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題名:外資對政治風險之反應之研究
書刊名:玄奘管理學報
作者:蔡育霖李彥賢林惠娜 引用關係
作者(外文):Tsai, Yu-linLee, Yen-hsienLin, Huina
出版日期:2007
卷期:4:2
頁次:頁1-18
主題關鍵詞:ARJI模型外資跳躍頻率跳躍機率ARJI modelQFIIJump frequencyJump probability
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:36
  • 點閱點閱:34
本文利用跳躍-擴散模型ARJI來探討外資在面對政治不確定性時所產生的異常跳動狀態和變異反應。經由模型估計出的跳躍頻率與跳躍機率加以印證政治的不確定性是否顯著的影響外資的行為?實證結果發現,政治的不確定性使外資買賣超跳躍機率增加,且跳躍頻率也較整個觀察期間的總平均提高。由跳躍過程所產生的變異來看,外資於政治不確定期間所引發的變異會受央行的限制。
This paper employs the ARJI model to discuss the abnormal jumping status and irregular reactions when foreign investment encounters the political uncertainty. The jump frequency and jump probability demonstrate the political uncertainty will have profound influence on the behavior of foreign investment. This paper shows that the political uncertainty will increase the jump probability and the jump frequency is also higher than the average of all samples the observed period. As far as the variation induced by jumping process, the variance induced by the foreign investment during the political uncertain period seems to be constraint by the central bank.
期刊論文
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3.聶建中、李文傳、洪榆雲(20040700)。金融風暴前後對先進國家之股匯市連動關係變化影響。中華管理學報,5(2),19-35。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Ball, C. A.、Torous, W. N.(1983)。A simplified jump process for common stock returns。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,18(1),53-65。  new window
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6.Kim, Harold Y.、Mei, Jianping P.(200112)。What Makes the Stock Market Jump? An Analysis of Political Risk on Hong Kong Stock Returns。Journal of International Money and Finance,20(7),1003-1016。  new window
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10.莊忠柱、王譯賢(20030900)。政黨輪替與股市大崩盤對股價報酬與波動性的影響--以日本為例。輔仁管理評論,10(3),163-179。new window  延伸查詢new window
11.Bakshi, Gurdip、Cao, Charles、Chen, Zhiwu(1997)。Empirical Performance of Alternative Option Pricing Models。Journal of Finance,52(5),2003-2049。  new window
12.Bento, J. L.(1999)。Jump Risk in the Stock Market: Evidence Using Political Information。Review of Financial Economics,8,149-163。  new window
13.Foerster, Steven R.、Schmitz, John J.(1997)。The Transmission of U.S. Election Cycles to International Stock Returns。Journal of International Business Studies,28(1),1-27。  new window
14.林丙輝、葉仕國(19990900)。臺灣股票價格非連續跳躍變動與條件異質變異之研究。證券市場發展,11(1)=41,61-92。new window  延伸查詢new window
15.Das, S. R.、Sundaram, R. K.(1999)。Of Smiles and Smirks: A Term Structure Perspective。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,34,211-240。  new window
16.Jorion, P.(1998)。On Jump Processes in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets。The Review of Financial Studies,1(4),427-445。  new window
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研究報告
1.Ostry, J. D.(1998)。Financial Market Contagion in the Asian Crisis。IMF。  new window
學位論文
1.廖榮達(2004)。選舉與亞洲金融風暴對台灣股匯市之跳躍風險(碩士論文)。淡江大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.凌明智(2004)。重大災難事件對股票市場之影響--以SARS疾病災難事件對台灣金融業為例(碩士論文)。國立高雄第一科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.謝育慈(1999)。金融風暴前後外資投入台灣股市之行為研究(碩士論文)。國立中央大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.陳威全(2002)。東南亞金融風暴與外資投資行爲之研究。銘傳大學。  延伸查詢new window
5.吳家祥(2002)。兩岸重大政治、軍事事件與台灣股價過度反應關係之研究。國防管理學院。  延伸查詢new window
6.林惠娜(2005)。重大事件對台灣股匯市之影響。淡江大學。  延伸查詢new window
7.張勝傑(1995)。外資買賣超資訊參考價値研究。國立中興大學。  延伸查詢new window
8.趙桂光(2005)。兩岸危機事件對台灣股匯市之跳躍風險。淡江大學。  延伸查詢new window
9.駱茂榮(2001)。外資買賣行爲及政治風險衡量對台灣股市的影響。淡江大學。  延伸查詢new window
10.陳進通(2001)。外資買賣超影響之研究。彰化師範大學。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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