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題名:貧窮的動態:嘉義縣貧戶的追蹤研究
書刊名:人口學刊
作者:王德睦 引用關係王仕圖 引用關係蔡勇美
作者(外文):Wang, TemuWang, Shu-twuTsai, Yung-mei
出版日期:2000
卷期:21
頁次:頁61-75
主題關鍵詞:貧窮動態追蹤調查貧窮歷程存活分析Cox modelCensoringEvent-history analysisHazard rates
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(10) 博士論文(1) 專書(0) 專書論文(1)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:10
  • 共同引用共同引用:81
  • 點閱點閱:124
雖然對於貧窮的解釋,產生了許多的爭論,但是由於資料的限制,一般研究以橫斷面的資料為主,且各年的貧窮率變化不大,而誤認為貧窮是時間持續很長的現象。自有長期追蹤研究以後,對於持續貧窮的看法才有所改變。本研究的目的在於探討貧窮動態,以嘉義縣的低收入戶為例,追蹤嘉義縣貧窮家戶(1988-1996)的貧窮持續時間。   研究發現中位貧窮持續時間為4.55年,脫離貧窮的機率大致是隨貧窮時間延長而下降。此一下降趨勢,並非貧窮本身使人不易脫離貧窮,而是具有容易脫離貧窮特質的家戶先行脫離,留下具有不易脫離貧窮特質的家戶。而影響貧窮持續時間的重要因素有年齡、教育年數、是否為單親家庭、與戶內有工作能力人數。年齡愈大者可能因死亡而較早脫離貧窮,以致貧窮持續時間愈短。教育年數愈高者愈有能力在較短的時間內找到足以脫離貧窮的資源。與國外的研究不同的發現是,單親家庭的貧窮持續時間較短。戶內有工作能力人數愈多,則其貧窮持續時間愈短。
Due to the limitations of data, most poverty researches in the past used cross­sectional data. This was despite the disputes on the nature and dynamics of poverty Furthermore, the fact that poverty rates remained rather stable over time led many researchers to conclude that poverty was a long term phenomenon. This misconception began to change once the longitudinal panel data became available. The purpose of the present study is to investigate the poverty dynamics using panel data from poverty households in Chia- Yi county during the 1988-1996 period The results of our analyses indicate that the median number of years for our sample to remain in poverty was 4.55 years and the probability of leaving poverty decreased as the length of time staying in poverty increased. This was not due to the difficulty of leaving poverty per se. Rather. It was due to the fact that those who were more able to leave poverty actually left earlier and those who could not leave remained in poverty. Among the factors that effect the length of staying in poverty were age (of the heads of households), number of years of schooling, whether single-heads households, and the number of household members with the ability to work. Those heads of households who were older who left poverty earlier than their younger counterparts could be due to the earlier death of the former than the latter. Those with better education were also those who were more likely to obtain necessary resources to leave poverty. Two major differences between this study and those from foreign nations were found. First, in Taiwan, single-headed households tend to be able to leave poverty sooner than their foreign counterparts.
期刊論文
1.沙學漢(19740700)。貧窮文化--一個評論。國立臺灣大學社會學刊,10,41-50。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.Lewis, Oscar(1966)。The culture of Poverty。Scientific American,215(4),19-25。  new window
3.Rank, Mark R.(1985)。Exiting From Welfare: A Life-Table Analysis。Social Service Review,59(3),358-376。  new window
4.Blank, Rebecca M.(1989)。Analyzing the Length of Welfare Spells。Journal of Public Economics,39(3),245-273。  new window
5.林松齡(19800900)。臺灣中部地區貧窮現象之研究--臺中市低收入戶專案研究。臺灣銀行季刊,31(3),189-223。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.O'Neill, June A.、Bassi, Laurie J.、Wolf, Douglas A.(1987)。The Duration of Welfare Spells。The Review of Economics and Statistics,69(2),241-249。  new window
7.Bane, Mary Jo、Ellwood, David T.(1986)。Slipping into and out of Poverty: The Dynamics of Spells。The Journal of Human Resources,21(1),1-23。  new window
8.陳淑英(19831200)。突破貧窮的惡性循環:致貧因素之因徑分析。社區發展季刊,24,63-70。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.楊家偉(1977)。臺灣省貧窮問題之成因與減輕策略之研究。臺灣銀行季刊,28(1),158-200。new window  延伸查詢new window
10.Harris, Kathleen Mullan(1993)。Work and Welfare among Single Mothers in Poverty。American Journal of Sociology,99(2),317-352。  new window
11.Kimenyi, Mwangi S.(1991)。Rational Choice, Culture of Poverty, and the Intergenerational Transmission of Welfare Dependency。Southern Economic Journal,57(4),947-960。  new window
12.Hutchens, Robert(1981)。Entry and exit transitions in a government transfer program: the case of aid to families with dependent children。The Journal of Human Resources,16(2),217-237。  new window
研究報告
1.王德睦、蔡勇美、國立中正大學社會福利研究所[執行](1998)。貧窮的動態分析:嘉義縣貧戶的追蹤研究 (計畫編號:NSC 87-2412-H194-003)。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Duncan, Greg J.、Coe, Richard D.、Hill, Martha S.(1984)。Years of Poverty, Years of Plenty: The Changing Economic Fortunes of American Workers and Families。Years of Poverty, Years of Plenty: The Changing Economic Fortunes of American Workers and Families。Ann Arbor, MI:University of Michigan, Institute of Social Research。  new window
2.Levy, F.(1977)。How big is the American Underclass?。Washington, DC:Urban Institute。  new window
3.Devine, Joel A.、Wright, James D.(1993)。The Greatest of Evils: Urban Poverty and the American Underclass。New York, NY:Walter de Gruyter, Inc.。  new window
4.Walker, Robert、Ashworth, Karl(1994)。Poverty Dynamics: Issues and Examples。Poverty Dynamics: Issues and Examples。Aldershot, UK:Avebury。  new window
5.Murray, C.(1984)。Losing ground: American social policy 1950-1980。New York:Basic Books。  new window
6.Kerbo, Harold R.(1991)。Social Stratification and Inequality, Class Conflict in Historical and Comparative Perspective。New York:McGraw-Hill。  new window
7.張清富(1993)。臺灣省貧窮趨勢與致貧因素之研究。臺北市:豪峰出版社。  延伸查詢new window
8.Wilson, W. J.(1987)。The Truly Disadvantaged: The Inner City, the Underclass and Public Policy。Chicago:The University of Chicago Press。  new window
9.Lewis, Oscar(1959)。Five Families: Mexican Case Studies in the Culture of Poverty。New York:Basic Book。  new window
10.Ruggles, Patricia(1990)。Drawing the Line: Alternative Poverty Measures and Their Implications for Public Policy。Washington, DC:The Urban Institute Press。  new window
11.蔡明璋(19960000)。臺灣的貧窮:下層階級的結構分析。臺北:巨流圖書公司。new window  延伸查詢new window
12.朱雲鵬(1987)。貧窮問題之探討:臺灣地區資料之因素分解研究。貧窮問題之探討:臺灣地區資料之因素分解研究。臺北市。  延伸查詢new window
13.Allison, P. D.(1993)。Survival analysis using the SAS system: a practical guide。Survival analysis using the SAS system: a practical guide。Cary, NC。  new window
14.Kelso, W. A.(1993)。Poverty and the underclass: changing perceptions of poor in America。Poverty and the underclass: changing perceptions of poor in America。New York, NY。  new window
15.Townsend, P.(1979)。Poverty in the Untied Kingdom: a survey of household resources and standards of living。Poverty in the Untied Kingdom: a survey of household resources and standards of living。Berkeley, CA。  new window
16.Waxman, C. I.(1983)。The stigma of poverty - a critique of poverty theories and policies。The stigma of poverty - a critique of poverty theories and policies。New York, NY。  new window
17.Coe, Richard D.(1978)。Dependency and Poverty in the Short and Long Run。Five Thousand American Families: Patterns of Economic Progress。Ann Arbor, MI。  new window
圖書論文
1.林松齡(1984)。貧窮問題。臺灣的社會問題。臺北:巨流。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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