:::

詳目顯示

回上一頁
題名:經濟情況與選民投票抉擇
書刊名:東吳政治學報
作者:黃秀端 引用關係
出版日期:1994
卷期:3
頁次:頁97-123
主題關鍵詞:投票經濟選民
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(25) 博士論文(4) 專書(2) 專書論文(1)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:25
  • 共同引用共同引用:82
  • 點閱點閱:260
在經濟與政治關係日益密切以及經濟對於我們日常生活之影響日益加深之今天,選民對於經濟情況的態度是否會影響其投票意向。乃是學者關切的課題。西方國家,特別是美國,在此方面的研究指出選民對於總體經濟情況之看法確實會影響其投票行為,且選民對於整體經濟情況之主觀看法,確實反映了國家客觀之經濟情況。 根據本文對於臺北縣立委選舉研究發現,選民對於國家經濟整體之看法以及對個人自身經濟狀況之評估皆與黨派抉擇呈現顯著之相關,但是相關係數並不高,而且當其它因素加入時,經濟之影響力便因此消失。 經濟因素對臺北縣選舉不具解釋力,可能與兩黨對於經濟問題之態度並不明顯,以及選民也不認為經濟問題是目前最重要最迫切需要解決之問題有關。在統獨問題和臺灣前途問題等象徵性議題仍舊是構成選舉中重要的主題時,經濟問題之影響力不易顯現是可以理解的。
With the expansion in the size and scope of government during this century there has surely been a concomitant increase in he electoral importance of the economy. In the last two decades hundred of public polls have shown that economic problems to be the major source of public concerns in most western democratic countries, particularly in the United States. Most studies indicated that votes who believed that the nation’s economy was doing well tend to support the incumbents, while those who believed that it had worsened tend to vote for the challengers. Moreover, massive swings in overall perception of the national economy occur in response to objective economic conditions. This paper intended to examine the impact of the voters’ responsiveness to changing economic conditions and perception of personal financial conditions on their party choices in Taipei county during the second term legislative election. According to the analysis of survey result, the author find that both pubic assessment of national economic conditions and perception of personal financial conditions are not very important in influencing voters’ decisions when compared with other variables, such as party identification, perception of party performance and other symbolic issues. Most people tend to view national identity and Taiwan’s future problem as the most important issues facing this country today, while they do not regard economic issue as an urgent condition. When national identity and Taiwan’s furure problems still constituted the major issue concern during the 1992 election, there is no supprise that the importance of economic variables has been downplayed.
期刊論文
1.MacKuen, Michael B.(1983)。Political Drama, Economic Conditions, and the Dynamics of Presidential Popularity。American Journal of Political Science,27(2),165-192。  new window
2.Abramowitz, Alan I.(1985)。Economic Conditions, Presidential Popularity, and Voing Behavior in Midterm Congressional Elections。Journal of Politics,47,31-34。  new window
3.Bloom, Howard S.、Price, H. Douglas(1975)。Voter Response to Short-run Economic Conditions: the Asymmetric Effect of Prosperity and Recession。American Political Science Review,69,1240-1254。  new window
4.Brody, Richard A.、Sniderman, Paul M.(1977)。From Life Space to Polling Place: The Relevance of Personal Concerns for Voting Behavior。British Journal of Political Science,7(3),337-360。  new window
5.Fair, Ray C.(1978)。The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President。Review of Economics and Statistics,60,159-173。  new window
6.Erikson, Robert S.(1989)。Economic Conditions and the Presidential Vote。American Political Science Review,83(2),567-573。  new window
7.Carmines, Edward G.、Stimson, James A.(1980)。The Two Faces of Issue Voting。American Political Science Review,79(1),78-91。  new window
8.Henski, Henry(1977)。The Impact of Economic Conditions on Presidential Popularity。Journal of Politics,39,764-773。  new window
9.Feldman, Stanley(1982)。Economic Self-interest and Political Behavior。American Journal of Political Science,26,446-466。  new window
10.Goodman, S.、Kramer, G.(1975)。Comment on Arcelus and Meltzer, the Effect of Aggregate Economic Conditions on Congressional Elections。American Political Science Review,69,1255-1265。  new window
11.Goodhart, C. A. E.、Bhansali, R. J.(1970)。Political Economy。Political Studies,18,43-106。  new window
12.Hibbs, Douglas A. Jr.(1979)。The Mass Public and Macroeconomic Performance: The Dynamics of Public Opinion toward Unemployment and Inflation。American Journal of Political Science,23(4),705-731。  new window
13.Kinder, Donald R.、Kiewiet, D. Roderick(1979)。Economic Discontent and Political Behavior: The Roleof Personal Grivances and Collective Economic Judgments in Congressional Voting。American Journal of Political Science,23,495-527。  new window
14.Kernell, Samuel(1978)。Explaining Presidential Popularity。American Political Science Review,72,502-522。  new window
15.Kinder, Donald R.、Kiewiet, D. Roderick(1981)。Sociotropic Politics: the American Case。British Journal of Political Science,11,129-161。  new window
16.Klortnan, Ricardo(1978)。Trend in Personal Finances and the Vote。Public Opinion Quarterly,42,31-48。  new window
17.Kirchgassner, Gebhard(1985)。Rationality, Causality and the Relation between Economic Conditions and the Popularity of Parties。European Economic Review,28,1-12。  new window
18.Kirchgassner, Gebhard(1985)。Causality Testing of the Popularity Function: An Empirical Investigation for the Federal Republic of Germany, 1971-1982。Public Choice,45,155-173。  new window
19.Kramer, Gerald(1971)。Short-term Fluctuations in U. S. Voting Behavior, 1896-1964。American Political Science Review,65,131-143。  new window
20.Lewis-Beck, Michael B.、Rice, Tom(1984)。Forcasting U. S. House Elections。Legislative Studies Quarterly,9,475-486。  new window
21.Lepper, Susan(1974)。Voting Behavior and Aggregate Policy Targets。Public Choice,18,67-81。  new window
22.Markus, Gregory B.(1992)。The Impact of Personal and National Economic Conditions on the Presidential Voting, 1956-1988。American Journal of Political Science,36(3),829-834。  new window
23.Markus, Gregory B.(1988)。The Impact of Personal and National Economic Conditions on the Presidential Vote: A Pooled Cross-sectional Analysis。American Jounal of Political Science,32(1),137-154。  new window
24.Nordhaus, William(1975)。The Political Business Cycle。Review of Economic Studies,42,169-190。  new window
25.Meehl, Paul(1977)。The Selfish Voter Paradox anc the Thrown-away Vote Argument。American Political Science Review,71,11-30。  new window
26.Powell, G. Bingham Jr.、Whitten, Guy D.(1993)。A Cross-National Analysis of Economic Voting: Taking Account of the Political Context。American Journal of Political Science,37(2),391-414。  new window
27.Norpoth, Helmut(1984)。Economics, Politics and the Cycle of Presidential Popularity。Political Behavior,6,252-273。  new window
28.Sears, David O.、Lau, Richard R.、Tyler, Tom R.(1975)。Self-Interest vs. Symbolic Politics in Policy Attitudes and Presidential Voting。American Political Science Review,74,670-684。  new window
29.Tufte, Edward(1975)。Determinants of the Outcomes of Congressional Elections。American Political Science Review,69,812-826。  new window
30.Weatherford, M. Stephen(1983)。Economic Voting and the "Symbolic Politics" Argument: A Reinterpretation and Synthesis。American Political Science Review,77,158-174。  new window
31.徐火炎(1991)。選民對政黨的評估態度與黨派投票抉擇。政治科學論叢,4(1),185-209。new window  延伸查詢new window
32.徐火炎(19911100)。政黨認同與投票抉擇:臺灣地區選民的政黨印象、偏好與黨派投票行為之分析。人文及社會科學集刊,4(1),1-57。new window  延伸查詢new window
會議論文
1.陳義彥、黃麗秋(1986)。選民政見取向的再探討。投票行為與選舉文化學術研討會。中國政治學會。  延伸查詢new window
2.游盈隆(1993)。當前民意的特質與結構--二屆國大選民的分析。台灣地區社會意向調查資料運用學術研討會。台北:中央研究院人文社會科學研究所。  延伸查詢new window
3.徐火炎(1993)。選民對政黨政治價值取向、政黨認同與黨派投票投擇:第二屆國大代表選舉選民的投票行為分析。台灣地區社會意向調查資料運用學術研討會。台北:中央研究院人文社會科學研究所。  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.雷飛龍、陳義彥(1991)。台灣地區選民的投票行為:一個理論模式的探索。國立政治大學選舉研究中心。  延伸查詢new window
2.雷飛龍、陳義彥(1987)。轉型社會中的投票行為:台灣地區選民的科際整合研究。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Alt, James、Chrystal, Alec(1983)。Political Economics。Berkeley:University of California Press。  new window
2.Berelson, B. R.、Lazarsfeld, P. F.、McPhee, W. N.(1954)。Voting。Chicago:University of Chicago。  new window
3.Blalock, Hubert M. Jr.(1979)。Social Statistics。New York:McGraw-Hill。  new window
4.Kiewiet, D. Roderick(1983)。Microeconomics & Micropolitics: The Electoral Effects of Economic Issues。Chicago:University of Chicago Press。  new window
5.Hibbs, Douglas A. Jr.(1987)。The American Political Economy。Cambridge:Harvard University Press。  new window
6.Schloaman, K.、Verba, S.(1979)。Injury to Insult。Cambridge:Harvard University Press。  new window
7.胡佛(1987)。選民的投票行為。中央選舉委員會。  延伸查詢new window
8.胡佛(1990)。選民的投票行為:民國七十五年增額立法委員選舉的分析。中央選舉委員會。  延伸查詢new window
9.Lewis-Beck, Michael(1988)。Economice and Elections: The Major Western Democracies。Ann Arbor:University of Michigan Press。  new window
10.Nachmias, David、Frankfort-Nachmias, Chava(1987)。Research Methods in the Social Sciences。New York:St. Martin's Press。  new window
11.Campbell, Angus、Converse, Philip E.、Miller, Warren E.、Stokes, Donald E.(1960)。The American Voter。New York:John Wiley and Sons, Inc.。  new window
圖書論文
1.Feldman, Stanley(1985)。Economic Self-interest and the Vote。Economic Conditions and Electoral Outcomes。New York:Agathon。  new window
2.Lafay, Jean-Dominique(1985)。Important Political Change and the Stability of the Popularity Function: Before and After the French Election of 1981。Economic Conditions and Electoral Outcomes。New York:Agathon。  new window
 
 
 
 
第一頁 上一頁 下一頁 最後一頁 top
:::
無相關著作
 
QR Code
QRCODE