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題名:自然資源與國內衝突:權力轉移理論的應用
書刊名:人文及社會科學集刊
作者:平思寧
作者(外文):Ping, Szu-ning
出版日期:2015
卷期:27:3
頁次:頁471-506
主題關鍵詞:國內衝突權力轉移理論自然資源租金廣義估計方程式Civil conflictPower transition theoryNatural resourcesRentsGeneralized estimation equation
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(6) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:5
  • 共同引用共同引用:12
  • 點閱點閱:103
權力轉移理論(power transition theory)作為長期解釋國際衝突的主要國際關係理論,卻較少適用於國家內部衝突方面。本文的目的在以權力轉移理論的假設之下,主張政府因為自然資源租金的負面效應,導致人民的不滿,以及叛亂團體藉由自然資源的獲得或破壞政府獲取資源租金,增加他們的實力,亦增加他們挑戰政府的可能性。本文以計量經濟學(econometrics)作為主要的研究方法,資料為「時間序列與橫斷面」資料(time-series and cross-sectional data,TSCS),故以「廣義估計方程式」(generalized estimation equation, GEE)作為本文實證的模型。
Previous studies failed to link civil conflict to international relations theories, even with concepts borrowed from IR theories. I try to connect power transition theory (PTT) to civil conflict, especially in resource-rich countries. I argue that via the main assumptions from PTT, natural resources perfectly account for, first, how resource curse produces people's grievances, and second, how power parity is achieved. Resulting from those assumptions, people face high risk of civil conflict in such a circumstance in resource-abundant countries. I test time-series and cross-sectional data (TSCS) from 1960- 2013 by a generalized estimation equation model (GEE), and find that except for diamond production, natural resources increase the likelihood of civil conflict.
期刊論文
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16.平思寧(20140900)。中東北非地區的國內衝突起因之探析:政治與經濟的革命?。問題與研究,53(3),61-86。new window  延伸查詢new window
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18.Addison, Tony、Le Billon, Philippe、Murshed, S. Mansoob(2003)。Conflict in Africa: The Cost of Peaceful Behavior。Journal of African Economies,11(3),365-386。  new window
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24.Braithwaite, Alex(2010)。Resisting Infection: How State Capacity Conditions Conflict Contagion。Journal of Peace Research,47(3),311-319。  new window
25.Brunnschweiler, Christa N.(2007)。Cursing the Blessings? Natural Resource Abundance, Institutions, and Economic Growth。World Development,36(3),399-419。  new window
26.Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce、Smith, Alastair(2007)。Foreign Aid and Policy Concessions。Journal of Conflict Resolution,51(2),251-284。  new window
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28.Buhaug, Halvard(2006)。Relative Capability and Rebel Objective in Civil War。Journal of Peace Research,43(6),691-708。  new window
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31.Butler, Christopher、Gates, Scott(2009)。Asymmetry, Parity, and (Civil) War: Can International Theories of Power Help Us Understand Civil War?。International Interactions,35(3),330-340。  new window
32.Clayton, Govinda(2013)。Relative Rebel Strength and the Onset and Outcome of Civil War Mediation。Journal of Peace Research,50(5),609-622。  new window
33.Collier, Paul(2010)。The Political Economy of Natural Resources。Social Research,77(4),1105-1132。  new window
34.Cunningham, David E.、Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede、Salehyan, Idean(2009)。It Takes Two: A Dyadic Analysis of Civil War Duration and Outcome。Journal of Conflict Resolution,53(4),570-597。  new window
35.DeMeritt, Jacqueline H. R.、Young, Joseph K.(2013)。A Political Economy of Human Rights: Oil, Natural Gas, and State Incentives to Repress。Conflict Management and Peace Science,30(2),99-120。  new window
36.DeRouen Jr., Karl、Ferguson, Mark J.、Norton, Samuel、Park, Young Hwan、Lea, Jenna、Streat-Bartlett, Ashley(2010)。Civil War Peace Agreement Implementation and State Capacity。Journal of Peace Research,47(3),333-346。  new window
37.de Soysa, Indra、Fjelde, Hanne(2010)。Is the Hidden Hand an Iron Fist? Capitalism and Civil Peace, 1970-2005。Journal of Peace Research,47(3),287-298。  new window
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39.Fearon, James D.(2005)。Primary Commodity Export and Civil War。Journal of Conflict Resolution,49(4),483-507。  new window
40.Gent, Stephen(2011)。Relative Rebel Strength and Power Sharing in Intrastate Conflicts。International Interactions,37(2),215-228。  new window
41.Gilmore, Elisabeth、Gleditsch, Nils Petter、Lujala, Päivi、Rød, Jan Ketil(2005)。Conflict Diamonds: A New Dataset。Conflict Management and Peace Science,22(3),257-292。  new window
42.Haber, Stephen、Menaldo, Victor(2011)。Do Natural Resources Fuel Authoritarianism? A Reappraisal of the Resource Curse。American Political Science Review,105(1),1-26。  new window
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48.Lemke, Douglas、Reed, William(1996)。Regime Types and Status Quo Evaluations: Power Transition Theory and the Democratic Peace。International Interactions,22(2),143-164。  new window
49.Lujala, Päivi、Gleditsch, Nils Petter、Gilmore, Elisabeth(2005)。A Diamond Curse? Civil War and a Lootable Resource。Journal of Conflict Resolution,49(4),538-562。  new window
50.Miguel, Edward、Satyanath, Shanker、Sergenti, Ernest(2004)。Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict: An Instrumental Variables Approach。Journal of Political Economy,112(4),725-753。  new window
51.Morrow, James D.、Bruce Bueno de Mesquita,、Siverson, Randolph M.、Smith, Alastair(2008)。Retesting Selectorate Theory: Separating the Effects of W from Other Elements of Democracy。American Political Science Review,102(3),393-400。  new window
52.Rustad, Siri Aas、Binningsbø, Helga Malmin(2012)。A Price Worth Fighting for? Natural Resources and Conflict Recurrence。Journal of Peace Research,49(4),531-546。  new window
53.Smith, Benjamin B.(2004)。Oil Wealth and Regime Survival in the Developing World, 1960-1999。American Journal of Political Science,48(2),232-246。  new window
54.Sobek, David(2010)。Masters of Their Domains: The Role of State Capacity in Civil Wars。Journal of Peace Research,47(3),267-271。  new window
55.Svensson, Isak(2009)。Who Brings Which Peace? Neutral versus Biased Mediation and Institutional Peace Arrangements in Civil Wars。Journal of Conflict Resolution,53(3),446-469。  new window
56.Themnér, Lotta、Wallensteen, Peter(2014)。Armed Conflicts, 1946-2013。Journal of Peace Research,51(4),541-554。  new window
57.Toft, Monica Duffy(2007)。Population Shifts and Civil War: A Test of Power Transition Theory。International Interactions,33(3),243-269。  new window
58.Wegenast, Tim C.、Basedau, Matthias(2014)。Ethnic Fractionalization, Natural Resources and Armed Conflict。Conflict Management and Peace Science,31(4),432-457。  new window
59.Wood, Reed M.(2010)。Rebel Capacity and Strategic Violence against Civilians。Journal of Peace Research,47(5),601-614。  new window
60.Lemke, Douglas、Tammen, Ronald L.(2003)。Power Transition Theory and the Rise of China。International Interactions,29(4),269-271。  new window
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66.Liang, Kung-yee、Zeger, Scott L.(1986)。Longitudinal Data Analysis Using Generalized Linear Models。Biometrika,73(1),13-22。  new window
會議論文
1.童涵浦(2013)。威權制度的政治經濟學與中國研究:一般性研究框架芻議。全球化與在地性:中國研究與東南亞研究的比較與對話(系列會議),(會議日期: 2015/3/1)。臺北:中央研究院。1-12。  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.Collier, Paul、Goderis, Benedikt(2007)。Commodity Prices, Growth, and the Natural Resource Curse: Reconciling a Conundrum。University of Oxford, Centre for the Study of African Economies。  new window
圖書
1.Marshall, Monty G.、Gurr, Ted Robert、Jaggers, Keith(2013)。Polity IV Project: Dataset Users' Manual。College Park, MD:Center for Systemic Peace。  new window
2.Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede(2002)。All International Politics Is Local: The Diffusion of Conflict, Integration, and Democratization。Ann Arbor, MI:University of Michigan Press。  new window
3.Hartzell, Caroline A.、Hoddie, Matthew(2007)。Crafting Peace: Power Sharing Institutions and the Negotiated Settlement of Civil Wars。University Park, PA:Pennsylvania State University Press。  new window
4.Tammen, Ronald L.、Kugler, Jacek、Lemke, Douglas、Stam, Allan C. III、Abdollahian, Mark A.、Alsharabati, Carole、Efird, Brian、Organski, Abramo Fimo Kenneth(2000)。Power Transitions: Strategies for the 21st Century。Chatham House Publishers of Seven Bridges Press。  new window
5.Organski, A. F. Kenneth、Kugler, Jacek(1980)。The War Ledger。University of Chicago Press。  new window
6.Ross, Michael L.(2012)。The Oil Curse: How Petroleum Wealth Shapes the Development of Nations。Princeton University Press。  new window
其他
1.Central Intelligence Agency(2015)。The World Factbook,https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/, 。  new window
2.Clayton, Govinda(2015)。Rebels Attack Nigerian Oil Pipelines,http://edition.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/africa/07/28/nigeria.attack/index.html?section=cnn_latest, 2015/01/07。  new window
3.Freedom House(2015)。Freedom in the World 2014 Methodology,https://www.freedomhouse.org/report/freedom-world-2014/methodology#.VHVjOIuUej_, 2015/03/01。  new window
4.(20110807)。Libyan Rebels Strike Key Oil Pipeline,http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/africaandindianocean/libya/8687316/Libyan-rebels-strike-key-oil-pipeline.html, 2015/01/07。  new window
5.World Bank(2015)。World Development Indicators,http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/world-development-indicators, 2015/03/01。  new window
圖書論文
1.Alao, Abiodun(2011)。Natural Resources and the Dynamics of Conflicts in West Africa。ECOWAS and the Dynamics of Conflict and Peace-Building。Dakar, Senegal:Council for the Development of Social Science Resarch in Africa。  new window
 
 
 
 
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