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題名:Geographical Voting Bases and the Stability of Candidates' Voter Coalitions (1989-1998)
書刊名:選舉研究
作者:Batto, Nathan
出版日期:2001
卷期:8:1
頁次:頁211-251
主題關鍵詞:兢選策略政治版圖選舉地盤選舉穩定性Campaign strategyPolitical geographyElectoral baseElectoral stability
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(11) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:11
  • 共同引用共同引用:27
  • 點閱點閱:17
在台灣,許多研究者認為因為多數立法委員享有雄厚的基層實力,所以在不同選舉中,可獲得機乎同一批選民的支持,此篇論文即著眼於,檢證這個假設。此篇論文所採用的研究方法是分析候選人得票率最高的地區,在此地區尋找不穩定的蹟象。 大體而言,我們發現多數候選人的支持基礎並不穩定。於不同次選舉之間,候選人的地盤可能發生不少變動。換言之,有不少候選人是依賴相異的票源基礎而連任。影響候選人地盤穩定最重要的變數是候選人故鄉人口的多寡。來自較大鄉鎮市的候選人,地盤較為穩定。
It is generally assumed that strong grassroots support ensures that Taiwanese legislators get support from the same voters over repeated elec-tions. This paper attempts to test this hypothesis. We look at each candi-date's strongest areas in each election. By comparing these areas over several elections, we can search for evidence of instability in his or her vote support. In general, we find that there is far less stability in support patterns than might be expected. It is rare that all of a candidate's strongest areas in one election are included in his or her strongest areas in subsequent elections. In other words, many legislators have been elected and re-elected with significantly different patterns of support. For the over-whelming majority of candidates, the crucial variable in determining sta-bility is the size of their hometowns. Candidates from large townships generally have more stable support, while those from smaller townships have less stable support.
期刊論文
1.Ames, Barry(1995)。Electoral Strategy Under Open-List Proportional Representation。American Journal of Political Science,39(2),406-433。  new window
2.Ames, Barry(1995)。Electoral Rules, Constituency Pressures, and Pork Barrel: Bases of Voting in the Brazilian Congress。Journal of Politics,57(2),324-343。  new window
3.盛杏湲(19981100)。政黨配票與侯選人票源的集散度:一九八三年至一九九五年臺灣地區立法委員選舉的分析。選舉研究,5(2),73-102。new window  延伸查詢new window
會議論文
1.劉義周(1986)。國民黨責任區輔選制的效果:七十四年台北市議員選舉候選人得票率之分析。投票行為與選舉文化研討會,(會議日期: 9月7日)。台北:中國政治學會。417-451。  延伸查詢new window
2.劉義周(1991)。國民黨責任區輔選制效果之研究。政黨政治與憲政民主學術研討會。台北:民主基金會。  延伸查詢new window
3.朱雲漢(1994)。政黨競爭、衝突結構與民主鞏固:二屆立委選舉的政治效應分析。「民主化、政黨政治與選舉」學術研討會,台灣大學政治學系「選舉行為研究計劃小組」主辦 (會議日期: 1994/07/08)。臺北:國立台灣大學政治學研究所選舉行為研究小組。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.鮑彤(1999)。選舉地盤:候選人票源凝聚程度之分析(碩士論文)。國立政治大學,臺北。  延伸查詢new window
2.陳陸輝(1995)。中國國民黨黃復興黨部輔選效果之研究(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.Liu, I-Chou(1990)。The Electoral Effect of Social Context Control on Voters: The Case of Taipei, Taiwan(博士論文)。University of Michigan。  new window
圖書
1.Key, V. O. Jr.(1949)。Southern Politics in State and Nation。New York, NY:Alfred A. Knopf。  new window
 
 
 
 
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