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題名：臺北市公共住宅對周圍住宅價格之影響
書刊名：都市與計劃
作者：黃怡潔／江穎慧／張金鶚 引用關係
作者(外文)：Huang, Yi-jie／Chiang, Ying-hui／Chang, Chin-oh
出版日期：2017
卷期：44:3
頁次：頁277-302
主題關鍵詞：公共住宅；房價；空間迴歸模型；分量迴歸模型；Public housing；Property values；Spatial regression；Quantile regression
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(5) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
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  • 共同引用共同引用:129
  • 點閱點閱:29
近年臺北市政府試圖藉由興建公共住宅，解決住宅價格高漲影響人民居住問題，然附近居民往往認為公共住宅會造成周圍住宅生活環境品質低落及價格下跌，反對其於住家鄰近興建。過去國內缺乏以實證方式計算公共住宅對周圍住宅價格之影響；而國外相關研究雖有利用量化實證公共住宅與周圍房價關係，然多針對個別公共住宅社區為研究對象，對不同類型公共住宅及其對不同高低房價住宅之影響與差異，缺乏更全面的探討分析。 本文應用特徵價格理論傳統迴歸模型、空間迴歸模型及分量迴歸模型，並以 2012年 7月至 2015年 9月之不動產實價登錄交易資料進行實證分析，研究整建住宅、出售國宅、出租國宅、公營出租住宅等四類不同時期公共住宅，於 100~300公尺不同影響範圍下，分別對周圍住宅價格的影響效果。實證結果顯示，附近有早期興建之整建住宅及出租國宅者，其住宅總價皆呈現顯著下跌現象，分別下跌約 1.7%至 8.9%及 1.5%至 7.7%；附近有出售國宅之住宅總價漲跌情形不顯著；而近期興建之公營出租住宅則造成周圍住宅價格顯著上漲約 1.7%至7.7%；又前述影響程度皆隨影響範圍擴大而隨之減輕。進一步分析不同影響範圍下對其周圍高低總價住宅的影響，公營出租住宅對周圍低價住宅正向提升效果為 6.2%至 7.1%，皆大於高價住宅之無顯著影響至 3.2%。由新推出的公營出租住宅對周圍房價造成正面影響的實證結果，應可釐清公共住宅外部性之正向效果，有助後續公共住宅的興建。
In recent years, the Taiwan government has built public housing to solve problems caused by soaring house prices. However, public housing is limited by the NIMBY effect. Nearby residents believe that public housing will detrimentally affect property values and oppose public housing to be built nearby. There were short of empirical studies that focus on the effects of public housing on nearby property in Taiwan. Besides, empirical studies in other countries have only focused on specific public housing projects. Few have compared different effects caused by different types of public housing, and ignore different effects on nearby property with different values. To analyze the effect of resettled tenements, public housing for rent and for sale as well as social housing in different ranges on nearby property values, this study used hedonic price theory OLS, spatial and quantile regression as model, and selected the sale price of real estate in Taipei City from July 2012 to September 2015 as sample. The regression modeling results showed that, although resettled tenement and public housing for rent detrimentally affect the property values by 1.7% to 8.9% and 1.5% to 7.7% separately, public housing for sale does not affect the property values significantly, and social housing positively affects the property values by 1.7% to 7.7% on the contrary. In addition, these effects decline with distance from public housing. Analyses of effects on high and low priced property in different ranges showed that social housing positively affects low-priced property by 6.2% to 7.1% and no significant effect to 3.2% on high-priced property. Therefore, recently built social housing is not expected to have a detrimental effect on nearby property values. Empirical results showed that newly built social housing enhances nearby property values, which then contribute to the follow-up construction of the public housing.
期刊論文
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4.胡志平、林帝佑(20130600)。住宅標籤化與社區意識及維護績效路徑分析--結構方程模型應用。住宅學報，22(1)，81-105。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.張怡文、江穎慧、張金鶚(20090900)。分量迴歸在大量估價模型之應用--非典型住宅估價之改進。都市與計劃，36(3)，281-304。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.Fischel, W. A.(2001)。Why Are There NIMBYs?。Land Economics，77(1)，144-152。  new window
7.林祖嘉、林素菁(19920100)。臺灣地區環境品質與公共設施對房價與房租影響之分析。住宅學報，1，21-45。new window  延伸查詢new window
8.廖仲仁、張金鶚(20060300)。不對稱的仲介服務價格效果：分量迴歸法之檢驗。都市與計劃，33(1)，1-16。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.洪幸妙、張金鶚(19930400)。住宅管理維護對住宅品質之影響研究。都市與計劃，20(1)，1-22。new window  延伸查詢new window
10.Liao, W. C.、Wang, X.(2012)。Hedonic house prices and spatial quantile regression。Journal of Housing Economics，21(1)，16-27。  new window
11.沈孟穎、傅朝卿(20150600)。臺灣「國民」住宅設計與現代住居空間再現。住宅學報，24(1)，55-88。new window  延伸查詢new window
12.蕭閎偉、林建元、白仁德(20131200)。日本部落地區之人權社區營造：淺香町的案例。都市與計劃，40(4)，355-384。new window  延伸查詢new window
13.Albright, L.、Derickson, E. S.、Massey, D. S.(2013)。Do affordable housing projects harm suburban communities? Crime, property values, and taxes in Mount Laurel, NJ。City and Community，12(2)，89-112。  new window
14.De Salvo, J. S.(1974)。Neighborhood upgrading effects of middle-income housing projects in New York City。Journal of Urban Economics，1(3)，269-277。  new window
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16.Du Preez, M.、Sale, M.(2013)。The impact of social housing developments on nearby property prices: A Nelson Mandela Bay case study。South African Journal of Economics，81(3)，451-466。  new window
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18.Galster, G. C.、Tatian, P.、Smith, R.(1999)。The impact of neighbors who use Section 8 certificates on property values。Housing Policy Debate，10(4)，879-917。  new window
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29.楊宗憲、蘇倖慧(20111200)。迎毗設施與鄰避設施對住宅價格影響之研究。住宅學報，20(2)，61-80。new window  延伸查詢new window
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研究報告
1.中華民國住宅學會(2008)。臺北市公有住宅資源運用策略規劃案。臺北：中華民國住宅學會。  延伸查詢new window
2.張金鶚(1990)。住宅問題與住宅政策之研究。臺北：內政部營建署。  延伸查詢new window
3.行政院(2014)。社會住宅中長期推動方案暨第一期實施計畫（第一次修正）。臺北：行政院。  延伸查詢new window
4.臺北市政府都市發展局(2004)。中華民國九十三年臺北市國宅統計年報。臺北：臺北市政府都市發展局。  延伸查詢new window
5.Cummings, P. M.、Landis, J. D.(1993)。Relationships between affordable housing developments and neighboring property values。Institute of urban and regional development, University of California at Berkeley。  new window
圖書
1.Kuan, Chung-Ming(2007)。An Introduction to Quantile Regression。Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica。  new window
2.林萬億(2012)。臺灣的社會福利：歷史經驗與制度分析。臺北市：五南圖書出版公司。  延伸查詢new window
3.行政院內政部(2011)。社會住宅短期實施方案。臺北：行政院內政部。  延伸查詢new window
4.Goetz, E.、Lam, H. K.、Heitlinger, A.(1996)。There Goes the Neighborhood? The Impact of Subsidized Multi-Family Housing on Urban Neighborhoods。Minneapolis：Center for Urban and Regional Affairs, University of Minnesota。  new window
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其他
1.臺北市政府都市發展局(2013)。公營住宅常見問題，http://www.housing.gov.taipei/h_FAQ.aspx?categoryId=3。  延伸查詢new window
2.臺北市政府都市發展局(2014)。臺北市出租住宅行動綱領，http://www.housing.gov.taipei/h_download.aspx。  延伸查詢new window
圖書論文
1.Malpezzi, S.(2003)。Hedonic Pricing Models: A Selective and Applied Review。Housing Economics and Public Policy: Essays in Honor of Maclennan。Oxford：Blackwell。  new window
2.Chang, C. O.、Yuan, S. M.(2013)。Public housing policy in Taiwan。The Future of Public Housing: Ongoing Trends in The East and The West。Heidelberg：Springer。  new window
 
 
 
 
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