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題名：老年人口的消費行為--以剛退休人口進行前後配對的實證研究
書刊名：臺灣經濟預測與政策
作者：蔡彣涓 引用關係
作者(外文)：Tsai, Wehn-jyuan
出版日期：2016
卷期：46:2
頁次：頁45-85
主題關鍵詞：生命週期理論；退休；消費；配對；Life cycle model；Retirement；Consumption；Matching
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(2) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:6
  • 點閱點閱:30
相對於人口老化所引發有關財政負擔的爭論，老年人口的消費行為與其福祉的變化則鮮少受到國際學者同等的關注。有鑑於此，本文使用行政院主計總處1996－2006年的「家庭收支調查」，研究老年人口的消費行為。本文以調查年度當年退休的男性戶長家庭做為實驗組；持續就業的男性戶長家庭做為向前配對的控制組、已退休的男性戶長家庭做為向後配對的控制組，且利用鄰近配對法，針對實驗組以及兩組控制組家庭進行前後配對，以藉此獲得一男性戶長特質（包括教育程度、年齡、健康狀態與投保身份等）與家庭結構相似但卻涵蓋生命週期各個階段的配對樣本。實證結果顯示居於財富分配第一等分位的家庭其「退休－消費」驟降的情形可能隱含相關家庭效用的減損。
It is widely acknowledged that population aging will exert intense fiscal pressure on public pension and health care programs. However, a focus on these financial costs has led to an unduly negative view of population ageing that neglects the well-being of older citizens. In this paper, we use the 1996- 2006 waves of the Family Income and Expenditure Survey to study the effect of retirement on household nondurable expenditures. We construct a novel matched dataset using the nearest neighbor matching method in which the just-retired household heads serve as a treatment group, and both the employed and the retired household heads serve as a forward-matching and backward-matching control group, respectively. The empirical results suggest that there is a one-off drop in food expenditures at the time of retirement for households in the lowest wealth tertile. These results therefore imply that the quantity of food intake did deteriorate with retirement status for relatively poor households.
期刊論文
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2.Carroll, Christopher D.(1997)。Buffer-stock Saving and the Life Cycle/Permanent Income Hypothesis。The Quarterly Journal of Economics，112(1)，1-55。  new window
3.Smith, Jeffrey A.、Todd, Petra E.(2005)。Does matching overcome LaLonde's critique of nonexperimental estimators?。Journal of Econometrics，125(1/2)，305-353。  new window
4.詹維玲(20090300)。臺灣生命循環消費與退休。臺灣經濟預測與政策，39(2)，129-159。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.De Nardi, Mariacristina、French, Eric、Jones, John Bailey(2010)。Why Do the Elderly Save? The Role of Medical Expenses。Journal of Political Economy，118(1)，39-75。  new window
6.Bonin, H.、Dohmen, T.、Falk, A.、Huffman, D.、Sunde, U.(2007)。Cross-Sectional Earnings Risk and Occupational Sorting: The Role of Risk Attitudes。Labour Economics，14(6)，926-937。  new window
7.Deaton, Angus S.(1991)。Saving and Liquidity Constraints。Econometrica，59(5)，1221-1248。  new window
8.江莉莉(19990900)。預防性儲蓄與全民健康保險。經濟論文叢刊，27(3)，337-357。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.Abadie, A.、Drukker, D.、Herr, J. L.、Imbens, G. W.(2004)。Implementing Matching Estimators for Average Treatment Effects in Stata。Stata Journal，4(3)，290-311。  new window
10.Aguiar, M.、Hurst, E.(2005)。Consumption versus Expenditure。Journal of Political Economy，113(5)，919-948。  new window
11.Ameriks, J.、Caplin, A.、Leahy, J.(2007)。Retirement Consumption: Insights from a Survey。Review of Economics and Statistics，89(2)，265-274。  new window
12.Aysan, M. F.、Beaujot, R.(2009)。Welfare Regimes for Aging Populations: No Single Path for Reform。Population and Development Review，35(4)，701-720。  new window
13.Banks, J.、Blundell, R.、Tanner, S.(1998)。Is There a Retirement-Savings Puzzle?。American Economic Review，88(4)，769-788。  new window
14.Battistin, E.、Brugiavini, A.、Rettore, E.、Weber, G.(2009)。The Retirement Consumption Puzzle: Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Approach。American Economic Review，99(5)，2209-2226。  new window
15.Bernheim, B. D.、Skinner, J.、Weinberg, S.(2001)。What Accounts for the Variation in Retirement Wealth among U.S. Households?。American Economic Review，91(4)，832-857。  new window
16.Blau, D. M.(2008)。Retirement and Consumption in a Life Cycle Model。Journal of Labor Economics，26(1)，35-71。  new window
17.Bommier, A.、Lee, R.、Miller, T.、Zuber, S.(2010)。Who Wins and Who Loses? Public Transfer Accounts for U.S. Generations Born 1850 to 2090。Population and Development Review，36(1)，1-26。  new window
18.Browning, M.、Crossley, T. F.(2001)。The Life-Cycle Model of Consumption and Saving。Journal of Economic Perspectives，15(3)，3-22。  new window
19.Browning, M.、Lusardi, A.(1996)。Household Saving: Micro Theories and Micro Facts。Journal of Economic Literature，34(4)，1797-1855。  new window
20.Cameron, L. A.、Cobb-Clark, D.(2008)。Do Coresidency and Financial Transfers from the Children Reduce the Need for Elderly Parents to Works in Developing Countries?。Journal of Population Economics，21(4)，1007-1033。  new window
21.Carroll, C. D.(1994)。How Does Future Income Affect Current Consumption?。Quarterly Journal of Economics，109(1)，111-147。  new window
22.Case, A.、Deaton, A.(1998)。Large Cash Transfers to the Elderly in South Africa。Economic Journal，108(450)，1330-1361。  new window
23.Davies, J. B.(1981)。Uncertain Lifetime, Consumption, and Dissaving in Retirement。Journal of Political Economy，89(3)，561-577。  new window
24.Gerdtham, U.-G.、Lundin, D.、Saez-Marti, M.(2005)。The Ageing of Society, Health Services Provision and Taxes。Journal of Population Economics，18(3)，519-537。  new window
25.Hahn, Jinyong(1998)。On the Role of the Propensity Score in Efficient Semiparametric Estimation of Average Treatment Effects。Econometrica，66(2)，315-331。  new window
26.Hamermesh, D. S.(1984)。Consumption during Retirement: The Missing Link in the Life Cycle。The Review of Economics and Statistics，66(1)，1-7。  new window
27.Hamermesh, D. S.(1984)。Life-Cycle Effects on Consumption and Retirement。Journal of Labor Economics，2(3)，353-370。  new window
28.Hurd, M. D.(1989)。Mortality Risk and Bequests。Econometrica，57(4)，779-813。  new window
29.Kiley, M. T.(2010)。Habit Persistence, Nonseparability between Consumption and Leisure, or Rule-of-Thumb Consumers: Which Accounts for the Predictability of Consumption Growth?。Review of Economics and Statistics，92(3)，679-683。  new window
30.Lührmann, M.(2010)。Consumer Expenditures and Home Production at Retirement--New Evidence from Germany。German Economic Review，11(2)，225-245。  new window
31.Smith, S.(2006)。The Retirement-Consumption Puzzle and Involuntary Early Retirement: Evidence from the British Household Panel Survey。Economic Journal，116(510)，C130-C148。  new window
32.Rosenbaum, P. R.、Rubin, D. B.(1984)。Reducing bias in observational studies using subclassification on the propensity score。Journal of the American Statistical Association，79(387)，516-524。  new window
研究報告
1.Laitner, J.、Silverman, D.(2005)。Estimating Life-Cycle Parameters from Consumption Behavior at Retirement。  new window
學位論文
1.黃婉嘉(2009)。退休後的消費難題--臺灣的實證分析(178)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Modigliani, F.(2005)。The Collected Papers of Franco Modigliani。Cambridge, MA：The MIT Press。  new window
2.OECD(1998)。Maintaining Prosperity in an Ageing Society。Paris：OECD。  new window
3.OECD(2000)。Reforms for an Ageing Society。Paris：OECD。  new window
圖書論文
1.Modigliani, Franco、Brumberg, R.(1954)。Utility Analysis and the Consumption Function: An Interpretation of Cross-section Data。Post Keynesian Economics。New Brunswick, NJ：Rutgers University Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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