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題名:考慮公司治理之企業財務危機預警模型
書刊名:東吳經濟商學學報
作者:林郁翎 引用關係黃建華
作者(外文):Lin, Yu-lingHuang, Chien-hua
出版日期:2009
卷期:64
頁次:頁23-55
主題關鍵詞:公司治理財務危機預警模型Logit模型Corporate governanceFinancial distress modelLogit model
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(10) 博士論文(1) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:10
  • 共同引用共同引用:293
  • 點閱點閱:91
由於亞洲企業多為家族及集團經營,且企業之財務報表數字常會透過不同的方法進行窗飾,藉此美化報表上資料,因而大幅地降低傳統僅考慮財務變數資料所建構之財務危機預警模型的預測效力,故本文研究目的即在於將公司治理層面變數納入財務危機預警模型建構之中,利用二元Logit 分析法,先以逐步迴歸法選取變數,再據而建構出三個不同之模型,分別為;僅考慮財務變數之模型、僅考慮公司治理變數之模型、同時考慮財務變數與公司治理變數之綜合模型,並比較其預測能力。實證結果顯示,單純考慮財務變數所建構之模型雖有不錯的預測能力,但若是能再加入公司治理變數所建構之綜合模型將會有更佳的預測財務危機發生效果。
Due to most of the enterprises in Asia are invested by bloc or family, and some company’s financial statements were window dressed through specific methods, the financial statements can be beautified, and this would reduce the exactness of prediction accuracy ratio of financial distress model considering only financial data. The purpose of this study is to establish the financial distress model considering the variables about corporate governance. Adopting binary Logit regression method and using stepwise regression method to determine the variables. We build up three models, the model only considering financial variables, the model only considering corporate governance variables, and the model considering financial variables and corporate governance variables respectively. Then, the comparisons of these models’ predictable ability were made. The study exhibited the model having the variables of corporate governance will increase the model’s performance.
期刊論文
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2.林金賢、陳育成、劉沂佩、鄭育書(20040600)。具學習性之模糊專家系統在財務危機預測上之應用。管理學報,21(3),291-309。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.Atiya, Amir F.(2001)。Bankruptcy Prediction for Credit Risk Using Neural Networks: A Survey and New Results。IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks,12(4),929-935。  new window
4.Daily, Catherine M.、Dalton, Dan R.(1993)。Board of Directors Leadership and Structure: Control and Performance Implications。Entrepreneurship: Theory and Practice,17(3),65-81。  new window
5.Zingles, L.、Rajan, R. G.(1998)。Which Capitalism? Lessons from the East Asian Crisis。Journal of Applied Corporate Finance,11(3),40-48。  new window
6.Beaver, W. H.(1966)。Financial Ratios as Predictors of Failure。Journal of Accounting Research,4(3),71-111。  new window
7.Merton, Robert C.(1974)。On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates。The Journal of Finance,29(2),449-470。  new window
8.Morck, Randall、Shleifer, Andrei、Vishny, Robert W.(1988)。Management Ownership and Market Valuation: An Empirical Analysis。Journal of Financial Economics,20(1/2),293-315。  new window
9.葉銀華、蘇裕惠、柯承恩、李德冠(20040100)。公司治理機制對於關係人交易的影響。證券市場發展季刊,15(4)=60,69-106。new window  延伸查詢new window
10.Lee, Tsun-Siou、Yeh, Yin-Hua(2004)。Corporate Governance and Financial Distress: Evidence from Taiwan。Corporate Governance: An International Review,12(3),378-388。  new window
11.Yeh, Yin-Hua、Lee, Tsun-Siou、Woidtke, Tracie(2001)。Family control and corporate governance: Evidence from Taiwan。International Review of Finance,2(1/2),21-48。  new window
12.La Porta, Rafael、López-de-Silanes, Florencio、Shleifer, Andrei(1999)。Corporate ownership around the world。Journal of Finance,54(2),471-517。  new window
13.Yermack, David(1996)。Higher market valuation of companies with a small board of directors。Journal of Financial Economics,40(2),185-211。  new window
14.Eisenberg, Theodore、Sundgren, Stefan、Wells, Martin T.(1998)。Larger board size and decreasing firm value in small firms。Journal of Financial Economics,48(1),35-54。  new window
15.Bhagat, Sanjai、Black, Bernard S.(2002)。The Non-Correlation Between Board Independence and Long-Term Firm Performance。Journal of Corporation Law,27(2),231-273。  new window
16.Patton, Arch、Baker, John C.(1987)。Why do not directors rock the boat?。Harvard Business Review,65(6),10-12。  new window
17.Ohlson, James A.(1980)。Financial Ratios and the Probabilistic Prediction of Bankruptcy。Journal of Accounting Research,18(1),109-131。  new window
18.Altman, Edward I.(1968)。Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis and the Prediction of Corporate Bankruptcy。The Journal of Finance,23(4),589-609。  new window
19.Daily, Catherine M.、Dalton, Dan R.(1994)。Bankruptcy and Corporate Governance: The Impact of Board Composition and Structure。Academy of Management Journal,37(6),1603-1617。  new window
20.Jensen, Michael C.、Ruback, Richard S.(1983)。The market for corporate control: The scientific evidence。Journal of Financial Economics,11(1-4),5-50。  new window
21.沈中華、陳錦村、吳孟紋(20050200)。更早期預警模型:臺灣銀行道德指標的建立及影響。管理學報,22(1),1-28。new window  延伸查詢new window
22.Jensen, Michael C.、Meckling, William H.(1976)。Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure。Journal of Financial Economics,3(4),305-360。  new window
23.Zmijewski, Mark E.(1984)。Methodological Issues Related to the Estimation of Financial Distress Prediction Models。Journal of Accounting Research,22(Supplement),59-82。  new window
24.沈大白、薛人瑞及高偉柏(2003)。「財務危機模型之校度檢驗研究」。貨幣觀測與信用評等,第四十期,74-86。  延伸查詢new window
25.溫育芳及吳鴻毅(2006)。「我國上市公司治理評等系統之建立」。金融風險管理季刊,第二卷第三期,1-28。  延伸查詢new window
26.Rashmi, M. and D. Malhotra(2003)。“Evaluating Consumer Loans Using Neural Networks.”。The International Journal of Management Science,31,no.2,83-96。  new window
27.Rezaee, Z.(2005)。“Causes, Consequence, and Deterrence of Financial Statement Fraud.”。Critical Perspective on Accounting,16,no.3,277-298。  new window
會議論文
1.Yeh, Y. H. and T. S. Lee(2002)。“Corporate Governance and Corporate Equity Investments: Evidence from Taiwan.”。Beijing, China。  new window
研究報告
1.Basel Committee on Banking Supervision(2005)。“Studies on the Validation of Internal Rating Systems.”。  new window
2.Bhagat, S. and B. Black(1997)。“Board Composition and Firm Performance: The Uneasy Case for Majority-Independent Boards.”。  new window
3.Lemmon, M. and K. Lins(2001)。“Ownership Structure, Corporate Governance, and Firm Value: Evidence from the East Asian Financial Crisis.”。  new window
4.Prowse, S.(1998)。“Corporate Governance: Emerging Issues and Lessons from East Asia.”。Washington, D.C。  new window
圖書
1.葉銀華、李存修、柯承恩(2013)。公司治理與評等系統。台北:智商文化。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.Fitzpatrick, P.(1932)。A Comparison of the Ratios of Successful Industrial Enterprises with those of Failed Companies。Washington:The Accountants Publishing Company。  new window
3.葉銀華(20050000)。蒸發的股王:領先發現地雷危機。臺北:商智文化。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Mays, E.(2001)。Handbook of Credit Scoring: the Basics of Scorecard Development and Validation, First Edition。  new window
5.Merwin, C.(1942)。Financing Small Corporations: In Five Manufacturing, 1926-1936 Industries。National Bureau of Economic Research。  new window
其他
1.櫃檯買賣中心(2002)。上市上櫃公司治理實務守則,http://www.otc.org.tw/storage/governance/上市上櫃公司治理實務守則.doc。  延伸查詢new window
圖書論文
1.Smith, R.、Winakor, A.(1935)。Changes in the Financial Structure of Successful Corporations。Bureau of Business Research。Urbana, IL:University of Illinois。  new window
 
 
 
 
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