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題名：老人安養的人口基礎--代間共居可能性的模擬分析
書刊名：人口學刊
作者：黃時遵
作者(外文)：Huang, Shih-Tsun
出版日期：1994
卷期：16
頁次：頁53-77
主題關鍵詞：人口老化；老人安養；代間；共居；代間共居；可能性；模擬分析
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
相關次數：
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(10) 博士論文(1) 專書(2) 專書論文(1)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:10
  • 共同引用共同引用:129
  • 點閱點閱:78
As a result of sharp ferti1ity decline, the aging of the Taiwan population has proceeded rapidly and is likely to continue in full force in the future. Conventionally, the family, especially married adult children, has been thought as the best source of support for the elderly in Taiwan. However, an aging population reduces the child availability of the elderly and the possibility of three-generational co-residence. In this paper we employ family status life tables to assess the effects of demographic processes on family composition and to reveal trends in elderly living arrangement. We found that further declining fertility and changing nuptiality are responsible for the prevalence of nuc1ear family composition. Increasing proportion of nuc1ear families indicates a decreasing probability for the elderly parents living with their married children. In addition, according to the current nuptiality trends, the increasing proportion of women of all ages who remain at never-married status will strengthen its effects on family composition in the near future. While our social welfare po1icy f or the elderly just focuses on how to reduce the economic burden of young cohort on elderly caring, this paper suggests that we have to be aware of the dwindling expected years of adult life with responsibility (i.e.caring young children and old parents in the family) due to the further decline of ferti1ity, and re-evaluate the absolute economic burden of young cohort if the magnified economic burden on elderly caring could be offset by lessening childcaring.
期刊論文
1.Freedman, R.、Moots, B.、Sun, Teh-Hsiung、Weinberger, Mary B.(1978)。Household Composition and Extended Kinship in Taiwan。Population Studies，32(1)，65-80。  new window
2.Watkins, S. C.、Menken, J. A.、Bongaurts, J.(1987)。Demographic Foundations of Family Change。American Sociology Review，52，346-358。  new window
3.徐良熙、林忠正(1984)。家庭結構與社會變遷：中美「單親家庭」之比較。中國社會學刊，8，1-22。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Weinstein, Maxine、Sun, Te-Hsiung、Chang, Ming-Cheng、Freedman, Ronald(1990)。Household Composition, Extended Kinship and Reproduction in Taiwan: 1965-1985。Population Studies，44(2)，217-239。  new window
5.Zeng, Yi(1986)。Changes in Family Structure in China: A Simulation Study。Population and Development Review，12(4)。  new window
6.Brass, W.(1983)。The Formal Demography of Family: An Overview of the Proximate Determinants。The Family: British Society for Population Studies Occasional Paper，31，39-49。  new window
7.Zeng, Yi(1988)。Changing Demographic Characteristics and the Family Status of Chinese Women。Population Studies，42，183-203。  new window
8.De Vos, Susan、Palloni, Alberto(1989)。Formal Models and Methods for the Analysis of Kinship and Household Organization。Population Index，55。  new window
9.Freedman, Ronald、Chang, Ming-cheng、Sun, Te-Hsiung、Moots, B.、Weinberger, Mary B.(1982)。Household Composition, Extended Kinship and Reproduction in Taiwan: 1973-1980。Population Studies，36(3)，395-412。  new window
10.Tu, Jow-ching(19850900)。On Long-term Mortality Trends in Taiwan, 1906~1980。中國社會學刊，9，145-164。new window  new window
11.林忠正(19870600)。臺灣人口轉型與老年人口的扶養問題。人口學刊，10，1-13。new window  延伸查詢new window
12.涂肇慶、陳寬政、陳昭榮(19921200)。臺灣地區老年殘障率之研究。人口學刊，15，17-30。new window  延伸查詢new window
13.王德睦(19921200)。臺灣地區未來人口成長之若干可能。人口學刊，15，1-15。new window  延伸查詢new window
14.Freedman, R.、張明正、孫得雄(1987)。Trends in Fertility, Family Size Preferences, and Family Planning Practice: Taiwan, 1961-85。Studies in Family Planning，18(6)，320-338。  new window
15.Berkner, Lutz K.(1975)。The use and misuse of census data for the historical analysis of family structure。Journal of Interdisciplinary History，4，721-738。  new window
16.Berkner, Lutz K.(1972)。The stem family and the developmental cycle of the peasant household: An Eighteenth-Century Austrian Example。American Historical Review，77，398-418。  new window
17.Alter, George、Riley, James C.(1989)。Frailty, sickness, and death: Models of morbidity and mortality in historical populations。Population Studies，43(1)，25-45。  new window
會議論文
1.張明正(1990)。台灣地區生育轉型與高齡人口結構之變遷。人口變遷與經濟社會發展研討會。台北：中研院經研所。5-33。  延伸查詢new window
2.羅紀瓊(1985)。我國老人的經濟現狀。第四次社會科學會議。台北：中研院三研所。53-74。  延伸查詢new window
3.Tu, Edward Jow-Ching(1985)。The Effects of Fertility and Mortality on Kinship Structure。Symposium on Population Change in Twentieth Century Taiwan。Taipei。  new window
4.Wang, Temu、Yang , Wenshan、Chen, Kuanjeng(1992)。Changing Household Composition in Taiwan: A Projection。International Conference on Family Formation and Dissolution: Perspectives from East and West。Taipei：Academia Sinica。  new window
研究報告
1.行政臨內政部(1976)。台閩地區人口統計。  延伸查詢new window
2.Zeng, Yi(1987)。The Family Status Life Table: An Extension of Bongaarts' Nuclear Family Model。Netherlands Interuniversity Demographic Institute。  new window
3.Lee, Yean-Ju、Palloni, Alberto(1990)。Changes in the Family Status of Elderly Women in Korea。Center for Demography and Ecology, University of Wisconsin-Madison。  new window
學位論文
1.林益厚(1989)。人口變遷與家戶組成之關係：台灣地區之模擬分析(博士論文)。東海大學。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.Lee, Yean-Ju(1990)。Changes in Family Structure Among Elderly Women in Korea(博士論文)。University of Wisconsin-Madison。  new window
圖書
1.Wachter, Kenneth W.、Hammel, Eugene A.、Laslett, Peter(1978)。Statistical Studies of Historical Social Structure。New York, NY：Academic Press。  new window
2.Goode, William J.(1982)。The Family。Prentice-Hall。  new window
3.Chiang, Chin Long(1984)。The Life Table and Its Applications。Malabar, Florida：Robert E. Krieger Publishing Company。  new window
4.Goode, William Josiah(1963)。World Revolution and Family Patterns。Free Press。  new window
5.Zeng, Yi(1991)。Family Dynamics in China: A Life Table Analysis。University of Wisconsin Press。  new window
6.王德睦、陳寬政(1988)。現代化人口轉型與家戶組成：一個社會變遷理論之驗証。  延伸查詢new window
7.謝高橋(1980)。家戶組成、結構與生育率。台北：國立政治大學社會系人口調查室。  延伸查詢new window
8.行政臨主計處(1979)。台灣地區婦女生育與就業調查報告。  延伸查詢new window
9.行政臨主計處(1986)。台灣地區老人現況調查報告。  延伸查詢new window
10.Zeng, Yi、Zhang, Chunyuan、Peng, Songjian(1990)。Changing Family Structure and Population Aging in China--A Comparative Approach。Beijing：Peking University Press。  new window
11.Zeng, Yi(1989)。Handbook of "FAMY"--A Program for Family Status Life Table Analysis。iec ProGAMMA。  new window
12.Keyfitz, Nathan(1985)。Applied Mathematical Demography。New York：Springer-Verlag。  new window
13.Ruggles, Steven(1987)。Prolonged Connections: Demographic Change and the Rise of the Extended Family in Nineteenth Century England and America。Madison, WI：University of Wisconsin Press。  new window
圖書論文
1.Bongaarts, John(1987)。The projection of family composition over the life course with family status life tables。Family Demography: Methods and Their Application。Oxford University Press。  new window
2.陳寬政、涂肇慶、林益厚(1989)。台灣地區的家戶組成及其變遷。台灣社會現象的分析。台北：中研院三研所。  延伸查詢new window
3.Coale, Ansley(1986)。The Decline of Fertility in Europe since the Eighteenth Century as a Chapter in Human Demographic History。The Decline of Fertility in Europe。Princeton：Princeton University Press。  new window
4.Parson, T.(1959)。The Social Structure of Family。The Family: Its Functions and Destiny。Chicago。  new window
5.Wachter, Kenneth W.(1987)。Microsimulation of Household Cycles。Family Demography: Methods and their Application。Oxford：Oxford University Press。  new window
6.徐良熙、林忠正(1989)。家庭結構及社會變遷的再研究。臺灣社會現象的分析。臺北：中央研究院三民主義研究所。  延伸查詢new window
7.Laslett, P.(1972)。Mean household size in England since the sixteenth century。Household and Family in Past Time。Cambridge Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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