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題名：Between Independence and Unification: An Ordered Probit Analysis of Panel Survey Data on Taiwan's Constitutional Future
書刊名：Issues & Studies
作者：蔡佳泓／王鼎銘 引用關係／Tossutti, Livianna S.
作者(外文)：Tsai, Chia-hung／Wang, Ding-ming
出版日期：2008
卷期：44:4
頁次：頁71-98
主題關鍵詞：Public opinion；Independence/unification issue position；Panel survey；Rational assessments
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
相關次數：
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(3) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:2
  • 共同引用共同引用:324
  • 點閱點閱:37
The evolution of amultiparty system in Taiwan has seen public opinion about the independence/unification issue coinciding with partisan positions. While aggregate public opinion data have shown that mostTaiwanese support the current cross-Strait relations, or "status quo," less is known about the stability of individual policy preferences. Drawing on panel data from Taiwan's Election and Democratization Study (TEDS) project, this article examines whether the same respondents maintained the same position on the constitutional question in 2001 and 2004. Using ordered probit modeling, it also assesses the impact of previously-held opinions and rational assessments on attitudes in 2004, net of standard sociological and psychological determinants. We find that nearly half of respondents changed their preferences between 2001 and 2004. When opinions did change, there was a trend toward support for the status quo from a pro-unification position. In addition to showing the lag impact of a previous attitude, our analysis confirms that self-identified nationality, partisanship, and rational assessments of Taiwan's economy are significant predictors of positions on the independence/unification issue.
期刊論文
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18.徐永明、陳明通(19981200)。搜尋臺灣民眾統獨態度的動力：一個個體動態模型的建立。臺灣政治學刊，3，65-114。new window  延伸查詢new window
19.徐永明、范雲(20011200)。「學作」臺灣人：政治學習與臺灣認同的變遷軌跡，1986-1996。臺灣政治學刊，5，3-63。new window  延伸查詢new window
20.謝復生、牛銘實(1996)。Issue Voting in the Republic of China on Taiwan's 1992 Legislative Yuan Election。International Journal of Political Science，17(1)，13-27。  new window
21.Achen, Christopher H.(1975)。Mass Political Attitudes and the Survey Response。American Political Science Review，69(4)，1218-1231。  new window
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23.盛治仁(20020300)。Cross-Strait Relations and Public Opinion on Taiwan。Issues & Studies，38(1)，17-46。new window  new window
24.盛杏湲(20020500)。統獨議題與臺灣選民的投票行為：一九九〇年代的分析。選舉研究，9(1)，41-75。new window  延伸查詢new window
25.吳乃德(19960700)。自由主義和族群認同：搜尋臺灣民族主義的意識形態基礎。臺灣政治學刊，1，5-39。new window  延伸查詢new window
26.黃紀(20040900)。Explaining Referendum Voting Choices in Taiwan。Issues & Studies，40(3/4)，316-333。new window  new window
27.徐火炎(19911100)。政黨認同與投票抉擇：臺灣地區選民的政黨印象、偏好與黨派投票行為之分析。人文及社會科學集刊，4(1)，1-57。new window  延伸查詢new window
28.Chen, Wen-chun(19970400)。National Identity and Democratic Consolidation in Taiwan: A Study of the Problem of Democratization in a Divided Country。Issues & Studies，33(4)，1-44。new window  new window
29.盛杏湲、陳義彥(20030500)。政治分歧與政黨競爭：二○○一年立法委員選舉的分析。選舉研究，10(1)，7-40。new window  延伸查詢new window
30.徐火炎(19960700)。臺灣選民的國家認同與黨派投票行為：一九九一至一九九三年間的實證研究結果。臺灣政治學刊，1，85-127。new window  延伸查詢new window
31.Liu, I-chou(19960900)。Generational Discrepancies in Public Attitude on Taiwan's Unification Issue。Issues & Studies，32(9)，103-121。new window  new window
會議論文
1.江肇國(2002)。台灣民眾眼政黨立場之變遷。The 2001 Taiwan's Election and Democratization Study (TEDS) Conference，(會議日期: October 19-20, 2002)。National Chengchi University。  延伸查詢new window
2.朱雲漢(1994)。政黨競爭、衝突結構與民主鞏固：二屆立委選舉的政治效應分析。「民主化、政黨政治與選舉」學術研討會，台灣大學政治學系「選舉行為研究計劃小組」主辦 (會議日期: 1994/07/08)。臺北：國立台灣大學政治學研究所選舉行為研究小組。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Greene, William H.(1993)。Econometric Analysis。Macmillan Publishing Company。  new window
2.Fiorina, Morris P.(1981)。Retrospective Voting in American National Elections。Yale University Press。  new window
3.Campbell, Angus、Converse, Philip E.、Miller, Warren E.、Stokes, Donald E.(1960)。The American Voter。The University of Chicago Press。  new window
單篇論文
1.Lin, Tse-min，Wu, Chin-en，Lee, Feng-yu(2004)。Symbolic Politics or Pragmatism? Public Opinion on Unification vs. Independence in Taiwan。  new window
2.Liu. I-chou，Cheng, Su-feng(2003)。Dynamics of Taiwanese Identity。  new window
圖書論文
1.Converse, Philip C.(1964)。In Ideology and Discontent。In Ideology and Discontent。Glencoe：Free Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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