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題名:風險態度之估計及其對猜題傾向的影響--以生物科選擇題為例
書刊名:教育與心理研究
作者:陳智修顏乃欣
作者(外文):Chen, Chih-hsiuYen, Nai-shing
出版日期:2018
卷期:41:4
頁次:頁1-32
主題關鍵詞:風險態度倒扣計分展望理論猜題學科能力Risk attitudeRights minus wrongs scoring methodProspect theoryGuessingAcademic ability
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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不少測驗會採用倒扣計分來抑制考生在選擇題的猜題行為。晚近研究結合決策理論與試題反應理論,發現在此計分方式下,考生風險態度會對其猜題傾向(答題行為)產生偏誤。但這些研究多不是實地研究,且經常忽略決策框架與學科能力對風險態度解釋力的影響。基於晚近研究的啟示與限制,本研究目的為:一、結合展望理論與試題反應理論,並用真實測驗資料,估計考生的風險態度與損失態度;二、應用本研究估計所得的風險態度及相關變項,探究不同決策框架下,學科能力如何調節風險態度對猜題傾向的解釋力。本研究以5,000位考生在大學指定考試生物科單選題的各題答題反應,做為估計其風險態度與損失態度的材料,發現本研究估計所得的風險態度與損失態度值,雖小於Tversky與Kahneman(1992)所估計者,但仍在其他相關研究的估計範圍內。此外,本研究也以上述5,000位考生中的3,765人為樣本,透過階層多元迴歸分析與Johnson-Neyman技術,進一步發現:在得框架題,學科能力愈高者,其風險態度對猜題傾向的解釋力愈大;在失框架題,學科能力愈低者,其風險態度的解釋力愈大。本研究的發現,不僅對考試實務工作深具啟示,也能應用於測驗與評量研究。
The ‘rights minus wrongs’ scoring method is often utilized to correct for guessing in multiple-choice items. Recently, by integrating decision theory with Item Response Theory, several studies have suggested that this scoring method may introduce guessing tendency (item response) biases through examinees’ risk attitude. However, none of these studies are field research and have investigated the effect of decision framing and academic ability on the prediction of risk attitude. Based on Prospect Theory and Item Response Theory, the first purpose of this study was to estimate the examinees’ risk attitude and loss attitude from high-stakes test data. By the estimated risk attitude and other variables, the second purpose of this study focused on how academic ability moderates risk attitude prediction about guessing tendency. The material for estimating risk attitude and loss attitude was 5,000 examinees’ multiple-choice item response data in Department Required Biology Test for college entrance. The estimates for risk attitude and loss attitude in the present study were lower than those Tversky and Kahneman (1992) estimated, but still in the interval that most related studies showed. For the second purpose of this study, 3,765 samples were drawn from the 5,000 examinees mentioned above, and their academic ability and guessing tendency were further estimated. To reveal the moderator effect of academic ability, hierarchical multiple regression and Johnson-Neyman technique were conducted in different decision frames. The results revealed that, in the gain frame, higher ability examinee’s risk attitude had more impact on guessing tendency. On the contrary, in the loss frame, lower ability examinee’s risk attitude had more impact. The findings in the study not only had far-reaching implications for examination practice but also could be applied to testing and assessment research.
期刊論文
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4.邱耀初(20030600)。框架效應存在嗎?籌碼效應對風險決策之影響。中華心理學刊,45(2),171-182。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.林新沛(20050600)。標準化迴歸係數的正確解釋。中山管理評論,13(2),533-548。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.Hayes, A. F.、Matthes, J.(2009)。Computational procedures for probing interactions in OLS and logistic regression: SPSS and SAS implementations。Behavior Research Methods,41(3),924-936。  new window
7.Dawson, Jeremy F.(2014)。Moderation in management research: What, why, when and how。Journal of Business and Psychology,29(1),1-19。  new window
8.Ronay, Richard、Kim, Do-Yeong(2006)。Gender differences in explicit and implicit risk attitudes: A socially facilitated phenomenon。British Journal of Social Psychology,45(2),397-419。  new window
9.王文中(20041200)。Rasch測量理論與其在教育和心理之應用。教育與心理研究,27(4),637-694。new window  延伸查詢new window
10.San Martín, E.、Del Pino, G.、De Boeck, P.(2006)。IRT models for ability-based guessing。Applied Psychological Measurement,30(3),193-203。  new window
11.Gong, B.、Yang, C. L.(2012)。Gender differences in risk attitudes: Field experiments on the matrilineal Mosuo and the patriarchal Yi。Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization,83(1),59-65。  new window
12.Best, R.、Charness, N.(2015)。Age differences in the effect of framing on risky choice: A meta-analysis。Psychology and Aging,30(3),688-698。  new window
13.Branas-Garza, P.、Smith, J.(2016)。Cognitive abilities and economic behavior。Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics,64(c),1-4。  new window
14.Budescu, D.、Bo, Y. C.(2015)。Analyzing test-taking behavior: Decision theory meets psychometric theory。Psychometrika,80(4),1105-1122。  new window
15.Espinosa, María Paz、Gardeazabal, Javier(20130700)。Do Students Behave Rationally in Multiple Choice Tests? Evidence from a Field Experiment。經濟與管理論叢,9(2),107-135。  new window
16.Harinck, F.、Van Dijk, E.、Van Beest, I.、Mersmann, P.(2007)。When gains loom larger than losses - Reversed loss aversion for small amounts of money。Psychological Science,18(12),1099-1105。  new window
17.Lesage, E.、Valcke, M.、Sabbe, E.(2013)。Scoring methods for multiple choice assessment in higher education - Is it still a matter of number right scoring or negative marking?。Studies in Educational Evaluation,39(3),188-193。  new window
18.McGraw, A. P.、Larsen, J. T.、Kahneman, D.、Schkade, D.(2010)。Comparing gains and losses。Psychological Science,21(10),1438-1445。  new window
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會議論文
1.Kurz, T. B.(1999)。A review of scoring algorithms for multiple-choice tests。The Annual Meeting of the Southwest Educational Research Association。San Antonio, TX。  new window
圖書
1.余民寧(2009)。試題反應理論(IRT)及其應用。心理。  延伸查詢new window
2.邱皓政(2012)。量化研究法(三):測驗原理與量表發展技術。臺北市:雙葉書廊有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
3.簡茂發、沈青嵩、洪冬桂、吳煌榮、區雅倫、朱惠文、林秀慧(2010)。大學入學指定科目考試答錯倒扣計分之探討。臺北市:大學入學考試中心。  延伸查詢new window
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6.Filippin, A.、Crosetto, P.(2014)。A reconsideration of gender differences in risk attitudes。St. Louis, MO:Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis。  new window
7.Hayes, Andrew F.(2013)。Introduction to mediation, moderation, and conditional process analysis: A regression-based approach。Guilford Press。  new window
圖書論文
1.王文中(2012)。試題反應理論。社會及行為科學研究法(一)總論與量化研究法。臺北市:臺灣東華。  延伸查詢new window
2.李玉惠(2007)。決策。認知心理學。臺北市:五南。  延伸查詢new window
3.Caplin, A.、Glimcher, P. W.(2014)。Basic methods from neoclassical economics。Neuroeconomics。San Diego, CA:Academic Press。  new window
4.Fox, C. R.、Poldrack, R. A.(2014)。Appendix - Prospect theory and the brain。Neuroeconomics。San Diego, CA:Academic Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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