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題名：從1995-96年臺海危機論冷戰後中共的安全政策
書刊名：遠景基金會季刊
作者：張廖年仲
作者(外文)：Chang Liao, Nien-chung
出版日期：2005
卷期：6:2
頁次：頁185-222
主題關鍵詞：1995-96年臺海危機；中共；守勢現實主義；安全政策；冷戰後；1995-96 Taiwan strait crisis；PRC；Defensive realism；Security policy；Post-cold war
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
相關次數：
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(4) 博士論文(3) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:4
  • 共同引用共同引用:66
  • 點閱點閱:106
本文從守勢現實主義(defensive realism)的理論中推論出維持現狀、嚇阻戰略與昂貴信號，以作為檢視冷戰後中共安全政策的指標。本文從1995-96年臺海危機中論證：第一，中共的外交政策旨在維持既有的國際秩序，其對外的行為以維持現狀為主；第二，中共的國防政策屬於防禦性的，因此其戰略以嚇阻為主；第三，中共採取昂貴信號的作法，以表示其防禦性、維持現狀，或者是合作的意圖。所以，本文證明冷戰後的中國大陸追求自我防禦，其安全政策是屬於防禦性的。
From defensive realism theory, this article infers status-quo policy, deterrence strategy, and costly signals to estimate PRC Post-Cold War security policy. Empirically, this article examines the case of 1995-96 Taiwan Strait Crisis and concludes that: first, China engages status-quo foreign policy to maintain the international order; second, China's defense policy emphasizes on deterrence strategy; third, China adopts costly signals to unfold its defensive, status-quo, or cooperative intention. This article argues that, therefore, Post-Cold War China is a self-preserving state with defensive security policy.
期刊論文
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19.Zhao, Suisheng(1999)。Military Coercion and Peaceful Offence: Beijing's Strategy of National Reunification with Taiwan。Pacific Affairs，72(4)，495-512。  new window
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21.Herz, John H.(1950)。Idealist Internationalism and the Security Dilemma。World Politics，2(2)，157-180。  new window
22.Johnston, Alastair Iain(2003)。Is China a Status Quo Power?。International Security，27(4)，5-56。  new window
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25.Hopf, Ted(1991)。Polarity, The Offense-Defense Balance, and War。American Political Science Review，85，475-493。  new window
26.Glaser, Charles L.(1992)。Political Consequences of Military Strategy: Expanding and Refining the Spirl and Deterrance Models。World Politics，44，498-499。  new window
27.George, A. L.、McKeown, T. J.(1985)。Case Studies and Theories of Organizational Decision Marking。Advances in Information Processing in Organizations，2，21-58。  new window
28.Jervis, R.(1979)。Deterrence Theory Revisited。World Politics，31(2)，289-324。  new window
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32.王元綱(2004)。Taiwan's Democratization and Cross-Strait Security。Orbis，48(2)，293-304。  new window
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會議論文
1.裘兆琳(1998)。1995-1996年台海危機 : 華府、北京與台北之決策失誤檢討。臺北：中央研究院歐美研究所。99-143。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.Fearon, James D.(1992)。Threat to Use Force: Costly Signals and Bargaining in International Crises，Berkeley, CA。  new window
圖書
1.George, Alexander L.、Smoke, Richard(1974)。Deterrence in American Foreign Policy。New York：Columbia University Press。  new window
2.Perry, W. J.、Carter, A. B.(1999)。Preventive Defense: A New Security Strategy for America。Washington, D.C.：Brookings Institute Press。  new window
3.Powell, Robert(1999)。In the Shadow of Power: States and Strategies in International Politics。Princeton, New Jersey：Princeton University Press。  new window
4.Waltz, Kenneth N.(1979)。Theory of International Politic。Reading, Mass：Addison-Wesley Pub. Co。  new window
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24.Shulsky, Abram N.(2000)。Deterrence Theory and Chinese Behavior。RAND Press。  new window
25.Garver, J. W.(1997)。Face Off: China, the Unites States, and Taiwan's Democratization。Face Off: China, the Unites States, and Taiwan's Democratization。Seattle, WA。  new window
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28.Waltz, K. N.(1991)。Realist Thought and Neorealist Theory。The Evolution of Theory in International Relations: Essays in Honor of William T. R. Fox。Columbia, SC。  new window
29.George, A. L.(1994)。Coercive Diplomacy: Definition and Characteristics。The Limits of Coercive Diplomacy。Boulder。  new window
30.Johnston, Alastair Iain(1998)。International Structures and Chinese Foreign Policy。China and the World: Chinese Foreign Policy Faces the New Millennium。Boulder, CO。  new window
31.Chen, Qimao(1999)。The Taiwan Strait Crisis: Cause, Scenarios, and Solutions。Across the Taiwan Strait: Mainland China, Taiwan, and the 1995-1996 Crisis。New York, NY。  new window
32.Yānîv, Avnēr(1987)。Deterrence Without the Bomb: The Politics of Israeli Strategy。Lexington, Massachusetts：Lexington Books。  new window
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34.Sutter, Robert G.(1998)。Domestic Politics and the U.S.-China-Taiwan Triangle: The 1995-1996 Taiwan Strait Conflict and Its Aftermath。After the Cold War: Domestic Factors and U.S.-China Relations。Armonk, NY。  new window
圖書論文
1.Kim, Samuel S.(1998)。Chinese Foreign Policy in Theory and Practice。China and the World: Chinese Foreign Policy Faces the New Millennium。Boulder, CO：Westview Press。  new window
2.Pederson, Susan、Weeks, Stanley(1995)。A Survey of Confidence and Security Building Measures。Asia Pacific Confidence and Security Measures。Washington, DC：The Center for Strategic & International Studies。  new window
3.Grieco, Joesph M.(1993)。Understanding the Problem of International Cooperation: The Limits of Neoliberal Institutionalism and the Future of Realist Theor。Neorealism and Neoliberalism: The Contermporary Debate。New York：Columbia University Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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