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題名:2013年美國職棒大聯盟影響勝場數之魔球模式探索
書刊名:運動教練科學
作者:謝仁瑋徐茂洲 引用關係
作者(外文):Hsieh, Jen-weiHsu, Mao-chou
出版日期:2016
卷期:41
頁次:頁9-22
主題關鍵詞:魔球美國職棒大聯盟上壘率Money ballMajor League BaseballOn base percentage
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(4) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:4
  • 共同引用共同引用:49
  • 點閱點閱:11
目的:職棒薪資不斷迅速地擴張,如何控管團隊薪資總額又能兼顧球隊戰績的經營方式自然成為顯學,而本研究目的探討之「魔球模式」在這樣的時空背景下所提出的一項經營理論。方法:偏最小平方法(partial least squares, PLS)有幾項優點如小樣本分析、形成型指標、理論模式探索分析,而本研究2013年美國大聯盟魔球模式中樣本數只有30支球隊,本研究方法以偏最小平方法(PLS)分析「上壘率」、「長打率」、「打擊率」、「得分」、「保送三振比」等五項攻擊指數來預測「勝場數」。五項攻擊指數屬於形成型指標。而魔球模式處於探索及解釋性研究,無充分理論基礎,因此本研究符合PLS的應用原則。結果:研究結果顯示僅「上壘率」顯著影響「勝場數」;並根據研究結果提出具體建議提供相關單位參考。
Purpose: As the salaries of professional baseball players continue to increase, determining how to manage the gross salary of the team while maintaining the competitiveness of the team has become a prominent subject. The "Money Ball Theory" that this research purpose tends to explore is a managerial theory born under this circumstance. Methods: Partial least squares (PLS) has several strengths, such as the small sample size for analysis, formative indicators and theory pattern exploratory analysis. In this study, there are only thirty teams in the 2013 Major League Baseball season. The research methods used PLS to analyze the five offensive indicators: base percentage, slugging percentage, batting average and runs, walk-to-strikeout ratio (BB/ SO), the researcher predicts that the number of wins was a formative indicator. As the Money Ball theory was still an exploratory and interpretive approach, it does not have a strong theoretical foundation, this consequently enables the research to achieve the application principle of PLS. Results: The results of the study present that only the "on base percentage" has a significant influence on the number of wins. Suggestions based on the result are also provided as reference to the relevant units.
期刊論文
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17.Stone, G.、Pantuosco, L. J.(2008)。Estimating baseball salary equations from 1961-2005: A look at changes in major league compensation。International Journal of Sport Finance,3(4),228-238。  new window
18.李俞麟、施致平、黃蕙娟(20111200)。美國職業棒球大聯盟球隊績效評估之研究。臺灣體育運動管理學報,11(4),317-335。new window  延伸查詢new window
19.陳逸政(20121200)。美國職業棒球大聯盟球隊薪資結構與績效之探討。運動教練科學,28,37-48。new window  延伸查詢new window
20.黃元鶴(20070300)。圖書資訊領域期刊引用影響之結構方程模式分析。教育資料與圖書館學,44(3),259-273。new window  延伸查詢new window
21.雷文谷、吳靜怡(2010)。美國職業大聯盟球隊薪資與球隊戰績之相關研究。嘉大體育健康休閒期刊,9(2),14-25。new window  延伸查詢new window
22.廖清海、楊世達(20100300)。運動表現與薪資之關聯性探討--以中華職棒大聯盟十九年為例。運動與遊憩研究,4(3),57-67。new window  延伸查詢new window
23.劉振家、陳育成、黃德舜(20090600)。職業運動選手薪資及其影響因素分析--美國、日本、韓國、臺灣職業棒球聯盟之比較。休閒事業研究,7(2),87-105。new window  延伸查詢new window
24.Cohen, J.(1994)。The earth is round (p<.05)。American Psychologist,49(12),997-1003。  new window
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圖書
1.Coakley, J. J.(2004)。Sport in society: Issues and controversies。Boston, MA:McGraw-Hill。  new window
2.Lewis, M.、游宜樺(2008)。魔球--逆境中致勝的智慧。臺北市:早安財經。  延伸查詢new window
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其他
1.李衡昕(2010)。全民瘋量化:淺談棒球統計學,http://blog.yam.com/hamiltonca/article/28715822。  延伸查詢new window
2.Baseball Almanac(2014)。Major League Baseball salaries,http://www.baseball-almanac.com/charts/salary/major_league_salaries.shtml。  new window
3.CBS Sports(2013)。Report: Dodgers to make more than billion from TV contract,http://www.cbssports.com。  new window
4.Entertainment Sports Programming Network(2012)。MLB completes new TV deals,http://espn.go.com。  new window
5.Entertainment Sports Programming Network(2013)。MLB attendance report - 2013,http://espn.go.com。  new window
6.Plunkett Research(2013)。Sport industry research,http://www.plunkettresearch.com/。  new window
圖書論文
1.Chin, Wynne W.(1998)。The partial least squares approach for structural equation modeling。Modern Methods for Business Research。Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Inc.。  new window
 
 
 
 
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