  • 點閱點閱:39
人口成長與經濟發展的關係是人口學的一個基本課題，也是一個爭論不休的問題。本文引用歷史學者、人口學者、經濟學者、以及社會學者所收集的驗證材料，輔以台灣地區與中國大陸的人口資料，檢討近代的人口成長與人口轉型，從而澄清人口成長與經濟發展的關係。本文指出，人口成長與經濟發間並無一成不變的公式，有利或有害而視當時當地的社會經濟條件而定。我們傾向於接受馬克斯之主張人口「問題」為生產關係的問題，而不是生產力的問題，只是我們認為這個問題主要是發生在實施公有制度的社會主義國家，而不是發生在實施市場制度的資本義國家。
Based on the theories proposed and the data accumulated by the social scientists during the past thirty years, with an emphasis on the process of development in both Mainland China and Taiwan, this paper re-examines the long debated impacts of population growth on economic development. It is concluded that population growth can either stimulate or hinder the economic development, depending on how the development is created and formatted. There is no simple rule governing how the population growth affects the economic development. While the economic development in Mainland China is more related to the reform programs than the fertility control, the population growth in Taiwan has preceded the development.
期刊論文
1.Coale, Ansley J.(1974)。The History of Human Population。Scientific American，231(3)，40-51。  new window
2.Pearl, R.、Reed, L. J.(1920)。On the rate of growth of the population of the United States since 1790 and its mathematical representation。Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences，6，275-288。  new window
3.李少民(1988)。大陸的人口控制與政治經濟改革。大陸問題研究月刊，30(10)，32-40。  延伸查詢new window
4.Chen, Pi-chao、Kols, Adrienne(1982)。Population and Birth Planning in the People's Republic of China。Population Reports，10，578-619。  new window
5.Lee, Ronald D.(1974)。The Formal Dynamics of Controlled Populations with the Echo, the Boom, and the Bust。Demography，11(November)，563-585。  new window
6.Pearl, R.、Reed, L. J.(1922)。A Further Note on the Mathematical Theory of Population Growth。Proceedings of the National Academy of Science，8，365-368。  new window
7.Phelps, E. S.(1968)。Population Increase。Canadian Journal of Economics，1，497-518。  new window
8.Rutstein, Oscar Shea(1974)。The Influence of Chi1d Mortality on Fertility in Taiwan。Studies in Family Planning，5(June)，182-188。  new window
9.Taylor, Carl E.、Newman, Jeanne S.、Kelly, Narindar U.(1976)。The Child Survival Hypothesis。Population Studies，30，263-278。  new window
10.Wilson, Edwin B.、Puffer, Ruth R.(1933)。Least Squares and Laws of Population Growth。Proceedings of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences，68(August)，285-382。  new window
11.涂肇慶、陳寬政(19881100)。調節生育與國際移民：未來臺灣人口變遷的兩個關鍵問題。人文及社會科學集刊，1(1)，77-98。new window  延伸查詢new window
12.涂肇慶、陳寬政(19891200)。臺灣地區人口變遷對社會安全制度的影響。中國社會學刊，13，169-190。new window  延伸查詢new window
13.Leach, Donald(1981)。Re-Evaluation of the Logistic Curve for Human Populations。Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A，144(1)，94-103。  new window
14.Leibenstein, Harvey(1975)。The Economic Theory of Fertility Decline。Quarterly Journal of Economics，89(1)，1-31。  new window
15.Lloyd, P. J.(1967)。American, German and British Antecedents to Pearl and Reed's Logistic Curve。Population Studies，21(2)，99-108。  new window
16.陳寬政(19850700)。人口轉型的形式動態。國立臺灣大學人口學刊，8，1-23。new window  延伸查詢new window
17.王德睦(19880600)。臺灣地區嬰幼兒死亡率對生育率之影響。人口學刊，11，1-17。new window  延伸查詢new window
會議論文
1.Easterlin. Richard A.(1988)。Population and the European Economy: Making Mountains out of Molehills。The Symposium on Population and European Society，(會議日期: December 7-10)。Florence, Italy。  new window
2.Ryder, Norman B.(1988)。Effects on the Family of Changes in the Age Distribution。New York：United Nations。98-120。  new window
3.Notestein, Franklin W.(1953)。Economic Problems of Population Change。Eighth International Conference of Agricultural Economists。London：Oxford University Press。13-31。  new window
學位論文
1.Rutstein, Oscar Shea(1971)。The Influence of Child Mortality on Fertility: A Study Based on Sample Surveys Conducted in 1967 and 1969(博士論文)。Univ. of Michigan-Ann Arbor。  new window
圖書
1.Schultz, T. Paul(1981)。Economics of Population。Reading：Addison-Wesley Publishing Company。  new window
2.Shryock, Henry S.、Siegel, Jacob S.(1973)。The Methods and Materials of Demography。Washington, D. C.：U. S. Government Printing Office。  new window
3.Boserup, Ester(1981)。Population and Technological Change: A Study of Long-term Trends。Chicago, IL：University of Chicago Press。  new window
4.Durkheim, Émile、Simpson, George(1933)。The Division of Labor in Society。Free Press。  new window
5.馬寅初(1979)。新人口論。北京：人民出版社：北京出版社。  延伸查詢new window
6.Keyfitz, Nathan(1977)。Introduction to the Mathematics of Population, with Revisions。Reading：Addison-Wesley Publishing Company。  new window
7.Kristensen, Thorkil(1974)。Development in Rich and Poor Countries。New York：The Praeger。  new window
8.Malthus, Robert(1798)。An Essay on the Principle of Population, As It Affects the Future Improvement of the Society。London：J. Johnson。  new window
9.Malthus, Robert(1826)。An Essay On the Principle of Population: A View of Its Past and Present Effects on Human Happiness。London：J. Johnson。  new window
10.Rostow, W. W.(1980)。Why the Poor Get Richer and the Rich Slow Down。New York：The Macmillan Press。  new window
11.Simon, Julian L.(1986)。Theory of Population and Economic Growth。New York：Basil Blackwell Inc.。  new window
12.United Nations(1988)。Economic and Social Implications of Population Aging。New York：United Nations。  new window
13.Chenery, Hollis、Syrquin, Moises(1975)。Patterns of development, 1950-70。New York：London：Oxford University Press。  new window
圖書論文
1.陳寬政、涂肇慶、林益厚(1989)。臺灣地區的家戶組成及其變遷。臺灣社會現象的分析：家庭、人口、政策與階層。臺北：中央研究院三民主義研究所。  延伸查詢new window
2.Coale, Ansley J.(1986)。The Decline of fertility in Europe since the Eighteenth Century as a chapter in Demographic History。The decline of fertility in Europe。Princeton：Princeton Univ. Press。  new window
3.Feldstein, Martin(1977)。Social Security and Private Savings: International Evidence in an Extended Life Cycle Model。The Economics of Public Services。London：Macmillan Press。  new window
4.Heer, David M.(1983)。Infant and Child Mortality and the Demand for Children。Determinants of Fertility in Developing Countries, Vol. 1: Supply and Demand for Children。New York：Academic Press。  new window
5.Heer, David M.、Wu, Hsin-ying(1978)。Effects in Rural Taiwan and Urban Morocco: Combining Individual and Aggregate Data。The Effects of Infant and Child Mortality on Fertility。New York：Academic Press。  new window
6.Knodel, John(1978)。European Populations in the Past: Family-Level Relations。The Effects of Infant and Child Mortality on Fertility。New York：Academic Press。  new window
7.Knodel, John(1986)。Demographic Transitions in German Villages。The Decline of Fertility in Europe。Princeton：Princeton University Press。  new window
8.Knodel, John、van de Walle, Etinne(1986)。Lessons from the Past: Policy Implications of Historical Fertility Studies。The Decline of Fertility in Europe。Princeton：Princeton Univ. Press。  new window
9.Kuznets, Simon(1960)。Population Change and Aggregate Output。Demographic and Economic Change in Developed Countries。Princeton：Princeton University Press。  new window
10.Leibenstein, Harvey(1972)。The Impact of Population Growth on the American Economy。Economic Aspects of Population Change。Washington, DC：Government Printing Office。  new window
11.Preston, Samuel H.(1978)。[The Effects of Infant and Child Mortality on Fertility] Introduction。The Effects of Infant and Child Mortality on Fertility。New York：Academic Press。  new window
12.Preston, Samuel H.(1986)。Are the Economic Consequences of Population Growth a Sound Basis for Population Policy?。World Population and U S. Policy。New York：Norton and Companies。  new window
13.von Tunzelmann, G. N.(1986)。Malthus's Total Population System: A Dynamic Reinterpretation。The State of Population Theory: Forward from Malthus。New York：Basil Blackwell Inc.。  new window
14.Wachter, M. L.、Wachter, S. M.(1978)。The Fiscal Policy Dilemma: Cyclical Swings Dominated by Supply-Side Constraints。The Economic Consequences of Slowing Population Growth。New York：Academic Press。  new window
15.Wander, Hilde(1978)。Zero Population Growth Now: the Lessons from Europe。The Economic Consequences of Slowing Population Growth。New York：Academic Press。  new window
16.Wrigley, E. A.(1986)。Elegance and Experience: Malthus at the Bar of History。The State of Population Theory: Forward from Malthus。New York：Basil Blackwell。  new window
17.王德睦(1989)。嬰幼兒死亡率影響生育率之模擬分析。臺灣社會現象的分析。臺北：中央研究院三民主義研究所。  延伸查詢new window
18.Easterlin, Richard A.(1978)。The Economics and Sociology of Fertility: a Synthesis。Historical Studies of Changing Fertility。Princeton：Princeton University Press。  new window
19.Notestein, Frank W.(1945)。Population: the long view。Food for the World。Chicago, Illinois：University of Chicago Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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