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題名:智慧型運輸系統技術發展規劃之研究:以台灣地區APTS與ATIS為例
作者:鍾明志
作者(外文):Ming-Chih Chung
校院名稱:國立成功大學
系所名稱:交通管理學系碩博士班
指導教授:魏健宏
陳忠仁
學位類別:博士
出版日期:2006
主題關鍵詞:技術規劃智慧型運輸系統灰色統計情境分析分析層級程序法intelligent transportation systemsTechnology planninggrey statistics methodanalytic hierarchy processscenario analysis
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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過去先進運輸技術之引進研發,往往重視其技術層面之因素,而忽略其他影響研發營運之因素。政府單位及民間相關業者除對技術因素需加考慮外,其餘有關運輸技術規劃與發展的重要因素亦應考慮,以避免建置或營運失敗之問題產生。為有效解決此問題,相關運輸技術規劃研究應及時推動。
本研究以智慧型運輸系統之技術發展規劃為研究主題,建立整合性研究架構,廣泛從學術與實務觀點進行探討,包含三個研究課題:技術選擇、技術來源與技術創新。在技術選擇課題之研擬,首先以問卷調查來瞭解公、私部門專家對技術選擇議題之意見,並以改良式灰色統計與情境分析作為研究方法,構建未來可能情境、分析樣本資料,再從六個替選方案中獲致可優先發展之智慧型運輸系統相關技術。
此外,技術來源模式之建立可獲知適合台灣廠商發展之重要技術來源型式。在技術來源課題中,本研究以分析層級程序法整合改良式灰色統計來處理技術來源評估問題。此部分研究運用三層之層級架構來進行,並從五個替選方案中選出重要技術來源型式。最後以模糊層級分析來建立合適之技術創新評選架構,此部分研究則從四個替選方案中選出重要技術創新類型。
總言之,本研究闡明智慧型運輸系統技術發展規劃課題,其研究成果可提供解決台灣地區相關先進運輸技術規劃問題之參考。
The recent developments in advanced transportation technology might be misleadingly considered to be mostly technology oriented. The establishment or operational problems may arise when the public sector and business corporations ignore other concerns related to transportation technology planning and development. In order to solve such a problem, related studies of transportation technology planning should be promoted in time.
The main purpose of this study, in terms of both theoretical and practical points of view, is to establish an integrated framework for intelligent transportation systems (ITS) technology planning. This study contains three research areas: technology selection, technology sourcing and technological innovation. In the technology selection, a questionnaire survey is used to get experts opinions in both public and private sectors about technology selection issues. A refined grey statistics method and a scenario analysis are then employed to construct possible future scenarios, analyze sample data and obtain the prior-developed ITS-related technologies for development from six alternatives.
In addition, the establishment of technology sourcing model can identify critical technology-sourcing type suited for domestic firms. In the technology sourcing, an analytic hierarchy process integrated with the refined grey statistics method is employed to deal with the problem of technology sourcing evaluation. This part of research uses a three level hierarchical framework for technology sourcing and selects the critical type from five alternatives. Finally, a fuzzy hierarchical method is used to create an appropriate framework of technological innovation evaluation. This part of study selects the critical innovation type from four alternatives.
Overall, this research sheds new light on ITS technology planning. The research results can do something for the relevant technology planning problems of advanced transportation technology in Taiwan.
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