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題名:臺灣的貨幣不確定與通貨膨脹關係之研究
書刊名:東吳經濟商學學報
作者:倪衍森 引用關係吳曼華 引用關係
作者(外文):Ni, Yen-senWu, Man-hwa
出版日期:2001
卷期:35
頁次:頁29-45
主題關鍵詞:貨幣貨幣波動通貨膨脹MoneyMoney volatilityInflation
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:29
  • 點閱點閱:32
本文使用1988年至1998年台灣的貨幣 (M2)與消費者物價指數之月資料,應用GARCH模型來產生貨幣波動的衡量且探討貨幣波動與通膨間的短期關係。實證結果發現:台灣的貨幣對通膨具有正向的影響,此外,從衝擊反應函數進一步的研究得知:貨幣波動的街擊對通膨有快速且劇烈的影響,其顯現穩定的貨幣政策將對經濟有所禆益,因為貨幣的波動性將會導致通貨膨脹且增加經濟的不穩定性。
The paper uses monthly data of money and consumer price index from January1988 to December 1998 for Taiwan. We use GARCH (1, 1) models to generate our measure of money volatility and then test the short-run dynamic relationship between money volatility and inflation. From our empirical results, we may reasonable conclude money volatility has significant, and positive effect on inflation. Furthermore, from the extensive study of impulse response functions, the results reveal that inflation reacts immediately and dramatically for monetary volatility shocks. It reveals that stable monetary policy will be better for economy, since uncertainty of money will cause inflation and fluctuation of economy.
期刊論文
1.吳聰敏、高櫻芬(19910300)。臺灣貨幣與物價長期關係之研究--1907年至1986年。經濟論文叢刊,19(1),23-71。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.Engle, Robert F.、Ng, Victor K.(1993)。Measuring and testing the impact of news on volatility。The Journal of Finance,48(5),1749-1778。  new window
3.Bollerslev, Tim(1986)。Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity。Journal of Econometrics,31(3),307-327。  new window
學位論文
1.趙志偉(199606)。貨幣政策對產出物價的非對稱性效果(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
其他
1.郭保良(1999)。臺灣物價膨脹率的長短期分析與貨幣市場結構。  延伸查詢new window
2.藍景恬(1996)。消費者物價與貨幣政策之關聯。  延伸查詢new window
3.Ball, L.(1992)。hy Does High Inflation Raise Inflation Uncertainty。  new window
4.Beaudry, Paul and Saito, Makoto.(1998)。stimating the Effects of Monetary Shocks: An Evaluation of Different Approaches。  new window
5.Ben, Siu-Cheong, Fung and Kasumovich, Marcel.(1998)。Monetary Shacks in the G6 Countries: Is There a Puzzle。  new window
6.Cukierman, A. and Meltzer, A(1986)。A Theory of Ambiguity, Credibility, and Inflation under Discretion and Asymmetric Information。  new window
7.Engle, P.. and Lee, G.(1993)。A Permanent and Transitory Component Model of Stock Returns Volatility。  new window
8.Fisher, Irving(1922)。The Purchasing Power of Money。  new window
9.Friedman, M.。Nobel Lecture: inflation arid Unemployment。  new window
10.Grier, K. and Crier, R(1998)。Inflation and Its Uncertainty in Mexico, 1960-1997。  new window
11.Grier, K. and Perry M(1998)。On Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in the G7Countries。  new window
12.Mishkin, E(1992)。The Economy of Money, Ranking, and Financial Market。  new window
13.Schultz, Henrik D.(1998)。Can Tighter Money Now Mean Higher Inflation Now。  new window
14.Sargent, Thomas J. and Neil Wallace(1981)。Some Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic。  new window
 
 
 
 
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